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Guide Metallographer:5.13The latest gold market today, analysis and operation of London gold trend...

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The latest data released by the US Department of Labor shows that the United States4End of Month Seasonal AdjustmentCPIThe annual rate is8.3%Below the previous value8.5%Higher than market expectations8.1%。数据低于前值,意味着美国通胀问题有回落的迹象。但数据高于市场预期也就意味着,回落幅度并没有市场预期的那么快。尽管如此,高企的通胀数据依旧挤压着美国消费者。受地缘政治影响,能源价格以及粮食价格飙升,推动物价上涨。而通胀问题已经逐渐蔓延到房地产、汽车和其他许多领域。针对居高不下的通胀数据,美联储或将维持高压态势,继续推动紧缩的货币政策。这对gold长线而言依旧是利空。

  黄金昨日在亚盘触碰1832附近后展开反弹,尽管CPI数据给市场带来巨幅震荡,但依旧不改变黄金多头反弹的欲望。截止昨日收盘,黄金最高上攻至1858附近。相比之下,白银走势则弱势许多,在昨日数据公布完后走出弱势震荡。美元指数则继续维持在高位震荡。美债收益率持续下跌,截止发稿,10年期美债收益率最低跌至2.862附近,为近半个月以来的最低值。

  全球最大的黄金ETFPosition data shows that goldETFPosition holding5month11Daily reduction of holdings2.03吨,自4month21日以来,持仓数据一直处于减仓当中。白银ETFPosition holding5month11Daily reduction of holdings172.26吨,减持幅度创近一年以来的最高记录。可以看出,市场对于金银长线依旧抱着空方态度。

Gold Technology Analysis:

  黄金周三低位震荡,最低触及1835附近后开始反弹,最高反抽到了1858附近,整体处于大跌之后的修正。日线也收出了一根单阳线,不过整体仍然是偏空回落的,哪怕震荡修正完毕,还是会继续下行。

  周四亚欧盘黄金窄幅震荡,四小时收敛运行,所以大概率还是一个震荡修正行情,那么修正行情找准关键点位操作即可。下方关键支撑仍然是在1840附近,回落给到此附近仍然可以直接考虑多单,分水岭在昨日1835低点位置,只要回落不破此位置,震荡思路不变。上方短线压制在1858高点位置,强压在1866以及前期1871的高点位置。1866是周二多次测试的高点压制,也是日线的10日均线压制,反抽不破此位置即可做空,若刺破,理论极限可以达到1871-72附近,正好也是50%分割线压制位。所以短线操作思路就是先看反弹,看反弹在哪里承压,然后直接反手做空即可。

  综上所述,今日短线操作上指南金师建议行情回落给到1840Going long nearby, losing1835, look at the goal1858-1866位置。关注1866附近压制,不破直接反手做空,突破则等1871-72Short selling nearby!

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