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goldMarket trend analysis:
黄金从技术面来看,日线级别单边下跌;KDJLow position golden cross,K线在强支撑位附近录得“金针探底”和看涨吞没,暗示金价存在见底机会,起码存在震荡反弹或者震荡调整的机会,初步阻力在200Daily moving average1837.90Nearby, further resistance10Daily moving average1846.71Nearby, then5month3Daily low point1850关口附近阻力,强阻力在1998-1786Downtrend38.2%Retreat position1767.67Nearby. Given thatMACD死叉信号仍在,若金价未能收复200日均线,仍需提防重回跌势的可能性,初步支撑在1817.44Nearby, further support at1810and1800关口,强支撑在隔夜低点1786.70Nearby, then1month28Daily low point1780.35Nearby support.
黄金下探1785低点后反弹也未能延续,看着锤子线反弹信号强烈,可是却冲高1836位置回落,并且失守1820关口,代表空头承压还是极重,多头反弹也是有心无力。日线MA5—MA10均线保持死叉下行压制,布林下轨继续向下开口运行;周线四连阴空头压制极强,金价反弹或将告一段落,回归极弱状态。加之全球黄金ETF出现连续的减持,并没有因为1785的反弹从而出现增持,代表目前空头趋势依旧,今日有望测试1800大关,上方关注1820Nearby empty.
Golden Strategy One:1820Near empty, stop loss1825, Objective1801-1810
Golden Strategy 2:1800Nearby, stop loss1795, Objective1808-1810
crude oilMarket trend analysis;
Wednesday(5month18During the Asian period, American Oil hovered around114dollar/Barrel; Oil prices briefly hit a new high during Tuesday's intraday trading session3month9New high in recent days115.56后回落,有消息称,美国将放松对委内瑞拉政府的一些限制,委内瑞拉原油供应或增加的预期拖累油价。美国财政部官员表示,由于俄罗斯石油的销售价格低于全球指标油价,关税可以设定在既能填补部分差价,又能减少俄罗斯利润的水平。但他们补充说,关税须低到足以让俄罗斯有利可图,从而有动力继续出口。这些官员说,让俄罗斯石油继续留在市场上,可以避免欧洲石油禁运可能导致的油价进一步上涨。油价大涨会抵消禁运对俄罗斯收入的影响。这些官员表示,许多国家的政府都强烈希望尽快停止购买俄罗斯石油,但这样做的风险很高,完全的禁运可能会大幅推高油价。他们表示,美国财政部正在研究包括关税在内的价格机制,以帮助保护全球经济免受能源价格高企的进一步损害。总体来看,俄乌冲突引发的地缘紧张局势升级,欧盟对俄制裁或进一步升级,油价维持多头基调;但受到美国对委内瑞拉原油的限制放宽,油价短线或震荡偏空。
原油技术面分析;原油昨日十字KAfter a long period of high consolidation and flattening, the line fell back and fell to111.78.However, the closing was still at a neutral high position, with a rebound from the high without closing low. The next day, it continued to consolidate at a high level. Following the daily rise of consecutive positive trends, accompanied by a small negative crossKLine organization correction. crossK线的收盘仍是偏强的整理修正。4The hour chart quickly turned positive and recovered after the double negative line withdrew yesterday. The end of the trading session remained at a high level, making it uncertain whether the Asian session will continue to be bullish or bearish today. It is currently difficult to determine whether to further consolidate and break through the high level or to confirm a retracement before recovering. Bollinger Road shows that it is temporarily above the mid track and has more oscillations. It does not lose the mid track when retreating, and the short track long head structure has not been changed.1小时图布林道开始收口。局部进入震荡,多空续量不定,综上所述,今日原油操作思路上指南金师建议以回踩做多为主,反弹高空为辅,短期上方重点关注116.0-116.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below111.5-111.0Frontline support.
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