Guide Metallographer:5.24今日黄金回落幅度有限，说明多单仍有机会。

Fundamentals:

Tuesday(5month24day)，国际金价持坚，因美元指数续创4month26Recently, it has reached a new low101.786。鉴于美联储在6Month and7月会议上各加息至少50个基点的预期已经被消化，投资者继续解除对美元进一步上涨的押注，有利于以美元计价的gold。不过，美指只要位于200Daily moving average96.59上方，长期前景仍较为乐观，积极看涨金价的交易商有理由保持谨慎。堪萨斯联储主席乔治周一(5month23day)表示，她预计美联储将在8月前将目标利率提高至2%左右，之后如何进一步行动取决于供需情况对通胀的影响。乔治还表示，央行官员认为市场已经消化了美联储计划缩减其9万亿美元资产负债表的计划，但表示随着该进程从下个月开始，市场反应值得关注。乔治指出，与美联储上次缩减资产负债表相比，现在市场的稳定程度有所下降，“我认为在整个夏季和秋季观察市场运作尤为重要，以了解市场如何消化缩表进程。”

　　黄金的抛售压力似乎有所缓解，“美元走软为黄金提供了支撑。此外，黄金显然再次受到ETF投资者的青睐。根据商品futures交易委员会的统计，投机资金在截至5month17日当周进一步撤出，净多头头寸降至去年9月以来的最低水平。然而，在我们看来，这群投资者带来的抛售压力应该已经显着减弱。”美元指数跌破102.00后应该有可能测试55Daily moving average(今天位于100.84)。不过，从更广泛的角度来看，该指数目前的看涨立场仍然受到3个月线100.30的支撑，而只要位于200Daily moving average96.59上方，美元长期前景仍较为乐观，积极看涨金价的交易商有理由保持谨慎。

Analysis of the latest gold market:

Analysis of Gold News: Tuesday（5month24日）亚洲时段，现货黄金延续震荡；金价周一攀升，美元疲软和对经济增长的担忧带来提振，但在美国国债收益率上升后，非孽息黄金的涨幅有所收窄。现货黄金上涨0.4%To per ounce1,853.70美元，盘中稍早一度上涨逾1%Touching1865.29USD5month9日以来最高。美国黄金期货结算价上涨0.3%Report1,847.8美元。分析师表示：“随着美元大幅下跌，金价出现了强劲的修正性反弹。”美元触及一个月最低，这使得黄金对持有其他货币的投资者来说更便宜。“交易员和投资者的风险偏好仍然远远不够强劲，这正推动一些对黄金的避险需求。投资者开始意识到，通胀问题将持续更长时间，而不是暂 时的。”美国国债收益率上涨，令黄金的吸引力有所减弱。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克周一表示，金融市场对收紧货币政策的快速反应带来了希望，即经济的其他部门可能也会更快地做出调整 。本周的焦点依旧在美联储公布5Minutes of the monthly monetary policy meeting.

　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金昨日先扬后抑，在反弹行情中，遇到阻力也会伴随回落，日线在探高1865一线承压后，尾盘时段回测至1850下方，最终收盘在1852附近。日线相对而言，探高收在低位，亚欧盘虚破了20日均线。也是布林道中轨的阻力，但美盘时段仍承压收在之下。使得多空延续不定，从均线指标来看，中期均线向下形成压制，若是这波反弹只是修正的话，日线已有三连阳的持续，短线面临重新选择方向，此处存在拐点的可能，反之继续向上反弹延伸则会反转下行趋势。4小时小台阶震荡反弹，目前的反弹还是当作修正对待，空间上并未完全反转趋势，从二浪下跌高点1998的下挫，反抽昨日触及到了0.382的阻力，此位是反弹的首个阻力点，昨日也确实点到即止。日线收低留出上影线，使得短线仍存悬念。从浪形反弹修正的空间来看。0.382的反弹是正常的修正区域。此处若能压制转空，那么后市仍会看向跌势，不过近期美元表现弱势，使得黄金短线还是小有支撑，预计周初在美联储利率决议之前，短线还是震荡拉锯节奏。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1845-1840Frontline support.

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