Guo Shengshan:5.17午夜黄金暴跌后还会涨吗？尾盘操作建议附解套

Not that the market is not suitable, not that the market is not awesome. I stood in the wrong position and took the wrong direction. If you change your mindset, you may find that gold bars are everywhere. Mercedes Benz on muddy roads can never run away from Xiali on the highway! Investment should avoid the idea of overnight wealth, what we need to do is to survive in the market for a long time. Do not expect to buy from bottom to top again, sell from top to bottom, quit greed and panic, and obtain profits that can be obtained; Treat every fluctuation of the market with a calm mind, avoid greed and panic, and do not seek to become a top seller and bottom buyer. Just take advantage of the situation, make steady profits, and be safe in your pocket!

　　goldMarket trend analysis

　　黄金技术面分析：从黄金日线图看，昨日金价技术面整体延续空头弱势下行走势，价格在亚欧盘快速回落破底1870关口不断走弱，欧盘小幅反抽触及1872一线再度承压回落延续弱势下行震荡，晚间价格加速下破1860Arrival at the checkpoint1855关口附近震荡企稳回升，最终价格强势反抽至1870上方二次承压回落走跌，凌晨进一步下行破位1855Arrival at the checkpoint1851关口附近报收弱势破位中阴，整体价格延续近期空头极弱下行走势，日线级别跌破5日均线支撑再度走极弱，今日借助反抽继续主空顺势下看破底，上方压力关注昨日凌晨小时线开跌口1866-1870区域，日内冲高承压此位置继续主空下看回落。

Gold4小时级别震荡；留意布林线轨道1852-1900Regional breakthroughs; at presentKDJ向下发散，MACD初步死叉，留意1850附近支撑，如果失守该位置，则短线偏向再度跌向布林线下轨1840附近，能否进一步下破，还有待观察。MA5—MA10均线维持死叉下行态势，布林带下轨依然向下开口运行，下方还有一定的下行空间。空头趋势还是非常明确的，现在黄金跌至1850大关，从反弹力度来看很弱，按照预期1850是要跌破的，操作上反弹就是空一条路。亚欧盘关注1866压力与1870防守，看给不给机会，预期亚欧盘会先有反弹。下方目标位继续看破底，前期低点1850关口有望近期迎来空头加速下破，短线多单一律不参与，继续保持反抽主空顺势下看为主，反抽顺势空依旧是主基调，综合来看，今日黄金短线操作上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注1872-1877Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1850-1845Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

　　原油消息面解析：国际油价方面，两油先跌后涨。WTI原油美盘中扩大涨幅，突破114dollar/Bucket, for3month25日以来首次，最终收涨3.30%Report113.72dollar/桶；布伦特原油高开后大幅下挫，欧盘中开启反弹，最终收涨2.45%Report113.88dollar/桶。据电讯，伊拉克石油部部长称，伊拉克迫切希望稳定国际石油市场。伊拉克石油部长表示，计划到2027年底将产量提高到60010000 barrels/日。巴林石油部长称，欧佩克+将继续提升月度产量。

Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil closed higher and rose again yesterday. The daily trend has been strong for four consecutive days, and there is no sign of stopping the upward trend. It has been revised in the consolidation process before accumulating momentum to break through the high trend. Yesterday, the short-term trend was stepped on first, followed by a rise, and stepped back first108.20The first line started to stabilize, and the European and American markets gradually consolidated and regained momentum, breaking through the high in the late trading and closing at a high level.4The hourly wave of strong breaking continues to rise in the short term, but after stepping back yesterday, we held on10The unit moving average is measured again. At present, the short-term trend is relatively strong, but after reaching a high point, the defense of the previous high point still needs to be tested. Whether to further accumulate momentum to break through the high point or construct a second top fall remains to be confirmed. However, considering that the short-term trend is relatively strong, it is not advisable to guess the top too early at the moment. Let's take advantage of the trend and wait for the pattern of hitting the high point and falling back before adjusting our thinking.1Hour chart yesterday108.20The formation of short-term low points during the initial stabilization period, the fluctuation of the steps, the rise of the secondary low point, and the upward pattern remain unchanged. Today, the mid track of the Bulling Road happened to break the high point yesterday111.80.日内短线回踩中轨处先行短线看多。综上所述，今日原油操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，短期上方重点关注116.5-117.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below113.0-112.5Frontline support.

　　解套：

　　1Long term unwinding. Investors who have identified a major trend (such as a bullish market) and placed their orders in a minor trend (a downward trend in the market) can first stop losing and then enter at a lower price to earn a price difference. This can also earn profits from the major trend and reduce the risk of short positions caused by the minor trend.

　　2Short term unlocking. If investors make a complete mistake in their judgment of the market, they should decisively close their positions to avoid further unilateral price fluctuations and suffering greater losses.The longer short-term investors hold in a unilateral market, the greater the losses they will incur.

　　3Light position unwinding (also applicable to investors with large funds). That is, as the decline in the price increases, it increases the buying price and uses idle funds to lower costs, waiting for the price to rebound. Its advantage is that no matter how deep it is nested, as long as it is operated properly, it can be unlocked once there is a rebound.

　　4, band unpacking. This method is suitable for various market stages of hedging, especially for volatile markets, mainly relying on the fluctuation of stock prices and utilizing the fluctuation price difference to unwind. The concept of this method is to buy low and sell high, sell high and buy low, gradually reducing costs and reducing losses. Its advantage lies in the variety of operating techniques, which are not limited to a single pattern, actively attacking, and if operated properly, the release speed is fast. The disadvantage lies in the high demand for personal time, energy, and ability, frequent operation with certain cost pressure, and improper operation can easily cause greater losses. We need professional knowledge and guidance with time, energy, and skills.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,Due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.