Guide Metallographer:5.24今日黄金走势分析，黄金多头能否突破1870？

Message interpretation:

　　随着美国通胀仍保持在四十年高位，总统拜登和美联储似乎都铁了心将“降低通胀”放在首要位置。虽然4月份的通胀年率有所缓和令人振奋，但通胀高得令人无法接受的事实仍然存在。市场担心大举加息可能导致非常严重的潜在后果，全球股市和风险资产，以及金银受加息预期，均走出不同程度的下跌。

　　俄乌方面，七国集团周四同意向乌克兰提供184亿美元，美国总统拜登表示支持瑞典和芬兰加入北约，美国官员表示，白宫正在努力将先进的反舰导弹交到乌克兰手上，市场担忧俄乌局势恶化，支撑金价反弹。

　　近几个月来，由于担心通胀飙升、美联储立场鹰派以及俄乌局势的影响，各个市场全线下挫，投资者纷纷寻求避险，支撑了美元。不过，这波涨势上周戛然而止，市场开始担心美元高估，主要原因是美国自身经济衰退，不足以支撑维持强势，一旦外围影响缓解，美元指数则会快速进入调整，回归至合理的水平，利多金银反弹。

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Monday（5month23日）亚洲时段，现货黄金开盘延续震荡；现货黄金上周五小幅上涨，收报1845.46dollar/盎司，本周累涨1.86%，录得五周来首周上涨，因对经济成长的担忧持续，且美元本周下跌。美债收益率下滑支撑避险黄金，美债收益率连续第三个交易日下跌，因投资者仍对经济放缓迹象日益明显感到担忧。策略师表示，刚刚过去的一周美元回落，帮助金价上涨。此外，金价一跌破1785美元关口，逢低买盘就入市，这提供温和支撑。 随着美联储展开其数十年来最激进的加息周期，经济数据疲软，包括美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期，凸显经济增长面临的风险。对潜在经济衰退的担忧让投资者涌入黄金ETF。根据彭博汇编的初步数据，ETF周四的持有量从3月以来低位回升。市场分析师在报告中表示，经济数据疲软给贵金属价格带来了急需的支撑，不过，他们表示，金价要持续反弹可能会面临比较高的门槛，下行趋势和所有贵金属普遍面临负面情绪依然牢不可破

　　黄金技术面分析：　从黄金周KOn the line, the support below the gold price is stable, and bulls have been able to stop in recent weeks8月以来的跌势，并有望迎接一波反弹行情。上方初步阻力1888附近。一条长期上行趋势线显得尤为重要，若能持续交投于此线上方，则长期行情有望迎来反转。下方1825已经转化为初步支撑；日线级别单边下跌后反弹；KDJ金叉信号增强，MACD有金叉趋势，金价低位震荡后收复200日均线，在失守该位置前，短线偏向多头，甚至有望扭转前期跌势，初步阻力在5month3Daily low point1850Near the checkpoint ，21Daily moving average resistance1862Nearby,1998-1786Downtrend38.2%Resistance to retreat position1867.67附近，若能收复该位置，则增加看涨信号。下方200Daily moving average1839已经转化为初步支撑所在，进一步支撑在1830关口附近，也可以参考5Daily moving average1828.48附近位置，若回落至该位置下方，则削弱短线看涨信号。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1865-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1844-1839Frontline support.

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