Guide Metallographer:5.15Next week's gold trend analysis, early layout is the key to winning all battles

If a ship doesn't know which port to sail to, then the wind in any direction will not be downwind. If the transaction cannot be executed as planned, any trend in the market will be fleeting. Orders are always done as one pleases, the market is always what one does not want, always wanting to control everything, but actually being in the game! In a big environment, one should know to be content with the situation, while in a small ordinary situation, one should know how to overcome difficulties. There is no once and for all leisure, nor is there any easy blessing, gradually realizing that living hard is the norm. If you want to get more, you must not be afraid of hard work, sink your heart, and go all out!

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Friday(5month13day)Gold prices fell and closed at2month4The lowest level since the beginning of the day, and this week is the consecutive fourth4The week fell as the soaring US dollar offset the attractiveness of gold as an inflation hedge. In late US trading, spot gold closed higher1811.41element/Ounces, down10.22USD or0.56%The highest daily hit1828.71dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1798.97dollar/ounce. This week, spot gold fell71.52USD or3.80%, for2021year6The worst weekly performance since mid month. Analysts say that gold prices are currently at1800Around the US dollar, there may be greater selling risk. The gold price fell below on Thursday1830After the support level of the US dollar, it was dragged down by technical selling pressure. The rise of the US dollar and the release of higher than expected inflation data from the United States have also put pressure on the precious metal due to market expectations that the Federal Reserve will take aggressive measures.

The main reason for the weakening of gold prices this week is the strengthening of the US dollar, with the US dollar index approaching a decades-long high this week105Upshift area. Looking ahead to next week, if it breaks down1800The US dollar and gold will face greater selling risks. Traders are expected to expand the trading range of gold in the short term, so all markets are continuously fluctuating. The decline in gold is due to investors compensating for losses elsewhere. Traders and investors cleared gold to compensate for significant losses in the stock market. During economic downturns, gold is one of the easiest things to exchange for cash.

Technical analysis of gold: Friday's weekly closing, gold provided4Zhou Lianyin, the weekly line has formed a technical dead fork, and the bearish trend is further strengthening. From the gold daily chart, it can be seen that the closing line has been continuously negative and single positive, and the signal of bottoming out has not yet appeared. The daily rise has instead become a signal of bearish acceleration, and the current price has completely broken through200The daily moving average shows a stronger bearish outlook for bears,1800The checkpoint is no longer sufficient to pose a threat to bears, next target1780。 From the current daily pattern, short-term pressure concerns5average1835The first line is also a trend counter pressure point, and the other is1823First line open fall, support concentration1798-95Region, currently gold is1798Stop falling and rebound; In the short term, it still maintains a weak pattern, but the decline is close to the early rise point and also close to the last few areas where the bottom trend derivative is concentrated, which is1780Near the front line, there is a possibility of a potential oversold and rebound at any time, and the personal expectation of a gold analyst is that the gold will touch1780There will be a good wave of midline opportunities nearby.

Gold4When viewed online, prices are far away from the short-term moving average, and the Bollinger belt continues to spread downwardsMACDThe green energy column continues to increase in volume, keeping the fast and slow lines away0During the operation of the axle dead fork,4On the hourly line, the bulls have been defeated, and the short trend has occupied absolute advantage, but the lower part1780Strong support may lead to a certain rebound in gold prices next week. In the short term, gold broke its limit yesterday and fell. Currently, gold is unable to rebound, and there is still room for decline below!4The low point of the hour chart slightly stabilizes and rebounds, and it is not ruled out that there will be a rebound sawing in the short term. Once again, the downward trend needs to wait for the rebound of yesterday's space to break through the low before further continuation. Otherwise, the short term is easy to maintain above the low point for correction. In terms of operation, we must follow the trend, which is what we have always emphasized. It is easy to float with the trend, chaotic against the trend, and the gold will fall below in the evening1800The next step is to continue to1780Move forward nearby! And there may be a big surprise! A weak downward trend, after a rebound, it can be directly empty. In summary, the guidelines for gold operation next Monday suggest that the rebound in high altitude should be the main focus, and the correction in low altitude should be supplemented, with a focus on the above1825-1830Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1795-1800Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis

Friday(5month13day)International oil prices have briefly risen2%The benefits of reduced fuel supply in Russia. However, the market is concerned that high inflation may trigger a slowdown in demand caused by the central bank's aggressive interest rate hikes, and that increased oil production in the Middle East and the United States may alleviate the pressure caused by a decrease in Russian supply, leading to a contraction in oil prices. The oil market continues to be supported by the situation in Russia and Ukraine. Moscow responded to EU sanctions this week by imposing sanctions on its state-owned subsidiary Gazprom in Europe. Previously, Ukraine shut down an important natural gas transportation route. Analysts stated in a report that "as natural gas prices in Europe soar, there will inevitably be spillover effects on the oil market, and Russia's anti EU sanctions measures may lead to a strengthening of oil prices." However, the aggressive interest rate hikes by the central bank triggered by inflation have pushed the US dollar higher21The annual high limits the increase in oil prices, as the strengthening of the US dollar makes oil purchased in other currencies more expensive.IEAOver time, the Middle EastOPEC+The production of oil producing countries and the United States is steadily increasing, coupled with slowing demand growth, and it is expected that the market will withstand severe supply shortages in the face of worsening supply disruptions in Russia

Technical analysis of crude oil: Crude oil rebounded and closed higher on Friday, recovering from the previous day's decline and losing ground, while reaching a high point and exiting the small cycleVType reversal, strong recovery104.10After the high point, the weak downward pattern was broken. Bounce highest touch106.40.Returning to the high range and sawing. Breaking through yesterday104.0Afterwards, perform one more backhand short shot to complete the bag placement in the pan, with frequent switching between local long and empty positions. Accompanied by a wide base saw, the daily high sun rises and swallows up the small yinKThe short-term and short-term fluctuations have returned to the range, and the continuity of the two yin and one yang is insufficient. It has not yet left the unilateral trend.4The hour chart shows a wave of low and continuous positive recovery, with nearly half of the lost ground. The pace of rapid decline and recovery, as well as sawing and fluctuating. The reversal of long and short is fast, and the gains and losses at critical points are crucial. Once the critical point of strength is missed, the predetermined rhythm will change, and the daily Boulevard will continue to close, and in the short term, it will maintain a wide range of oscillations. In summary, according to the guidance provided by the financial analyst, crude oil fell first and then rose this week, leading toVReversal pattern, strong bulls, focus next week111.32Break situation, and then114.2US dollar resistance, guidance for next Monday's operations. Economists suggest focusing on bearish trading with a rebound in high altitude as a supplement, with short-term attention from above112.5-113.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below108.3-107.8Frontline support.

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