Guide Metallographer:5.10黄金区间大反复，能否守住1850风水岭是关键

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Message analysis: Tuesday(5month10day)In the Asian market, spotgold基本持稳，金价现报1854dollar/盎司附近；昨日金价暴跌近30美元。并创下一周来的最大单日跌幅。面对美联储激进加息的前景，投资者选择美元而不是黄金作为避风港。纽约商品交易所(COMEX)6Monthly delivery of goldfutures价格周一收盘大跌24.20USD, decline1.3%Report1858.60dollar/Ounces, for5month2日以来最大百分比跌幅。7月交割的白银期货价格收盘暴跌2.5%Report21.820dollar/盎司。因美元指数再次上摸104Pass, continue to create near21Half year high104.192。尽管市场质疑美联储加息节奏偏慢，但美联储官员对此作出辩护，认为美联储遭遇没有先例的复杂情况，是人就会犯错误。美元指数决定性突破104.00应该足以让金价重新测试支撑位1850USD, then1835美元。”他并补充说，美元持续走强将导致金价重回1800The US dollar barrier.

　　交易员们正期待着美国周三发布的消费者物价指数(CPI)，该指数可能显示通胀见顶。上周五公布的数据显示，美国非农就业人口增加42.8万人，失业率维持在3.6%不变，但这并未改变市场对美联储大幅加息的预期。随着美联储加息，加之因新冠疫情相关的封锁而对中国经济增长感到担忧，股市持续下跌，美元被证明是首选的避险资产。即使股市重挫，但黄金作为一种无利息资产的吸引力也会因美国国债收益率上升而减弱，而美元走强则会削弱以美元计价的大宗商品的吸引力。美元坚挺和美债收益率进一步上升继续对黄金构成压力。过去两周，彭博跟踪的黄金ETF一直录得资金净流出，美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)数据也显示，投机者也在进一步撤离黄金。

　　5.10Analysis of gold market trend:

　　黄金技术面分析：从黄金日线图看，昨日金价技术面整体延续空头弱势下行走势，价格在亚欧盘快速回落破底1870关口不断走弱，欧盘小幅反抽触及1872一线再度承压回落延续弱势下行震荡，晚间价格加速下破1860Arrival at the checkpoint1855关口附近震荡企稳回升，最终价格强势反抽至1870上方二次承压回落走跌，凌晨进一步下行破位1855Arrival at the checkpoint1851关口附近报收弱势破位中阴，整体价格延续近期空头极弱下行走势，日线级别跌破5日均线支撑再度走极弱，今日借助反抽继续主空顺势下看破底，上方压力关注昨日凌晨小时线开跌口1866-1870区域，日内冲高承压此位置继续主空下看回落；

　　4小时级别震荡；留意布林线轨道1852-1900Regional breakthroughs; at presentKDJ向下发散，MACD初步死叉，留意1850附近支撑，如果失守该位置，则短线偏向再度跌向布林线下轨1840附近，能否进一步下破，还有待观察。MA5—MA10均线维持死叉下行态势，布林带下轨依然向下开口运行，下方还有一定的下行空间。空头趋势还是非常明确的，现在黄金跌至1850大关，从反弹力度来看很弱，按照预期1850是要跌破的，操作上反弹就是空一条路。亚欧盘关注1866压力与1870防守，看给不给机会，预期亚欧盘会先有反弹。下方目标位继续看破底，前期低点1850关口有望近期迎来空头加速下破，短线多单一律不参与，继续保持反抽主空顺势下看为主，反抽顺势空依旧是主基调，综合来看，今日黄金短线操作上指南老师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注1866-1870Frontline resistance in the US dollar, following below1850-1840USD support.

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