指南金师：今日黄金走势分析，黄金连阳非极强，多头等...

　　goldLatest market analysis:

　　周二美元再创近期新低，非美整体反弹，但走势仍有所分化。美国stock market index止跌企稳。但市场仍担心美联储收紧货币政策会令美国经济陷入衰退，美股后市仍有回落风险。昨晚公布的美国4月季调后新屋销售年化总数录得59.1万，大幅低于预期，经济数据疲软，加上通胀偏高，令市场对于美国经济陷入滞胀的担忧加剧。美元短线仍存在下行可能。稳健者可等待今晚美联储纪要出炉。

　　美国纽约联储预测，根据5monthFOMC决议声明勾勒的缩表路线图，美联储资产负债表规模到2025年年中料将回落至5.9万亿美元。届时，美联储所持美国国债的占比料为68%，所持抵押贷款支持证券（MBS）的比率料为32%。

United States5Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Record-9, creating2020year5New low since the beginning of the month. U.S.A4月新屋销售总数跌至疫情初期以来最低水平。周二，美联储掉期下调了9Monthly interest rate hike50The possibility of a basis point.

　　今日亚盘，新西兰联储如期加息50个基点，且预计今年的官方现金利率将至少上升至3.25%，预计到2023year6月年度CPI将达到3.5%, previously expected to be2.6%，稳定通胀是当务之急，并表示决心将CPIControl within1-3%的目标水平。纽元兑美元大幅反弹至0.65附近，短线大概率将继续走高，0.6460上方企稳可做多。

　　黄金走势分析；

Wednesday（5month25During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1862.37dollar/盎司，回吐了隔夜部分涨幅。周二因为美国新屋销售数据降至两年低位，欧洲央行行长拉加德强化7月加息预期，美元指数刷新近一个月低点，给金价提供反弹动能；此外，俄罗斯在乌东全面进攻试图包围乌军、加拿大向乌克兰再提供2万发炮弹，地缘局势紧张也给金价提供支撑。周二现货黄金收涨0.7%，为第五个交易日收涨，本交易日首先迎来新西兰联储利率决议，市场普遍预计将加息50个基点，这会增加持有黄金的机会成本，短线略微利空金价。市场更多的目光将聚集北京时间周四凌晨2:00的美联储会议纪要，鹰派的可能性比较大，预计会在短线限制金价的上涨空间，但仍需留意鹰派不及预期的可能性。数据方面，晚间还将出炉美国4月耐用品订单月率初值，投资者需要予以关注，目前市场预计将从3Of1.1，下降至0.6，有望给金价提供支撑。整体来看，短线多空博弈可能会加剧，金价可能会出现一些拉锯行情，但在失守5Daily moving average1854前，后市略微偏向震荡上行。

　　黄金昨日延续反弹收高，回踩1849一线启稳，守住在前一日低点上方整理蓄势，随着美元走弱和美国国债收益率下降提振了黄金短线的吸引力，黄金反弹收稳在1865上方，日线收成一根中阳线，同时破了前一日高点，从日线的收盘情况来看，突破布林道中轨，以及站稳在0.382的阻力上方，短线结构偏向进一步反弹。4小时小台阶震荡上扬，但实体K线不大，每一波的冲高都要经过长时间整理蓄势。毕竟目前还处于此前下行趋势线的反弹修正，在反弹过程中，均线指标未完全拐头向上形成多头发散，均线指标还是上有大周期阻力，下有短均线支撑，多空进入分化，在震荡中重新选择方向。结合小时图，昨日在1848-1846低点处启稳，此位是短线图的多头反弹临界点，此位之上先看延续性反弹。下破再调整思路，亚欧盘预计也是先整理后再惯性走高，但至于延续性，还得留意后半夜的消息。不排除有冲高回落的变盘风险，需要关注美元的强弱转换。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作上指南金师建议以回落做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1870-1865Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1848-1843Frontline support.

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