Dingsheng Jinshi: Gold will march forward1700Era? Next week's Gold Trend Analysis with Operations...

Investing in this mountain originally had no top or head. Don't stand by and envy others for their success, as success is always by your side. A wise person always looks forward, while a wise person always looks backward in everything; A wise person is someone who overcomes others; A wise person is one who overcomes oneself. To cultivate one's mind, one should prioritize purity, and to invest, one should use a wise eye to overlook. Every day is a new day, the beginning of challenges.

　　goldLatest Market Analysis

Message analysis: Friday(5month13day)Due to the weakening of the stock market, the strengthening of the US dollar, and market expectations of actively tightening monetary policy, gold prices are set to hit a record high last year6The largest weekly decline since the beginning of the month is expected to continue for the first time this week4Weekly decline. Friday, US dollar indexDXYStanding105Pass, continue brushing2002year12A new high since the beginning of the month. 10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds is traded at2.9%Above. As the US dollar and US Treasury yields rise, spot gold falls below1800USD level, for2month4For the first time in the day, the intraday decline1.18%But then it rebounded significantly from a low level and nearly20USD to1820Below. So far this week, the gold price has fallen3%Above. As risky assets decline across the board, the US dollar is expected to continue its fourth consecutive decline6Zhou gained strength as the market continued to worry that the Federal Reserve's measures to curb inflationary pressure would suppress global economic growth.

Announced by the United States on Thursday4monthPPIThe data has strengthened people's expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its rapid interest rate hike path to slow down the overheated economy, and gold prices have fallen at one point1.7%. The hawkish expectations of the Federal Reserve have increased market concerns about economic recession. According to foreign media37Latest Monthly Survey by Economists, Future of the United States12The likelihood of an economic recession last month is now30%, for2020The highest level since the beginning of the year. This is more than4Of the month27.5%Slightly up, it's an economist3Twice the prediction made six months ago. United States10The yield of one-year Treasury bonds has fallen this week, which usually supports demand for gold, but the attractiveness of gold is affected by the rebound in the US dollar. Given the policy measures already taken by the Federal Reserve(Last week's significant interest rate hike50Basis points and will continue to raise interest rates significantly)Interest rates are rapidly rising,30The interest rate on one-year fixed mortgage loans has decreased from less than last year's3%Jump up to5%Above all, trillions of dollars in volatile stock market funds have evaporated. The rise of the US dollar may prompt some consumers to reduce spending and curb inflation in the process. Non bearing asset gold is sensitive to rising interest rates and yields, as this can lead to an increase in the opportunity cost for investors to hold gold.

Technical analysis of gold: From the perspective of the gold daily level, Friday's Great Yin once again fell and fell1831The support point for the trend of going up for dips, continued to decline one by one in the morning1810On the first line, it also happened to pierce through the confirmed overlap point of the previous multiple trend line derivation, and then pull it up and back again. This action is probably aimed at knocking out the1820Multiple orders in the ambushed market and overnight resistance; From the current daily pattern, short-term pressure concerns5average1835The first line is also a trend counter pressure point, and the other is1823First line open fall, support concentration1798-95Region, currently gold is1798Stop falling and rebound; In the short term, it still maintains a weak pattern, but the decline is close to the early rise point and also close to the last few areas where the bottom trend derivative is concentrated, which is1780Near the front line, there is a possibility of a sudden oversold and rebound here, and I personally expect gold to hit1780There will be a good wave of midline opportunities nearby.

In the short term, gold broke its limit and fell today. Currently, gold is unable to rebound, and there is still room for decline below!4The low point of the hour chart slightly stabilizes and rebounds, and it is not ruled out that there will be a rebound sawing in the short term. Once again, the downward trend needs to wait for the rebound of yesterday's space to break through the low before further continuation. Otherwise, the short term is easy to maintain above the low point for correction. In terms of operation, we must follow the trend, which is what we have always emphasized. It is easy to float with the trend, chaotic against the trend, and the gold will fall below in the evening1800The next step is to continue to1780Move forward nearby! And there may be a big surprise! A weak downward trend, after a rebound, it can be directly empty. In summary, in terms of the gold operation strategy, Dingsheng Jinshi suggests mainly rebounding from high altitude, supplemented by a pullback from low, with a focus on the above1828-1830Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1800-1798Frontline support.

　　crude oilMessage surface parsing:

Analysis of crude oil news: The largest rebound in international oil prices within the day is close to3%Boosted by supply concerns, as the EU strives to secure support from member states for a ban on Russian oil imports, the UAE oil minister stated that increasing production on the supply side is difficult, and the responsibility for energy supply tension caused by the Ukrainian crisis lies not with the oil producing countries. Due to concerns about the impact of anti epidemic measures and significant interest rate hikes in the United States on economic activity, oil prices have plummeted in the past two days10%However, supply side pressure still supports oil prices, with major oil producing countries warning that once demand improves, they may find it difficult to fill the gap. The European Union has proposed an embargo on Russian oil imports, but the final effective date has been postponed as it requires unanimous support from all member states. Hungary and other EU member states are concerned that the economy may be affected. Even if the final ban can alleviate concerns among Eastern European member states, oil prices may still rise.

Yesterday, crude oil opened and fell slightly102.6Nearby, explore on the rebound107.3Nearby, closing106.6Nearby, the crude oil daily line included a bullish hammerhead line, once again breaking through the previous day's high and strengthening, while also setting a high point. There was a continuation of bullish trends and a strong recovery107.0After the high point, the weak downward trend pattern was broken, and the rebound reached its highest point107.3The US dollar is hovering, with a tentative range for today105.0-107.3After further breakthroughs, there will be a continuation of the trend. In summary, Dingsheng Jinshi summarized that the oil price has experienced two consecutive positive increases. Next week, we will consider withdrawing and laying out multiple orders as the main focus, with the top following111.5-113.8USD resistance, follow below106.0-104.2USD support. Positions will be treated according to daily charts, and other positions will be notified immediately.

　　— This article is contributed by Ding Sheng Jin Shi.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi Online Solution Set,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!