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周四现货gold陷入回调,暴跌超过30美元,最深下探1820.50dollar/盎司,刷新逾3个月新低,最终收跌1.57%Report1822.95dollar/盎司;现货白银失守21关口后继续走低,最终收跌3.86%Report20.72dollar/盎司。美元指数继续攀升,日内最高触及104.94,最终收涨0.692%Report104.76。 U.S.A10年期国债收益率继续回落,最终收报2.855%。
目前通胀越高美元却涨得越高,完全是反常的状态,如果美元见顶回落可能是黄金的拐点,但同时通胀也随之回落,黄金也并不能保证上涨,诸多因素影响行情走势显得非常复杂,因此在市场依然没有明确方向,需要保持谨慎控制好仓位。
从技术面分析,金价单边下跌并且破位年线,MACD快慢线仍保持开口向下,KDJandRSI再度拐头向下较为纠结,空头力量占据主导,短线大概率会延续下行,下方的支撑只能看1800的整数位大关,如果能强势修复年线也可能是转势的机会,但概率不太大预期不要太高。
黄金果然出现补跌但是后半夜,日线收阴,几乎最低点收盘。早盘急速下跌至1810附近,现在又迅速收回,目前走势就不好参与了。还是和前几天一样,这种行情一旦突破日内高点1823一线,今天就没新低了,否则还会低位震荡。日线阻力1838Near, strong resistance1852,顶底转换在1833附近,可以说是日内的多空分水岭。昨天这波回落618The location of the1840一线,触及可以做空。早盘如果行情站稳1823,回落可以做多。
黄金操作建议:亚欧盘关注1823是否破位,破位后回落做多,上方反弹1837-1838Short on the front line, stop loss1845Target point1820-1825;
crude oilTrend analysis:
原油经历V型多空“双杀”之后再度进入趋势迷茫区,从大趋势中看欧盟对俄能源制裁之下市场依旧处于供给缺少的情况,所以理论上还处于多头中,只是目前走势有一股妖劲,喜欢来回扫,所以卡点位就很重要,别看当下反弹的较快,随时有回归原位的状况发生,且即将触及日线高点,技术面看,原油日线图整体处于震荡,昨天超跌反弹日线收大阳线,日线组合形成连阳上涨,整体看来震荡偏上一点。小时图目前反弹受阻,KDJ指标地位钝化,MACD在零轴上方运行,整体看来短期还有调整。操作上指南建议原油以104.5-105为支撑去波段多。
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