Dingsheng Jinshi:5.20早间黄金最新走势分析

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Message interpretation:goldPrice Thursday(5month19day)反弹，因美元和美国国债收益率下跌，再加上风险资产下滑，在对全球经济成长的担忧中，投资者重燃对黄金的避险需求。现货黄金日内持续大幅攀升，美市盘中刷新日高至1849.12美元，较日低大幅拉升逾38美元。美国上周初请失业金人数意外上升，但由于劳动力短缺，劳动力市场依然吃紧。5月初，美国初请失业金人数降至1969年以来最低水平。虽然初请失业金人数自3月触及逾53年低点后基本处于停滞状态，但就业市场正迅速趋紧，薪资强劲上涨，推高了整体通胀。

　　黄金走势分析：黄金日内先窄幅碎步式震荡回修，下方仅回撤至1810一线，比预期回撤低点要高一些，这也表明当前市场对于黄金还是抱有看涨预期的。欧盘时段受美元再度下跌影响，黄金出现一波回弹，冲破1825短压，目前也抵达预期压力区域1843一带，预期短线行情暂时可能会在此承压，但按照目前美指偏弱调整的状态，届时上方或可期待冲刺20Daily line1860附近。结合短线走势，黄金依旧持看涨思路，虽然目前1843有阻碍，但时间上可能还是会有很大的冲破概率的。黄金行情如果在1843有承压，下方可关注1822-20一带支撑回踩，只要行情不跌回1820以下，则小时图级别结构重心抬升，后期再度回升也就只是时间问题了。

　　周五预计依然是走震荡偏强走势，下方理想多单点位在1830一线，随着时间推移可能需要上移到1833一线，空单最佳选择是在1857-60一线。今日收线若企稳1840，那么明天将走极强走势，早盘稍微回调点就要开始做多，早盘在1835一线，午后不跌则需要上移到1840上方。早盘不回调欧美盘会直接涨，日内基本不考虑空单，等到美盘再去空，最少也是接近1860甚至更高点位。如果意外收线低于1830，那么本周最后一个交易日又是做震荡的一天。操作区间在1820-48，防守区间在1815-52。操作上鼎盛金师还是建议维持低多看涨的思路对待；

　　黄金策略布局：

　　1Gold advice1848区间参与空，止损1854, look at the goal1835-30；

　　2Gold advice1830Multiple participation, stop loss1825, look at the goal1850-50；

　　5.20白银走势分析：

Silver's recent highest impact26The checkpoint has significantly declined, and due to the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, the daily line has experienced ten consecutive negative declines, and has successfully opened up the downward trajectory space for Bollinger,MA5—MA10The moving average maintains a dead fork downward suppression,MACDIt is also a continuation of the green column's ability to measure. In terms of the monthly line, it also rose and fell, ending in a big negative trend, laying the foundation for the decline in May; At present, silver has fallen below21.5Front low position, refresh low point to20.5The position and bearish trend are clear at a glance. Today and Friday are expected to see a rebound and recovery for technical repair, after all, from a high double peak to the current20The gate has already fallen completely6It's already in the US dollar, and both the daily and weekly lines are in severe oversold areas. Personally, I think we can20.5Nearby layouts are mostly focused on technical rebound fixes, but the current trend is still bearish, rebound21.5Emptiness is taking advantage of the situation.

Pressure:22——23Support:20——19

　　5.20crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　原油技术面分析：原油周线上周收报一根较长下影十字线，而本周一直接续涨，这样的上拉往往动能不足，容易掉下来，周二和周三坚持以高空思路对待，多次挂空都差一点距离未打进去，昨晚EIA库存数据公布利多无法上冲，和预想一致，果断112.3追空，最低下跌至107.5，一波500点利润空间，一个晚上就可以得到，这就是原油的刺激感，但风控一定要做好；今日早盘提示110.5处存在短期，它是隔夜跌幅反抽382分割压力，大幅下跌走弱后，一般382会首当其冲一次，接下来欧盘就看能否破位今日早盘107.5低点，一旦失守，下方支撑就关注105-104.8（618分割位置），会有一定买盘支撑，稳定可考虑反手短多，但最终拉升一波后，还会掉头向下，去试探近期慢反复上行通道的下轨位置100.5处，也是波段空的最终落点，同时具备反手波段多的条件，因此，短期阻力110.5and112Short term support107.5、105, strong support100.5，这几个都是后续的关键所在。综合来看，原油今日操作上建议以反弹做空为主，回踩低多为辅，上方短期关注110-111Frontline resistance, short-term focus below104-105Frontline support.

　　— This article is contributed by Ding Sheng Jin Shi.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi Online Solution Set,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!