Guide Metallographer:5.24黄金若失守短期支撑，金价恐迎新一波跌势

　　周二消息面：

Tuesday(5month24day)In the Asian market, spotgold短线走低，金价刚刚跌破1850dollar/Ounce level.FXStreetChief Analyst AnalystValeria BednarikThe latest article analyzes the trend of gold prices.Bednarik指出，若跌破短期支撑位1849.20dollar/盎司，金价存在进一步下跌的空间。

　　Bednarik写道，现货金周一触及每盎司1,865.38美元的峰值，但在美股开盘后涨势失去动力。股市的积极基调削弱了对避险金属的需求。现货黄金周一收报1853.38dollar/Ounces, up7.16USD or0.39%。

　　市场情绪好转是美国总统拜登(Joe Biden)言论的结果，他表示正在考虑降低对中国商品的关税。

　　Bednarik表示，黄金日线图显示，金价最近的上涨可能只是修正性的。技术指标从接近超卖的水平反弹，但依然位于负面区域内，表明买盘兴趣下降。此外，20日均线在当前金价上方保持看空倾向，并对金价构成阻力。

　　Bednarik表示，黄金短期前景也反映出买盘兴趣下降。在4小时图表上，金价在看跌的100周期均线处挣扎。20周期均线稳步走高，但仍低于当前金价水平，而技术指标正从超买水平大幅回落。假如跌破短期支撑位1849.20dollar/盎司，金价可能会出现又一波跌势。

　　消息面解析：美联储FOMC的委员们一致投票同意，五月会议加息50个基点，将联邦基金利率目标区间提升至0.75%-1%。鲍威尔重申美联储6Month and7月可能各加息50个基点，并表示早点加息可能会更好。美国财政部长耶伦周三就“具有挑战性和不确定性的全球经济前景”警告，称食品和能源价格上涨将抑制产出和支出，并提高“世界各地”的通货膨胀。但耶伦也表示，考虑到美国强劲的劳动力市场和经济，以及美国释放战略石油储备以避免国内能源价格飙升，美国“在许多方面处于最佳位置”

Gold trend analysis:

　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金昨日先扬后抑，在反弹行情中，遇到阻力也会伴随回落，日线在探高1865一线承压后，尾盘时段回测至1850下方，最终收盘在1852附近。日线相对而言，探高收在低位，亚欧盘虚破了20日均线。也是布林道中轨的阻力，但美盘时段仍承压收在之下。使得多空延续不定，从均线指标来看，中期均线向下形成压制，若是这波反弹只是修正的话，日线已有三连阳的持续，短线面临重新选择方向，此处存在拐点的可能，反之继续向上反弹延伸则会反转下行趋势。4小时小台阶震荡反弹，目前的反弹还是当作修正对待，空间上并未完全反转趋势，从二浪下跌高点1998的下挫，反抽昨日触及到了0.382的阻力，此位是反弹的首个阻力点，昨日也确实点到即止。日线收低留出上影线，使得短线仍存悬念。从浪形反弹修正的空间来看。0.382的反弹是正常的修正区域。此处若能压制转空，那么后市仍会看向跌势，不过近期美元表现弱势，使得黄金短线还是小有支撑，预计周初在美联储利率决议之前，短线还是震荡拉锯节奏。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1863-1867Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1835Frontline support.

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