Guide Metallographer:5.16今日黄金最新行情分析，黄金依旧未见底！

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

　　受到通胀数据依然处于高位的情况下，上周五美元再次强势攀升，并且突破了此前非常重要的高点104关口，目前还是进一步释放上行的空间，高通胀会导致美联储继续加快升息的步伐，无疑让市场投资者更加看好美元的未来前景而增加持有，所以黄金价格自然就会承压，虽然一度反弹回至1850上方，但周五美盘时段再度承压回落连创新低一度刺破1800关口。布拉德表示，实体经济可能会出现波折，美联储未来如何行动仍取决新公布的经济数据表现。

　　黄金现在徘徊1800大关附近仍然面临着下跌风险，至少从日线来看还得回踩下1800大关附近支撑，毕竟日线MA5—MA10均线依然死叉下行压制，布林下轨继续开口下行，MACD继续保持绿动能放量状态；特别是周线四连阴下跌，本周又是大阴收尾，整体局势还是很弱，多头想要逆势翻盘还是需要时间的。目前1720—1753上行趋势支撑点已经有跌破迹象，如若1800大关未能坚守那么还将测试1780位置，多头就更加跌入深渊难以翻身了。需要注意的是黄金已经处于严重超卖，近期应该也会有反弹修复的机会，操作上尽量顺势而为，反弹关注1820附近布局空单。

Golden Strategy One:1818Near empty, stop loss1825, Objective1805-1810

Golden Strategy 2:1785Nearby, stop loss1775, Objective1810-1820

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil message surface:5month16日亚洲时段，美油延续涨势，现报111.25dollar/桶，早间一度创3month28日以来最高至111.57dollar/桶；因美国汽油价格飙升至历史新高，根据OPEC5Monthly report,OPEC内部减产执行率持续分化，沙特、伊拉克、阿联酋和科威特4个大型产油国2022year4月平均减产执行率保值在100%左右，基本保持足额生产。其他小型产油国则受制于产能、人力、资金等因素，减产执行率持续走高，尼日利亚执行率已经突破500%。后期来看，沙特等部分大型产油国满足于高油价，不希望进一步增产，而中小产油国则受制于国内产能因素，无法达到产量配额。OPEC供应增量有限。从当前基本面来看，俄罗斯原油出口降量不及预期、战略储备持续释放及国内需求偏弱带来的弱现实局面难有实质性改善，月差反弹空间有限。指南金师从预期层面来看，欧盟禁运落地后难有进一步的利多呈现，虽俄罗斯产量继续下滑难以避免，但过渡期内欧佩克及美国产量仍有较大提升空间，远端缺口预期亦相对有限，绝对价格不宜过分看高，区间上沿附近仍以偏空看待。

　　原油上周五强势上涨收高，回测106.30一线启稳后一路强势上涨逼近前期高点，本周开盘跳空高开再创新低，周线收盘强势收复，将周初下跌失地尽数收回且创出新高点，从周线的收盘情况来看，本轮的回调每次都是点到中轨即止，中轨也成为了周线的多头防守关键点，失守中轨才能中期向下调整，反之守住还将继续维持在高位整理反复摸高。日线一波连阳式强势收复失地，重新从下轨回到了上轨。目前上轨轻微张口。使得空间有向上延续的可能，但也不排除回归区间拉锯。4小时宽基数拉锯震荡，下跌快收复也快。从目前的结构来看，短期站上均线上方且均线指标拐头向上形成支撑，同时也上破了此前的高点。短线有进一步延续之势，但上行空间也是边走边看。由于反复拉锯的空间结构频率较多，本周也不排除冲高回落再进行回撤。操作上需要结合形态灵活应对。综上所述，今日原油操作思路上指南金师建议短期上方重点关注113.0-114.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below107.0-106.0Frontline support.

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