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Guide Metallographer:5.16黄金走势多空来回扫,伦敦金操作建议

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TodaygoldTrend analysis:

  黄金日内先有回弹,但上方仅仅测压至1818附近便表现承压,行情在此出现承压再回修也是在预期范围内的,但是欧盘时段出现一波急促下跌,跌破1800整数关口,下方短时跌至1786一线,随后行情又震荡回弹至1807,目前围绕在1800上方震荡运行。

  回顾日内黄金走势,在美元没有太大波动,消息面也相对平和的情况下,日内黄金出现如此诡异走势还是很反常的,这样的走势也充分说明当前行情的情绪化风险,虽然下方1786A trend line that belongs to a short-term low point connection, but this abnormal state is not strictly in accordance with technical requirements. The expected market on the hourly chart may come under pressure1818-20Conduct a pullback1810-07区域止跌,完成小周期的三波段下修,但目前黄金以已经跌破1800The low point dropped to1786附近,也符合三波下跌的技术趋势需要,所以晚间黄金还是有条件有理由进行回弹的,只不过在今日欧盘时段一波下跌破位1800后,完成三波段下跌后,短线再度下跌的空间未必就会很大了,且行情随时可能出现技术性的超跌反弹,但是黄金短期内回弹的幅度和动能还是得要看美元脸色,如果美指不能跌破104.3支撑,则黄金预计也难有进一步回升空间。

  黄金下方关注1795-93短支撑,主要支撑还是要看低点趋势线连线1785-80区域,上方则先关注1807-10一带压力,如果能站稳其上,则上方还是可期1818-20、1830-35区域测试,但能否强势回升还是得要看美指脸色。操作上主思路依旧保留择低布局多单思路,鉴于日内行情波动异常状态,务必做好仓位管理,尽可能的择低点参与,而至于空单,则不再考虑参与,因为目前美指回修迹象还是很重的,一旦美指回修,则黄金空单风险是远大于多单的,甚至可在美指有效跌破104.3后,黄金直接考虑短线多单追入参与。

  ①晚间黄金下方有待回撤1795-93轻仓搏一次短多,暂带止损1790, look at the goal1800上方先改保本止损,测压1807-10减仓,剩余持单再看1818-20、1830附近再做分批减离。

  ②晚间行情即便在1807-10、1818-20再有承压表现,也不考虑任何空单参与,上方可着重关注1830附近压力,如果行情短时拉升至此有承压,可酌情考虑短空。

  ③如果晚间行情再度出现下跌,下方可在1785、1782-80分批挂多单,待有效跌回1780以下手动止损,或扩大止损至1775,目标暂看1790-1800区域先减仓改保本止损,其后根据美指是否下跌以及下跌力度再做进一步策略调整

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