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gold方面分析:
Last Friday(5month13日)黄金再度下挫盘中一度跌破1800关口,创下了2month4日以来的新低。美盘一度反弹近20美金,最高至1818.4dollar/盎司,收盘1811.38dollar/盎司,日线再度收阴,目前黄金的走势还是比较弱,在没有大阳线这样明显的行情反转的情况下预计还将继续探底。
四小时线显然空头趋势更加明显,从1920Nearby,k线向下运行丝毫不犹豫,大阴线继续下行,k线全程位于50均线下方,同时几乎很难看到大阴线的反弹,大阴线的实体继续全覆盖吞没,macd能量柱也是位于零轴下方,同时逐步远离零轴,日内支撑位显示在1790附近,连续四周收阴,周线已形成技术性死叉,空头趋势进一步强化中。目前依旧没有给出明确的探底信号,所以操作上指南金师建议就不要盲目的去看反弹,还是顺势而为好一点,日内建议1820-1826布局空单,下方看至1798-90Area.
crude oilLatest Market Analysis
5month13日,受强势美元所累,因市场预期美联储货币政策会大幅收紧。美油大涨近4%,尾盘收报110.16dollar/桶,随着俄罗斯柴油出口大幅下滑,全球成品油短缺继续推高燃油价格,美国加油站汽油和柴油价格周五分别升至每加仑4.43USD and5.56美元的纪录高位,上周汽油库存连续第六周下降;这推动汽油裂解价升至自2020year4月创纪录以来的最高水平,当时美国原油futures收于负值区间。在美国夏季驾车高峰季即将到来之际,美国燃油库存下降意味着消费者面临的局势难以好转。美国汽油期货目前比原油价格高出每桶55美元,为多年来最大价差。有分析师表示,美国汽油库存自3月以来一直没有增加,他指出,在美国从阵亡将士纪念日假期周末开始进入驾车出行季后,汽油需求将攀升。如果欧盟全面实施石油禁运,可能令俄罗斯石油产量减少约30010000 barrels/日,这将彻底扰乱并最终改变全球贸易流,引发市场恐慌和价格极端波动。
技术面,日线大阳收高吞没小阴KThe short-term and short-term fluctuations have returned to the range, and the continuity of the two yin and one yang is insufficient. It has not yet left the unilateral trend.4小时图一波低位连阳收复近半失地。下跌快收复也快,拉锯震荡的节奏。多空反转快,要关键临界点的得失。一旦失守强弱临界点,就会改变即定的节奏,综上所述,上周原油先跌后涨,出现了VReversal pattern, strong bulls, focus this week111.32Break situation, and then114.2美元阻力,今日操作上指南金师考虑回撤布局空单为主,上方关注113-114USD resistance, follow below107-106dollar/Bucket.
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