Guo Shengshan:5.17晚间黄金反复震荡，晚间操作策略建议

投资犹如下棋，棋艺高者能看出五步，七步甚至十几步，而棋艺低者只能看出两三步，高者顾大局，谋大势，不以一子一地为重，以最终赢棋为目标，低者则寸土必争，只为争一时之需，结果频频受困。趋势，一定要有长远眼光，投资，一定要有长远规划，而交易技巧是成功的关键。做投资，如果你的能力不足以支撑你的野心，那么你需要一位军师助你操控大局，一次选择，就是一次转折!One attempt is an opportunity!

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

　　黄金消息面解读：周二（5month17At the beginning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range, holding onto most of Monday's gains. Currently, trading is1826Around the US dollar. On Monday, gold prices bottomed out and rebounded, although they briefly fell to1800Below the checkpoint, it reached a new low in nearly three and a half months1786.7Nearby, but with the pullback in US dollar and US bond yields, gold prices have turned upside down and rebounded to1820上方。郭晟衫认为，美国国债仍有反弹空间，有望给金价提供进一步反弹机会。本交易日将出炉美国4Monthly retail sales data, known as "terrorist data" due to its significant impact, requires investors to pay close attention. Currently, the market is expected to grow month on month0.8%, previous value is0.5%，可能会给金价反弹制造麻烦。此外，本交易日还有包括美联储主席鲍威尔在内的多位官员讲话，投资者也需要重点关注。同时，需要继续留意俄乌局势和新冠疫情相关消息。整体来看，虽然近期对地缘局势的担忧有所降温，但仍有避险情绪存在，关键是美元和美债仍存在进一步回调空间，有望给金价进一步反弹提供机会，但还需留意乐观经济数据和美联储官员的讲话，因为美联储激进加息的预期可能会进一步巩固，这可能会限制金价的反弹空间。郭晟衫虽然从根本上说，我继续看好黄金，但希望看到价格已经触底的技术面反转型态出现。其中一种情况是金价重新回到之前跌破的趋势线，重回1850dollar/Above the ounce resistance level. But the first thing to do is to defend the gold price1800dollar/Support around ounces.

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金昨日亚盘反弹1817.40一线承压，没能强势突破上周五尾盘的反抽高点，隔日不过前一日的尾盘高。短线则会先行延续下探。亚盘在1818下方承压之后，盘中临盘调整了一下思路。在跌破了1808之后直接在1806-1807跟进了短线空单下看1796-1790.看了一个惯性的摔低。也是考虑到周线的收低，本周先会惯性的延续。目前1小时图是处于低位第三次摔低，要留意这种低位摔低后的节奏，伴随一个低点一个反抽。也就是形成三重低或多重低之后，指标无力创新低，短线会伴随修正。故低位做空单，摔低后要把握及时减仓或落袋。既不踏空行情，也不过分贪恋。目前结合4小时的下行通道接近了下轨支撑处，可能虽在反抽，虽然目前还不能说是止跌，但从技术上来看，短线可能有反弹修正。故目前位置暂时观望，启稳后短线不排除会尝试看反弹。综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，短期上方重点关注1835-1840Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1810-1805Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

　　原油消息面解析：国际油价方面，两油先跌后涨。WTI原油美盘中扩大涨幅，突破114dollar/Bucket, for3month25日以来首次，最终收涨3.30%Report113.72dollar/桶；布伦特原油高开后大幅下挫，欧盘中开启反弹，最终收涨2.45%Report113.88dollar/桶。据电讯，伊拉克石油部部长称，伊拉克迫切希望稳定国际石油市场。伊拉克石油部长表示，计划到2027年底将产量提高到60010000 barrels/日。巴林石油部长称，欧佩克+将继续提升月度产量。

Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil closed higher and rose again yesterday. The daily trend has been strong for four consecutive days, and there is no sign of stopping the upward trend. It has been revised in the consolidation process before accumulating momentum to break through the high trend. Yesterday, the short-term trend was stepped on first, followed by a rise, and stepped back first108.20The first line started to stabilize, and the European and American markets gradually consolidated and regained momentum, breaking through the high in the late trading and closing at a high level.4The hourly wave of strong breaking continues to rise in the short term, but after stepping back yesterday, we held on10The unit moving average is measured again. At present, the short-term trend is relatively strong, but after reaching a high point, the defense of the previous high point still needs to be tested. Whether to further accumulate momentum to break through the high point or construct a second top fall remains to be confirmed. However, considering that the short-term trend is relatively strong, it is not advisable to guess the top too early at the moment. Let's take advantage of the trend and wait for the pattern of hitting the high point and falling back before adjusting our thinking.1Hour chart yesterday108.20The formation of short-term low points during the initial stabilization period, the fluctuation of the steps, the rise of the secondary low point, and the upward pattern remain unchanged. Today, the mid track of the Bulling Road happened to break the high point yesterday111.80.日内短线回踩中轨处先行短线看多。综上所述，今日原油操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，短期上方重点关注116.5-117.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below113.0-112.5Frontline support.

Author/Guo Sheng Shirt

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,Due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.