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goldMarket trend analysis:
Tuesday(5month17At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range, holding onto most of Monday's gains. Currently, trading is1826Around the US dollar. On Monday, gold prices bottomed out and rebounded, although they briefly fell to1800Below the checkpoint, it reached a new low in nearly three and a half months1786.7Nearby, but with the pullback in US dollar and US bond yields, gold prices have turned upside down and rebounded to1820upper. Analysts believe that there is still room for US treasury bond bonds to rebound, which is expected to provide further opportunities for gold prices to rebound. On this trading day, it will be announced in the United States4Monthly retail sales data, known as "terrorist data" due to its significant impact, requires investors to pay close attention. Currently, the market is expected to grow month on month0.8%, previous value is0.5%,可能会给金价反弹制造麻烦。此外,本交易日还有包括美联储主席鲍威尔在内的多位官员讲话,投资者也需要重点关注。
同时,需要继续留意俄乌局势和新冠疫情相关消息。整体来看,虽然近期对地缘局势的担忧有所降温,但仍有避险情绪存在,关键是美元和美债仍存在进一步回调空间,有望给金价进一步反弹提供机会,但还需留意乐观经济数据和美联储官员的讲话,因为美联储激进加息的预期可能会进一步巩固,这可能会限制金价的反弹空间。指南金师表示虽然从根本上说,我继续看好黄金,但希望看到价格已经触底的技术面反转型态出现。其中一种情况是金价重新回到之前跌破的趋势线,重回1850dollar/Above the ounce resistance level. But the first thing to do is to defend the gold price1800dollar/Support around ounces.
Technical analysis of gold:
回顾日内黄金走势,在美元没有太大波动,消息面也相对平和的情况下,日内黄金出现如此诡异走势还是很反常的,这样的走势也充分说明当前行情的情绪化风险,虽然下方1786A trend line that belongs to a short-term low point connection, but this abnormal state is not strictly in accordance with technical requirements. The expected market on the hourly chart may come under pressure1818-20Conduct a pullback1810-07Regional decline stopped and completed a three band downward revision for a small cycle, but gold has already fallen below1800The low point dropped to1786Nearby, it belongs to a serious oversold, with obvious signs of short selling, and the evening US market also perfectly met expectations. Slowly rising all the way and directly breaking through to1820frontline!
今日黄金下方关注1810Short term support, the main support still depends on the low trend line connection1785-80Area, on the Golden Station early this morning1820Above, continue testing1835区域测试,操作上,今日主思路依旧保留择低布局多单思路,鉴于日内行情波动异常状态,务必做好仓位管理,尽可能的择低点参与,而至于空单,则不再考虑参与,因为目前美指回修迹象还是很重的,则黄金空单风险是远大于多单的,顺势而为,今日操作上低多为主!综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上指南金师建议以回踩做多为主,反弹高空为辅,短期上方重点关注1835-1840Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1805-1800Frontline support.
crude oilLatest Market Analysis
Tuesday(5month17During the Asian period, American Oil hovered around114dollar/Near the barrel; Meiyou rose by more than3%Touched at one point in the session3month10New high in recent days114.90dollar/Barrel, due to tight global oil supply, the market is concerned about summer supply. American gasolinefuturesFor the first time in history, it exceeded the limit per gallon4The national average retail price of gasoline rose to a record high in the US dollar. For the first time in history, US gasoline futures have surpassed per gallon4In the US dollar, the national average retail price of gasoline has reached a record high, and the rise in crude oil futures prices often quickly spreads to the gasoline market, indicating that people will face higher energy costs as the end of the summer driving peak month approaches5month13In the week of the day, the inventory of Cushing crude oil decreased by about262.9Ten thousand barrels, tight US inventory leading to higher oil prices. Overall, the tight supply of refined oil is good for oil prices, but the EU Foreign Ministers' Meeting failed to reach a consensus on a new round of sanctions against Russia, and the EU has given a green light for European companies to continue purchasing Russian natural gas, which may limit the increase in oil prices; Follow within the dayAPIdata
Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil closed higher and rose again yesterday. The daily trend has been strong for four consecutive days, and there is no sign of stopping the upward trend. It has been revised in the consolidation process before accumulating momentum to break through the high trend. Yesterday, the short-term trend was stepped on first, followed by a rise, and stepped back first108.20The first line started to stabilize, and the European and American markets gradually consolidated and regained momentum, breaking through the high in the late trading and closing at a high level.4The hourly wave of strong breaking continues to rise in the short term, but after stepping back yesterday, we held on10The unit moving average is measured again. At present, the short-term trend is relatively strong, but after reaching a high point, the defense of the previous high point still needs to be tested. Whether to further accumulate momentum to break through the high point or construct a second top fall remains to be confirmed. However, considering that the short-term trend is relatively strong, it is not advisable to guess the top too early at the moment. Let's take advantage of the trend and wait for the pattern of hitting the high point and falling back before adjusting our thinking.1Hour chart yesterday108.20The formation of short-term low points during the initial stabilization period, the fluctuation of the steps, the rise of the secondary low point, and the upward pattern remain unchanged. Today, the mid track of the Bulling Road happened to break the high point yesterday111.80.日内短线回踩中轨处先行短线看多。综上所述,今日原油操作思路上指南金师建议以回踩做多为主,反弹高空为辅,短期上方重点关注116-117Frontline resistance, short-term focus below110-111Frontline support.
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