Guo Shengshan:5.25今日黄金精准走势分析，原油独家操作建议

没有清醒的判断，再好的单边也会踏空，没有谨慎的分析，再弱的震荡也会失手。人生中，唯一需要回头的就是看自己究竟走了多远。交易中，唯一需要复盘的是看自己到底踏准了几步。俗话说：走的最急的却是最美的景色，伤的最深的却是最真的感情。这种博弈的热情是不断需要自我肯定和激励，我们唯一需要突破的就是自己内心的障碍；所有目标的实现，都是潜意识的推动，所有成功都是来自于相信和自信

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold Message Surface:5month25日亚市早盘，金价持稳1860美元上方震荡，周二现货黄金震荡上行，美盘中走高至逼近1870美元关口，尾盘小幅回落企稳，最终收涨0.7%Report1866.11dollar/盎司；现货白银盘中最高触及22.20dollar/盎司，最终收涨1.56%Report22.11dollar/Ounces. United States5Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Record-9, creating2020year5New low since the beginning of the month. U.S.A4月新屋销售总数跌至疫情初期以来最低水平。周二，美联储掉期下调了9Monthly interest rate hike50个基点的可能性。次日2:00Federal ReserveFOMCpublish5月货币政策会议纪要。如果美联储官员认为这次的紧缩程度要大于之前的周期，那么这可能意味着这次不需要将基金利率提高这么多。最近，因欧洲央行明确发出了将进行十年来首次加息的信号，拉进了欧洲央行与美联储的政策距离，导致美元失去动力。欧洲央行行长拉加德周二表示，她预计到9月底，欧洲央行的存款利率将上调至零或“略高于”该水平，这意味着该行将在当前水平基础上至少加息50个基点。拉加德还周一在欧洲央行网站上发文称，欧洲央行将在第三季度末走出负利率区域。虽然这意味着欧洲央行转向收紧货币政策，但欧元在当天晚些时候回落，原因是市场认为，拉加德选择用时间表描述未来货币政策是为了排除在7Monthly interest rate hike50个基点的可能性。考虑到积极的市场情绪和美元指数的价格走势，不能排除资产进一步走软的可能性。尽管如此，投资者的注意力仍将集中在联邦公开市场委员会会议纪要的发布上。由于投资者在纽约时段等待，美联储的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议纪要的发布信号，投资者继续解除对美元进一步上涨的押注，有利于以美元计价的黄金。

　　黄金技术面分析：周二录得一根实体中阳线，价格再创新高至1869.5一线，日线级别5连阳，昨日收盘价格站上中轨，且价格已破位反弹382回高线阻力位，今日黄金大概率会延续反弹走势，现在的黄金依然是多头上涨走势，回调做多是最正确的操作思路。而且黄金的走势非常规律，新高后回调横盘震荡，蓄势后再次拉升新高，走势非常健康，黄金走势很规律，均线支撑K线稳步抬升，震荡横盘是为了再次上涨蓄势，而回调就是再次多的机会，突破昨日高点1865后将会继续上涨1880一线。黄金现在一直维持均线支撑上方运行，属于多头上涨趋势，我们现在的思路只有一个，低多看涨。至于黄金是否已经见顶，是否会进行大幅回调，没有跌破关键支撑确认信号前，我们不会轻易的改变看法。

Gold4小时小台阶震荡反弹，目前的反弹还是当作修正对待，空间上并未完全反转趋势，从二浪下跌高点1998的下挫，反抽昨日触及到了0.382的阻力，此位是反弹的首个阻力点，昨日也确实点到即止。日线收低留出上影线，使得短线仍存悬念。从浪形反弹修正的空间来看。0.382的反弹是正常的修正区域。此处若能压制转空，那么后市仍会看向跌势，不过近期美元表现弱势，使得黄金短线还是小有支撑，预计周初在美联储利率决议之前，短线还是震荡拉锯节奏。黄金小时图上，虽然日内黄金居高震荡，整体走势符合预期的以时间来换空间的消化，但是居高横盘状态下，对于操作上会带来一定的不便，尤其是多单的参与上。美盘时段黄金突破前高最高来到1869美元附近，黄金暂时还是关注1870-75一带压力，技术上还是有进一步回修调整需求的，即便行情以时间消耗来换空间的回修，空间上也是要有一定回撤的，后市下方继续关注1860附近争夺，主要支撑也继续看短线上涨通道趋势线支撑1855一带。所以综合分析，黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议回落做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1870-1875Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1853-1848Frontline support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

　　5month25日亚洲时段，美油徘徊于110.50dollar/Nearby the barrel, although the American public ignored high oil prices and planned to drive on Memorial Day weekend to boost demand, theAPIData shows an unexpected increase in US crude oil inventories; The White House is considering exempting summer gasoline smoke regulations to lower oil prices, as well as the US stock market's decline, increasing concerns about economic recession and limiting oil price increases. American Petroleum Institute(API)Data released in the morning showed an unexpected increase in US crude oil inventories last week, but a decrease in finished oil storage. by5month20During the current week, crude oil inventory increased56.7Ten thousand barrels. Sudden drop in gasoline inventory420Ten thousand barrels, reduced inventory of distillate oil94.9Ten thousand barrels. According to three sources involved in the discussion, the White House is considering exempting the smoke reduction regulations for summer gasoline, hoping that this measure can prevent rising oil prices. Overall, despite the continued escalation of geopolitical tensions, Americans plan to drive on Memorial Day weekend to boost demand; However, as US stocks fell, US crude oil inventories increased, and the US took new measures to try to lower oil prices, monkeypox continued to spread in multiple countries, coupled with concerns about economic recession, the short-term increase in oil prices may be limited.

　　原油技术面分析；原油昨日十字KNarrow width sorting of the line, daily line has entered the passivation cycle, continuous crossKLine waiting entityKLine to break the current deadlock in organizing. along withKAs the line entity shrinks, the space also begins to decrease, accompanied by repeated tugs and tugs between communities. Long and short duration, unilateral direction unclear, patient waiting. The parallel contraction of the daily line Bolin Road currently revolves around the small communities near the China Railway.4The hourly chart temporarily remained fluctuating within the contraction zone between the residential areas, and Brin Road began to flatten. Yesterday, it was sawing back and forth between the upper and lower tracks, but the space did not move much. Previous Thursday's range112.60-105.20仍未打破，使得短期多空延续不定。随着区间收敛，短线没有参照的进场点，只能结合盘中的形态临盘再定。综合来看：原油今日操作思路上建议以区间震荡为主，上方短期重点关注112.5-113.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below108.0-107.5Frontline support.

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.