Guide Metallographer:5.13Analysis of today's gold trend, institutions secretly smashing the market, causing gold to plummet

　　【goldMarket Trend Analysis

　　黄金技术面分析：从黄金日线图看，昨日金价技术面整体延续空头弱势下行走势，价格在亚欧盘快速回落破底1870关口不断走弱，欧盘小幅反抽触及1872一线再度承压回落延续弱势下行震荡，晚间价格加速下破1860Arrival at the checkpoint1855关口附近震荡企稳回升，最终价格强势反抽至1870上方二次承压回落走跌，凌晨进一步下行破位1855Arrival at the checkpoint1851关口附近报收弱势破位中阴，整体价格延续近期空头极弱下行走势，日线级别跌破5日均线支撑再度走极弱，今日借助反抽继续主空顺势下看破底，上方压力关注昨日凌晨小时线开跌口1866-1870区域，日内冲高承压此位置继续主空下看回落。

Gold4小时级别震荡；留意布林线

　　黄金最新分析：

Thursday(5month12day)，现货黄金重新走低，尽管高通胀给金价带来利好，但市场担心美联储为抑制通胀而可能采取的激进收水政策将损害经济，美国总统拜登也重申，控通胀是首要任务，这使得投资者更青睐持有美元，美指创2002year12月中旬以来新高至104.73。分析师表示：“该国与高通胀的斗争尚未结束，但市场仍可以松一口气，因为它没有变得更糟，美联储可以按计划在6Month and7Monthly interest rate increase50个基点，没有理由更迅速地采取行动来对抗通胀。”没有迹象表明美联储将在本轮紧缩周期中变得更加放松，美联储比大多数其他国家央行更有理由将其政策利率降至中性，这应该是未来几个月支撑美元的核心叙事。分析师在一份报告中表示，尽管通胀预期高涨，金市有新的资金流入，但不知道金价是否已在1830美元附近形成了重要支撑。指南金师认为：“CPI受租金和服务价格上涨驱动的事实意味着，通胀压力已经根深蒂固，而且可能还体现在工资上涨压力上。这可能意味着，黄金交易员预计美联储将加强其鹰派信号。”

　　黄金从技术面来看，日线级别单边下跌；短期均线空头排列，MACD死叉，短线金价下行风险仍存，继续关注200Daily moving average1836.90附近支撑，若失守该支撑，则金价可能会进一步跌向1800关口附近。短线的话，1830Gateway and2month11Daily low point1821附近也还分别存在一些支撑。鉴于KDJ死叉信号被破坏，200Near the daily moving averageK线出现类似“斩回”组合，金价仍留有震荡筑底甚至是转势的可能性，上方初步阻力在5Daily moving average1855.77Nearby,10Daily moving average resistance1866.40附近，若能收复该位置，则增加短线看涨信号，强阻力在100Daily moving average1885.43Near.4小时级别单边下跌后反弹；MACDGolden fork,KDJGolden fork,K线低位十字星后紧跟大阳线，暗示见顶可能性较高，留意布林线中轨1859.61附近阻力，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号，进一步阻力在1866附近，布林线上轨阻力目前在1887.67Nearby. Preliminary support below1846.29附近，若失守该位置，则削弱短线看涨信号，然后是1840.33附近支撑。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1845-1850Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1815Frontline support.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Technically speaking, crude oil continued to be bearish yesterdayKThe line closed lower and overall met expectations. After falling at a high daily level and closing below the moving average, it is normal for the market to continue to decline in shade the next day. And yesterday, accompanied by a wave of rebound104.10承压后，尾盘放量击穿亚盘低点，开盘进一步延续走跌，主要是昨日日线再次收在低位，昨日的反弹主要是拉动均线指标拐头向下，经过昨日的整理之后，短期的方向相对就更明朗一些，依托104.10Be bearish at the critical point, and adjust the direction when breaking through.4After a wave of high and consecutive negative declines in the hour, yesterday's single positive rebound correction was combined with a continuous negative break and a downward trend,4The hour formed a second downward trend, driving the moving average index to turn downwards.1Hourly rebound104.10The second highest point of the form step, after breaking through the low point, forms a channel for the step to oscillate and fall, while leading the way4The hourly moving average turns downwards to form a suppression.1小时图走出了一波弱势延续下跌，空间结合形态来定，今日再进一步下跌就会靠近区间下轨，未破下轨之前，还是宽幅震荡，破位才能打开空间。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以区间震荡为主；上方短期重点关注108.0-109.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102.0-101.0Frontline support.

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