Guo Shengshan:5.12今日黄金涨跌起伏如何布局？原油最新操作建议

Gains and losses in investment are like riding a roller coaster, with peaks and valleys, which means that whether it's good or bad right now, it's only temporary. Don't take some gains and losses so seriously! Especially in a rapidly rising and plummeting market, when the trend is right, the position will be flipped; The trend reversed and blindly increased margin, ultimately leading to a sell-out; Who hasn't experienced investing before? Don't fantasize that every transaction is always round and full, with a balance between profits and losses and a sense of gain and loss. Investing in the market is like traveling, always in a hurry, with so much confusion and confusion. Only by calming down can one dispel the clouds and mist that envelop one's eyes; Tasting a cup of tea quietly, I realized that there were many opportunities right in front of me.

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Thursday（5month12日）亚洲时段，现货黄金延续隔夜涨势，目前交投于1858美元附近。周三金价从200日均线附近展开反弹，一方面，美国通胀增速放缓，虽然不能改变美联储的加息进程，但美元的涨势放缓，逢低买盘入场给金价提供支撑；另一方面，美国股市大跌再创逾一年新低，俄乌局势有所恶化，给金价提供避险支撑。 金价下跌主要是受到美元强势的影响，黄金保值以及避险的能力并未受损，特别是在通胀高涨的时期，黄金将会持续受到青睐。整体来看，虽然美联储加息前景和强势美元对金价有所压制，欧洲央行的加息预期升温也对金价不利，但俄乌局势引发的地缘局势担忧升温，美股大跌也给金价提供避险支撑，鉴于美元上涨动能减弱，短线回调的压力加大，短线金价存在进一步反弹机会或者是低位震荡调整的机会。本交易日重点关注美国4monthPPI数据和初请失业金人数变动，留意俄乌局势相关消息和新冠疫情相关消息。鉴于美元在近一周的时间内并未明显上涨，短线回调压力有所增加，投资者需要予以警惕。

From a technical perspective, gold fell and rebounded yesterday, closing positive. The Asian market inertia fell and hit a new low, hitting the annual line1832Supporting the start of stable consolidation, European and American stocks rebounded again with a second retracement and closed at a high level. The daily closing line was a bullish candlestick, reaching a maximum of1857.90dollar|Ounces. The daily structure of double negative combined with single positive rebound correction is still in a downward trend from a structural perspective. Although there has been a rebound, it is not yet sufficient to determine whether it is a reversal. It can be regarded as a shock while pulling the moving average index downward. The US dollar has briefly rebounded and corrected before closing at a high level, and its performance remains strong. However, yesterday's brief decline caused gold to fluctuate. There is slightly more room for rebound, and the market will close at a relatively high position at the end of the day. The next day, it will first fluctuate and correct.4The hourly chart slightly stabilized and rebounded at a low level, and yesterday's backdraft confirmed breaking through the low level1850Under pressure, stepped back, but failed to close below the low during the closing session, and instead closed at1850上方，收盘决定了隔日的强弱延续，收在低点之上，短线震荡。=at present4小时图由于走出二次下探回升。短线不排除进行反弹拉锯，再次下行要等回吐昨日的空间，破低之后才能进一步延续，不然短线容易维持在低点上方进行修正。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上郭晟衫建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1875-1870Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1835Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday(5month11day)Oil prices fell more than on Tuesday2%, falling below100For the second consecutive day of decline, reaching the lowest level in two weeks, the demand outlook is under pressure due to the spread of the epidemic and the growing risk of economic recession. Market concerns about tightening monetary policy have led to an increase in the US dollar, and a strong US dollar has made crude oil more expensive for buyers using other currencies.APIData shows that US crude oil inventories have increased, and concerns about demand due to the spread of the pandemic have increased, dragging down oil prices; The expectation of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve has led to concerns in the market about tightening monetary policy, causing the US dollar to rise and bearish oil prices; Follow within the dayEIAData, as well as speeches from Federal Reserve officials, may further stimulate a decline in oil prices. Focus on the United States within the day4monthCPIAnnual rate not seasonally adjustedEIAdata Thursday00:00Federal Reserve Bostic delivered a speech on the US economy and monetary policy.

Technically speaking, crude oil continued to be bearish yesterdayKThe line closed lower and overall met expectations. After falling at a high daily level and closing below the moving average, it is normal for the market to continue to decline in shade the next day. And yesterday, accompanied by a wave of rebound104.10After being under pressure, the trading volume at the end of the day broke through the low point of the Asian market, and continued to decline again when opening today. The main reason for yesterday's rebound was that the daily line closed at a low level again, and yesterday's rebound was mainly to drive the moving average index to turn downward. After yesterday's consolidation, today's direction is relatively clearer, relying on104.10Be bearish at the critical point, and adjust the direction when breaking through.4After a wave of high and consecutive negative declines in the hour, yesterday's single positive rebound correction was combined with a continuous negative break and a downward trend,4The hour formed a second downward trend, driving the moving average index to turn downwards.1Hourly rebound104.10The second highest point of the form step, after breaking through the low point, forms a channel for the step to oscillate and fall, while leading the way4The hourly moving average turns downwards to form a suppression.1The hourly chart has experienced a weak trend and continued to decline, breaking through the low point today100.50附近先行看空。空间结合形态来定，今日再进一步下跌就会靠近区间下轨，未破下轨之前，还是宽幅震荡，破位才能打开空间。综合来看，原油今日短线操作思路郭晟衫建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注105.5-106.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below101.4-100.9Frontline support.

　　——本文由郭晟衫gos1678Contribution.

(Note: The above article was written by Guo Shengshan's team. Please indicate the source when reprinted. It is a warm reminder that there are risks in investment and caution should be taken when entering the market. The article has a lag, and due to differences in platform locations and the delay of online publishing, the above analysis does not provide specific entry points. Operational suggestions are for reference only. Please do your own risk control.)