Guide Metallographer:5.24今日黄金走势分析，多空横盘互相博弈

Fundamentals:

　　美联储方面，北京时间今日凌晨亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克表示，在接下来两次会议每次加息50个基点之后，可在9月暂停加息，具体要看通胀的情况。如果通货膨胀持续高企，9月可能加息25or50个基点。他预计今年的通胀率仍在3%的高位。她表示很难确切知道需要推进多远或多大力度。但到年底时联邦基金利率在2%to2.5%的范围内将是一个不错的状态，这一表态相较于此前美联储的其他官员更为鸽派。另外，昨日晚间美联储宣布鲍威尔正式连任美联储主席，布雷纳德正式接任美联储副主席，库克和杰弗森正式接任美联储理事。

　　欧洲央行方面，近期欧洲央行管委会官员越来越警惕史无前例的高通胀，在俄乌局势、供应链中断、全球公共卫生事件反弹的冲击下，价格失控的风险受到官员们的密切关注。周一欧洲央行行长拉加德称10多年来的首次加息可能会发生在7月，但淡化了在经济增长引发担忧之际加息50个基点的可能性。她称“很可能”将在第三季度末结束负利率政策，预计净资产购买计划将在第三季度初结束。

Message analysis: Tuesday(5month24day)欧市早盘，美元指数短线突然跳水，该指数跌破102关口，目前跌至101.80Nearby; Spotgold快速上涨，金价刚刚突破1857dollar/盎司。随着美元大幅下跌，金价出现了强劲的修正性反弹。交易员和投资者的风险偏好仍然远远不够强劲，这正推动一些对黄金的避险需求。投资者开始意识到，通胀问题将持续更长时间，而不是暂时的。从整体来看，短线黄金的反弹动能有所减弱，美元的回调跌势可能会逐步放缓，如果股市进一步反弹，则金价短线可能会面临一些震荡下跌的风险。如果美元延续跌势，那黄金多头可能会图谋更大的反弹空间。在美联储纪要公布前，市场也存在一些观望情绪，短线金价偏向震荡运行。

　　投资者对美联储能否引导美国经济实现所谓软着陆表示担忧，一些大型企业的利润率受到了冲击，这被视为未来令人担忧的潜在预兆。美元指数今年以来飙升，本月更是创下近20Annual high105The threshold, but the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hike has been largely digested, and the downward correction trend of the US dollar in the short term may further expand, making further upward movements more difficult. U.S.A4Monthly inflation rate has increased by more than8%, distance3Exceeding the monthly record40Annual high8.5%Not far. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will6Month and7Continuation at the monthly policy meeting5Monthly policy meeting rhythm - continue to raise interest rates50A basis point, but the US economy unexpectedly contracted in the first quarter1.4%This has raised concerns among investors about whether the Federal Reserve can guide the US economy towards a so-called soft landing. Analysts say they expect the federal funds rate to rise at some point next year3.75%Nevertheless, many consumers may still be more concerned about high housing costs and gasoline prices. When the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation, it usually takes one year to18个月的时间才能看到回报，这期间会给消费者带来更多痛苦，房贷车贷都会上涨。通货膨胀已经升温到现在挤压家庭预算并抹去收入增长的地步。宏观经济前景恶化以及通胀上升仍应支持黄金，股市表现不佳的风险上升增强了其分散风险的吸引力。

Analysis of Gold Trends

　　黄金今日波动不大，维持1846支撑上方运行，和此前的震荡走势一样，属于突破新高后的再次蓄势，是为了再次突破新高积攒力量。要想跳的高，就要下蹲然后再次爆发，这也给了我们再次做多的机会，支撑位置继续多。

　　黄金现在一直维持均线支撑上方运行，属于多头上涨趋势，我们现在的思路只有一个，低多看涨。至于黄金是否已经见顶，是否会进行大幅回调，没有跌破关键支撑确认信号前，我们不会轻易的改变看法。一切以实际走势给出的信号为准，幻想和猜测只会陷入不断的抄底摸顶之中，甚至迷失方向，抛掉鱼头鱼尾吃鱼身的波段操作才是王道。

Operational strategy: Gold1848Multiple, stop loss1840Stop surplus1865

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