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goldLatest market analysis:
Analysis of Gold News: Wednesday(5month11day)Asian market intraday, goldfuturesMaintaining the downward trend, futures are now reporting1836dollar/Around ounces. Investors in the United StatesCPISelling gold before the announcement, people flocked to the embrace of the safe haven for the US dollar. The Federal Reserve has issued a heavyweight warning,CPIA convincing decline is needed to pause quantitative measures. Due to investor concerns about the US Consumer Price Index during the New York period(CPI)Feeling uneasy about the disclosure, gold prices have fallen below1840US dollars. The appreciation of the US dollar is unfavorable for commodities such as gold priced in US dollars, as the rise of the US dollar makes gold more expensive compared to users of other currencies. There is a downward trend in the price of gold1800The possibility of a checkpoint. Investors may pay close attention to US stocks on this trading day4monthCPIThe performance of data. Economists predict that the United States4monthCPIThe prices of core product categories will show a slowdown in a larger range, as demand for durable consumer goods has begun to steadily decline due to the impact of the epidemic. This will offset the still strong inflation in the core service industry.
Biden may lift some tariffs on Chinese goods due to reports that US President Biden may lift some tariffs on Chinese goods(CNBC)The latest report states that US President Biden5month10Ri said he may lift some tariffs on Chinese imports to help control rising consumer prices in the United States. The entire commodity market has plummeted due to the US dollar, and investors seem to be pressing the sell button on all asset classes. Gold may continue to face unfavorable factors such as the appreciation of the US dollar, rising US bond yields, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike bet. benchmark10The interest rate of one-year US treasury bond bonds fell from a multi-year high to nearly2.99%. As the Federal Reserve prepares to significantly raise interest rates in the coming months to reduce high living costs, this year's interest rate fluctuations have been a major source of pain in financial markets.
From a technical perspective, gold further closed lower yesterday, as expected, with a bearish daily trendKAfter closing at a low level, it is highly likely that the next day's consolidation will break through the low point. Suppressing the rebound space of gold prices, ultimately forming a continuation of volume breaking through the low and closing at a low level. This morning, the opening further inertia fell, and the daily closing usually starts at a new low the next day, followed by a trend of oscillation and continuation. The rhythm is a unilateral continuation in a weak market, and the operation is smooth sailing, which is also the time to accumulate bands. Small profits rely on fluctuations, while large profits rely on one side.4The hour has stepped out of the low weak stage and gone down. As the rebound high point moves down, the rebound strength is decreasing, and the weak side can be more released. With a long period of consolidation, it further accumulates momentum to break through the low. After breaking through the low, today's resistance is1850.That is the transition point between the top and bottom. After breaking through the low last night, there was a slight pause here, and finally it closed down. Today, it directly fell and laid a weak foundation. Short term bearish sentiment remains unchanged. After the daily decline today, it will approach the support of the annual line. Today's touch is the first time it has been touched, and there may be a rebound. But considering that4The step pattern of the hour, before breaking through the second highest point, maintains the rebound short thinking unchanged, and adjusts the thinking after breaking through and reversing. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is guided by the guidance of gold analysts, who suggest rebounding at high altitudes as the main approach, with a correction at low altitudes as a supplement. The focus should be on the above1853-1858Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1830-1825Frontline support.
crude oilAnalysis of the latest market trend
Tuesday(5month10day),国际油价探底回升,尽管美元走强和全球经济衰退风险加剧了对全球能源需求前景的担忧,但欧盟对俄石油进口禁运支撑了油价反弹,投资者担心一些欧洲经济体可能遭受困境。两市盘中一度跌逾2%,延续隔夜逾7%的跌势。这反映了全球金融市场的趋势,即投资者因担心利率上升及其对经济增长的影响而抛售风险较高的资产。美元保持在21年半高位附近,使得石油对持有其他货币的人来说更加昂贵。俄罗斯原油出口受阻,欧佩克不愿意增产等因素支持油价。全球经济增长下滑,美联储加息,全球疫情严峻等因素限制油价上涨。油价整体依然陷入在震荡区间中。由于供需依然趋紧,油价中长期走势依然看好。整体来看,当前原油市场分地域格局分化明显。俄乌问题下欧洲能源最为紧缺,疫情影响下亚太需求最为疲弱。昨夜市场传言欧盟或搁置对俄罗斯能源进口制裁,部分证伪了欧洲能源紧缺利好,这是昨夜油价跌幅扩大的关键。
原油从技术面来看,日线级别震荡;油价未能顶破布林线上轨阻力,并在该阻力附近遭遇空头狙击,录得一根大阴线,KDJ重新结成死叉,MACD的死叉信号也被破坏,短线下行风险显着增加,目前油价在布林线中轨附近徘徊,关注100整数关口附近支撑,若失守该支撑,则油价偏向进一步跌向布林线下轨95.43附近。能否进一步下破布林线下轨,还有待观察。55Daily moving average10Daily moving average and5日均线目前已经转化为阻力位,分别在104.07、105.20、106.41位置,如果油价能够收复5日均线,该位置也接近5month5日低点阻力,则削弱短线下行风险。日线图上看,NYMEXThe price of crude oil is within the range of100.44USD starts to rise3Wave trend, upward resistance looking towards38.2%Target bit106.59USD.3Waves are from95.28The upward trend of the US dollar opening(1)The sub waves of the waves,(1)Waves are from95.28The upward trend of the US dollar opening((3))浪的子浪。综合来看,今日短线操作思路指南老师建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方短期重点关注102.8-103Frontline resistance, short-term focus below94.5-95Frontline support.
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