Guide Metallographer:5.12今日黄金操作建议，1830关口决定1700时代

　　【goldMarket Trend Analysis:

　　美国公布4月通胀数据高于预期，但较3月创下的逾40年新高有所回落。

Specific data shows that the United States4monthCPIAnnual rate recorded8.30%, higher than expected8.10%，但低于上月创下的1981New high since the beginning of the year8.50%； U.S.A4Monthly CoreCPIAnnual rate recorded6.20%，也高于预期值6%，但低于前值6.50%。

　　为了应对不断上涨的物价，美联储上周如期加息50个基点。这不仅是2018年以来的首次加息，也创下了上世纪90年代以来最大单次加息幅度。在接下来的两次政策会议上，美联储仍可能每次加息50个基点。尽管市场押注美联储可能进一步加快升息步伐，但美联储已对此予以否认。

　　美国一季度GDP意外收缩1.4%。而最近公布的数据，特别是供应管理协会(ISM)Purchasing Manager Index(PMI)显示，通胀上升的两个主要驱动因素——供应短缺和持续的劳工荒——在4月份仍然对经济运行构成巨大阻力。

　　黄金早间探底回升，午间上涨，小时线形成延续，欧盘维持高位高位盘整不跌，直接扭转了日内弱势格局。由于欧盘维持高位盘整节奏偏强，同时破位昨日美盘破位下跌反抽高点1851一线，那么暂时肯定不能去空，但短线只是进入调整阶段并非调整，上方压力1859同时也是布林带中轨压制附近，下方1840是午间反复测试高点破位形成顶底转换压制；

　　目前黄金在自身技术需要以及美元存在调整预期的情况下，晚间还是持短线看回弹思路，不一定会强势反转回升，但是也很难出现大幅的回落下跌趋势。晚间下方着重关注1840-1835一带测试，如果此位不破，则短线行情进一步回弹的希望更大，而如果跌回其下，则说明多头信心太弱，后期行情再度偏弱也是很有可能的，那样对于操作上也极为不利。晚间上方则继续关注1850-1855一带争夺，虽然目前有承压，但如果行情止跌明显，后期突破此位，测压1865-1870一带的希望也会是很大的。操作上，依旧以短多为目前的操作重点，空单可以适度尝试，但不作为主线单；

　　【黄金操作思路】：指南金师建议黄金1840上逢低再跟多一次，破1835择机反弹调仓，目标1850-1852，站稳看1860-1865, and then1870下压制再考虑短空试探，仍继续看底部整理为主；只有强有力站稳1870上，才能结束弱势抛售打压，转为反弹上攻，甚至短期反转

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

From a technical perspective, crude oil,4The hour formed a second downward trend, driving the moving average index to turn downwards.1Hourly rebound104.10The second highest point of the form step, after breaking through the low point, forms a channel for the step to oscillate and fall, while leading the way4The hourly moving average turns downwards to form a suppression.1The hourly chart has experienced a weak trend and continued to decline, breaking through the low point today100.50Look short in the vicinity first. Based on the combination of spatial patterns, if we continue to decline today, we will approach the lower bound of the range. Before breaking the lower bound, there will still be a wide range of fluctuations, and only by breaking the level can we open up space. Overall, the short-term operation strategy guide for crude oil today suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback with a lower bullish trend and a rebound with a higher bullish trend, with a focus on short-term operations above104.7-105.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below100.0-99.5Frontline support.

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