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Guide Metallographer:5.24今日黄金走势分析,黄金关注回调需求再多

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  周一因美元继续走软,gold走高,美市盘中黄金冲高回落但整体依然收涨。此外美股也出现了反弹,10The yield of one-year treasury bond bonds is close to2.86%,本月早些时候曾触及三年半以来的高点。收益率上升可能对黄金不利,因为它提高了持有无收益资产的机会成本。

  当前投资者对美联储能否引导美国经济实现所谓软着陆表示担忧,在上周五圣路易斯联储主席布拉德接受采访时表示:美联储应提前采取一系列激进的加息措施,在今年年底将利率推高至3.5%,如果成功,将有效压低通胀,并可能在2023Year or2024年降息。在美联储加速加息,市场对经济衰退担忧的因素下,黄金的多头逐渐强势。

Tuesday(5month24日)亚市盘初,市场普遍波动不大,现货黄金仍在1850上方徘徊。金价周一攀升,现货黄金上涨0.4%To per ounce1,853.70美元,盘中稍早一度上涨逾1%Touching1865.29USD5month9日以来最高。主要因美元指数延续跌势,一度创近四周新低至102.03,继续给金价提供反弹动能,交易员和投资者的风险偏好仍然远远不够强劲,这正推动一些对黄金的避险需求。投资者开始意识到,通胀问题将持续更长时间,而不是暂时的。美国国债收益率上涨,令黄金的吸引力有所减弱。亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克周一表示,金融市场对收紧货币政策的快速反应带来了希望,即经济的其他部门可能也会更快地做出调整 。

Analysis of Gold Market Trend:

  日线结构上,短线黄金已经连续4个交易日收阳,短线多头已经得到很好的消化,而昨日虽刺破20日线,但又收回到20日线下,说明短线回升行情至末端后也相应的得到压制,预期日内行情可能会有一定的回修延续,下方可关注均线带1840-35一带支撑回踩测试,但受前期持续回升影响,如果下调速度过快,对于整个看涨结构可能会有破坏作用,所以短期内黄金可能会有时间消耗换取空间的回修,即仅以小幅的空间回修来消化上涨,但时间上可能会有延长。日内上方则继续关注20日线争夺,虽然从中期角度来看,此位被突破的概率是很大的,但目前是很难有强势突破的可能的。

Gold's Recent Lowest Trend1786位置后得以反弹回升,目前已经突破1850大关,隔日最高冲击了1865位置,整体反弹势头比较有力,短期底部已经形成。毕竟日、周期局势早已处于严重超卖运行,大幅下跌期间没有进行过反弹修复,现在日线低位锤子线在底,迎来四连阳反弹回升,从而带动MACD红柱能开始放量运行。隔日黄金冲高1865受阻回落,美盘时段曾跌至1847低点,不过最终收尾还是守住了1850大关,日线再次连阳,代表多头反弹的延续性还是比较强。目前重点关注的还是1850大关支撑,若是无法企稳那么反弹可能将告一段落,就有望跌回1835附近测试支撑了。今日压力还是1863—1865位置,短期多头既然偏强,日线也有反弹的连续性,MA5—MA10均线形成金叉,四小时也是震荡走高从而打开布林上轨空间,那么短线操作上我们还是以回撤入多为主。

Golden Strategy One:1865Near empty, stop loss1872, Objective1855-1848

Golden Strategy 2:1845Nearby, stop loss1840, Objective1860-1855

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