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goldLatest Market Analysis
Yesterday, gold initially hit a high and fluctuated. Although the US dollar index has been falling all the way, gold has not budged and the high point has only been pushed up1836Frontline, i.e200The daily pressure level, on the contrary, the late market continued to fall under pressure and eventually fell back5Daily offline, closing at1815Nearby, there is a small overcast line with an upward shadow in the daily line collection area. In terms of daily structure, the decline and rebound in the previous two days have resulted in a positive and negative closingKUnder the influence of the line pattern and the significant downward adjustment of the US dollar, yesterday's market not only did not have inertia to rise, but instead fell and closed negative, making the trend truly abnormal. Looking back at the reason why the market experienced a brief rebound and then fell back, there may be two main reasons: firstly, the rebound on Monday night to some extent overdrawn the rebound space brought by the decline of the US dollar, but compared to the strength of the US dollar decline, the current rebound strength of gold is still insufficient; Secondly, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and other officials continued to strengthen their expectations for aggressive interest rate hikes, suppressing the momentum of gold's recovery. However, the news was released in the late night, and before the announcement, gold had already shown a very weak performance, so the impact was actually limited. So, returning to the technical structure of the market itself, currently there is a gap between two yin and one yangKThe line shape is also difficult to make further direction judgments, and the current gold trend has also deviated from the rhythm of the US dollar trend, which further increases the uncertainty risk of the short-term market. Therefore, we can temporarily wait and see within the day, giving the market the time and process to digest the choices, in order to avoid the current risks that cannot be targeted.
Combining daily and hourly chart structures, focus on the top of the day first5Daily line1817Competition nearby, but the main pressure still depends on10、200Daily line1835/36Nearby, while below, the focus is on1800Nearby integer digit competition, currently affected by the continuation of yesterday's negative line, market sentiment may appear depressed, and low volatility digestion is a high probability event. In terms of operation, given the current trend of long short conversion in the market and the extremely inconsistent performance with the rhythm of the US dollar, we will not make any plans to participate for the time being1820—00Within the range of oscillation digestion, but even in the range of oscillation, it is not suitable for short-term low altitude operations. If the operation is1820、1800附近,盘中再做进一步的策略调整。综合上述短线操作指南金师建议回调做多为主,下方重点关注1805-1800Support, attention from above1835-1840Resistance;
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
Multiple order strategy: recommendations1808-1803Long in batches, stop loss1798, Objective1823-1830;
Empty Order Strategy: Suggestion1835-1840Short in batches, stop loss1845, Objective1820-1815;
crude oilMarket analysis:
US crude oil Wednesday(5month18日)亚市盘初开盘小幅上涨后下挫;美市盘中,原油延续涨势,刷新日内高位115.45dollar/桶,但仅触及日内高位后回落,由于数据显示美国炼油厂提高产量以及原油futures跟随美国股市走低后,交易员不再担心原油的供应紧张,原油扩大跌幅,失守109.0Level, setting a new low for the day108.457dollar/桶,截止收盘,原油自日内低位小幅回升,收复109.0关口位置,收于109.23dollar/Bucket.
原油技术面来分析,日线上,隔日原油展开大幅下跌,盘中受阻于前期高点附近下跌至MA10日均线位置,录得带上下影线的大阴,日线上,今日早间原油开盘小幅上涨,但均线压制存在,日内或将下跌;4小时上,隔日原油白盘小幅上涨,晚间一度大阴下跌,刺破中轨连阴下行,当前布林带即将开口,MAThe moving average is about to break out of its double dead cross,KDJ随机指标三线向下,到达超卖,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量,快慢线死叉向下,综合来看,日内原油指南金师建议保持做空,上方关注关注110.5-111.0一线阻力,其次111.5-112.0A line of resistance.
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