Guo Shengshan:5.18黄金再次陷入震荡，晚间黄金原油操作策略

投资中盈亏就像坐过山车，有高峰，也有低谷，这意味着，无论眼下是好是坏，都只是暂时的。不必把一些赚赚亏亏看的那么重要！尤其是在暴涨暴跌的行情，趋势对了就翻仓了；趋势反了一味的追加保证金，最后也是爆仓了；做投资的，谁又没有经历过呢？不要幻想每一笔交易总是那么圆圆满满，盈亏需要平衡，得失也需要感受，投资在市，有如旅行，总是行路匆匆，有着那么多的迷惘和彷徨。只有静下心来，才能拨开笼罩在眼前的云雾；静静地品一杯清茶，才发觉有许多机会就在眼前。

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

Wednesday(5month18day)In the European market, European stocks struggled to move after several consecutive days of gains, and traders evaluated the latest remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. The US dollar continues to rise, while spot gold is attempting to rebound, waiting for a new round of clues. Gold prices rebounded on Wednesday, with little overall fluctuation. The US dollar rebounded slightly, damaging the performance of gold denominated in US dollars. US Treasury yields remained largely stable, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell once again showed a radical inflationary stance. Entering the European market on Wednesday, spot gold slightly rose and briefly touched1820The US dollar has risen by more than10The overall fluctuation of the US dollar is not significant. The US dollar has attempted to stabilize and rebound after three consecutive trading days of decline, reducing the attractiveness of gold to investors holding other currencies. Gold is highly concerned about the prospects of interest rates and monetary policy, especially in the United States, where the indicator is the United States10Annual bond yield(Yield rate)Stable after a sharp rise in the previous trading day, damaging the demand for zero yield gold. The Federal Reserve has raised its benchmark policy interest rate this year75Basis points and is expected to achieve6Month and7Raised again at the two meetings of the month0.5One basis point. Although gold is seen as a hedge against inflation, it has an impact on short-term US interest rates and bond yields(Yield rate)Rising is very sensitive as it increases the opportunity cost of holding gold. Some analysts say that although gold is an anti inflation asset, holding non interest bearing gold in a rising interest rate environment actually faces the problem of rising opportunity costs. At present, the weakening of the US dollar and a slight decrease in US bond yields have both driven goldfuturesRecently, it has rebounded. Nevertheless, gold has not yet emerged from its predicament.

Technical analysis of gold: On Tuesday, gold fluctuated without an absolute strength trend, with a slow rise in gold prices in Asia and Europe, and a new high in the European market1836Although the performance was strong, the long positions in the US market did not continue and showed significant downward potential, reaching their lowest point at midnight1812If we have basically regained the upward space of the Asian and European markets, then the rise of gold on Monday and Tuesday is not absolute strength, and cyclical gold still has adjustments, so we cannot be bullish on a single basis for the time being. Tuesday Gold Gives1824Many,1826More, continuous profitability, re layout on Wednesday. From a technical perspective, the rise after Monday's new low, Tuesday's volatility, and Wednesday may still maintain a volatile range. The daily chart will close positive on Monday, and on Tuesday, it will remain in a volatile range5，10The daily moving average closed bearish below the daily moving average, but it remains weak for the time being. We will change our mindset and engage in high-altitude, low long trades within the day, as long as we maintain our position at1836Below, it is difficult for gold to have any breakthrough upward potential. gold4The hourly cycle closes, and after three consecutive Yin cycles,kLine*Under the Bollinger Bands, gold may continue to weaken on Wednesday, and we will look at the support of the Bollinger Bands1800Nearby, therefore, there is still a wave of downward space on Wednesday and Thursday, and for the time being, trading should focus on short selling as much as possible. The range of small period oscillations is very obvious, with hourly lines,30I didn't even speak for a minute, and the pressure from above is1822，1830It is expected that the Asia Europe market can engage in high-altitude, low long trading within the range, and the US market will continue to trade along the trend once the direction of the European market appears. On Wednesday, the gold market in Asia and Europe will continue to decline. If the European market slows down and has a lot of room for growth, then the US market will have a continuous upward trend and stand firm1830之上再看大涨。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1830-1835Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1803-1798Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

　　原油消息面解析：油价昨日在触及七周高位后下跌2%，因有消息称，美国将放松对委内瑞拉政府的一些限制。美联储主席鲍威尔表示在降低通胀之际，可能会有一些经济痛苦，油价应声进一步下跌。他称，美国联储将“继续推动”货币政策收紧，直到通胀明显回落。支撑油价触及高位的消息是，欧盟各国外长周一向匈牙利施压，要求其不再反对拟议中的石油禁运，但并未成功。但一些外交官指出，在5month30-31日的峰会或就分阶段禁运俄石油达成一致。

Technical Analysis of Crude Oil: Yesterday's Cross of Crude OilKAfter a long period of high consolidation and flattening, the line fell back and fell to111.78.However, the closing was still at a neutral high position, with a rebound from the high without closing low. The next day, it continued to consolidate at a high level. Following the daily rise of consecutive positive trends, accompanied by a small negative crossKLine organization correction. crossKThe closing of the line is still a strong consolidation correction. However, in the late trading session, some lost ground was recovered, making the short-term competition still ongoing today. Key focus for the dayEIAdata 4The hour chart quickly turned positive and recovered after the double negative line withdrew yesterday. The end of the trading session remained at a high level, making it uncertain whether the Asian session will continue to be bullish or bearish today. It is currently difficult to determine whether to further consolidate and break through the high level or to confirm a retracement before recovering. Bollinger Road shows that it is temporarily above the mid track and has more oscillations. It does not lose the mid track when retreating, and the short track long head structure has not been changed.1小时图布林道开始收口。局部进入震荡，多空续量不定，亚盘观望，把时间点放到欧美盘。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路郭晟衫建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注116.5-117.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below111.7-111.2Frontline support.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,Due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.