Guide Metallographer:5.12今日日内黄金继续下跌，多空分水岭决胜负。

　　【gold走势分析】：

Thursday（5month12日）亚欧时段，现货黄金反弹受阻，早些时候一度涨至1858.93附近，目前回吐全部涨幅，回落至1950关口附近，尽管地缘局势紧张和股市大跌给金价反弹提供机会，美国通胀增速略微放缓，但市场认为美联储仍将激进加息，美元指数继续维持强势，这令金价涨幅受限。

　　亚欧盘日内黄金窄幅震荡，四小时收敛运行，所以大概率还是一个震荡修正行情，那么修正行情找准关键点位操作即可。下方关键支撑仍然是在1840附近，回落给到此附近仍然可以直接考虑多单，分水岭在昨日1833低点位置，只要回落不破此位置，震荡思路不变。上方短线压制在1858高点位置，强压在1866以及前期1871的高点位置。1866是周二多次测试的高点压制，也是日线的10日均线压制，反抽不破此位置即可做空，若刺破，理论极限可以达到1871-72附近，正好也是50%分割线压制位。所以今日思路就是先看反弹，看反弹在哪里承压，然后直接反手做空即可。

　　【黄金操作思路】：建议回调1835-1840低多，反弹1866-1871下逢高空，区间内底部继续震荡酝酿为主；

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

Thursday(5month12day)International oil prices have fallen by more than2%，投资者对经济衰退的担忧困扰着全球金融市场，美国通胀数据似乎证实了美联储加速升息的必要性。并且匈牙利在有关欧盟对俄石油制裁的谈判中向布鲁塞尔当局提高了要价，要求提供价值数亿美元的“解决方案”。欧盟仍在就对俄石油进口禁运的具体细节讨价还价。协议需要得到所有成员国一致支持才能通过，但投票因匈牙利反对该禁令而被推迟，因为对其经济可能造成破坏的太大。由于多重因素油价下跌的空间不大，一方面是目前俄乌地缘政治博弈仍持续加剧，虽然欧洲石油制裁搁置，但近期经过乌克兰过境的天然气输送量下降，显然，俄乌双方已经将天然气正式作为新的地缘政治博弈焦点，这意味着石油仍旧可能受到波及，地缘政治溢价尚未缓和；另一方面，全球成品油供需缺口明显，库存持续下滑，汽柴油裂解价差普遍高位，原油基本面处于结构性偏紧，因此受多重因素制约，油价仍将维持高位震荡，且波动剧烈。

Technically speaking, crude oil continued to be bearish yesterdayKThe line closed lower and overall met expectations. After falling at a high daily level and closing below the moving average, it is normal for the market to continue to decline in shade the next day. And yesterday, accompanied by a wave of rebound104.10承压后，尾盘放量击穿亚盘低点，开盘进一步延续走跌，主要是昨日日线再次收在低位，昨日的反弹主要是拉动均线指标拐头向下，经过昨日的整理之后，短期的方向相对就更明朗一些，依托104.10Be bearish at the critical point, and adjust the direction when breaking through.4After a wave of high and consecutive negative declines in the hour, yesterday's single positive rebound correction was combined with a continuous negative break and a downward trend,4The hour formed a second downward trend, driving the moving average index to turn downwards.1Hourly rebound104.10The second highest point of the form step, after breaking through the low point, forms a channel for the step to oscillate and fall, while leading the way4The hourly moving average turns downwards to form a suppression.1小时图走出了一波弱势延续下跌，空间结合形态来定，今日再进一步下跌就会靠近区间下轨，未破下轨之前，还是宽幅震荡，破位才能打开空间。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以区间震荡为主；上方短期重点关注108.0-109.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102.0-101.0Frontline support.

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