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goldMarket trend analysis;
Tuesday(5month10日)亚洲时段,现货黄金窄幅震荡,勉强受阻1850关口上方,由于市场预期美联储将采取更激进的政策,美元坚守在在近20年高位附近,令金价承压,另一方面,市场对俄乌战局进一步升级的预期降温,打压了地缘局势担忧,削弱了黄金的避险买需,周一金价大幅下跌。市场普遍认为美联储将是全球最激进的央行,美元指数仍有进一步上涨空间,这对金价不利。美元周一在近20年新高附近徘徊,部分源于对美联储抗击高通胀能力的担忧,引发避险情绪,提振美元的避险吸引力。美元已连续五周上涨,美国国债收益率攀升,因市场预期美联储将积极打压通胀。有分析师表示,美联储在努力将通胀率降至2%的目标时,供应链问题的缓解可能不会给它所希望的那样带来的那么多帮助。乌克兰战-争持续和对新冠疫情加重的担忧也助长了美元的避险基调。整体来看,虽然美股大跌和地缘局势仍给金价提供避险支撑,帮助金价暂时守在1850关口上方,但全球央行的加息前景,尤其是美联储的加息前景,令市场仍看涨美元后市,这令金价短线仍有进一步下行风险。从趋势来看,目前金价下跌动能仍然。
黄金技术面分析;黄金昨日弱势下跌,开盘即是日内高点,横向弱势慢跌。延续至隔日开盘依旧表现弱势,逼近了前期低点1850附近。日线收盘一根大阴K线。第二次触及低点。同时收盘饱满大阴K线,显示短期有下破的迹象。经过此前的反弹修正和整理拉锯蓄势,再次摔低就加大了破位的风险,弱化了支撑的强度,结合K线形态的收低,饱满大阴有延续。今日进一步看破低下行。4小时经过上周的反弹整理重新构造了台阶下行通道,随着反弹力度的减弱,高点在下降,而昨日过山车式的回吐,直接逼近低点,重新回归弱势,亚盘弱弱一天,昨日就是这样的弱表现,开盘直接下跌,美盘虽有反弹,但尾盘收低隔日延续,昨日盘在在1876as well as1866两次放空减仓之后目前继续看1850破位后的波段目标。随着日线的收低,今日大概率要创新低,空间会进一步打开,昨晚尾盘的反弹高点在1871.3.此位是今日的防守点,此位之下当作弱势下跌,反弹即空。综合来看,今日黄金短线操作上原金油建议以反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期关注1875-1880Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1845-1840一线支撑。行情实时变化,添加笔者原金油官微【原金油免费指导VX:MACD33388, buckle:244256354】)获取每日行情分析、解套策略、中长线布局指导尽在其中,欢迎志同道合之士前来促膝长谈!
crude oilMarket trend analysis;
Tuesday(5month10During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting102.93dollar/桶;油价周一大跌近7.5%,因欧盟搁置了禁止进口俄罗斯原油的计划,全球金融市场一直因加息和经济衰退担忧感到紧张,疫情蔓延加剧了人们对需求前景的担忧,且美股大跌进一步拖累油价走低。当地时间5month8Day,G7通过视频举行了今年的第三次首脑会议,乌克兰总统泽连斯基与会。会后发布的共同声明称,G7将逐步减少或禁止进口俄罗斯石油。白宫方面对此表示,这将对俄罗斯的经济大动脉造成严重打击。目前,各方尚未给出这一行动的时间表。不过,有媒体指出,G7或许并不是“铁板一块”。相对于美国来说,欧洲对俄罗斯石油的依赖要大得多。一位欧盟消息人士周一对路透表示,欧盟执委会正考虑向东欧内陆国家提供更多资金,升级其石油基础设施,以说服这些国家同意对俄罗斯石油实施禁运。总体来看,欧盟搁置了禁止进口俄罗斯原油的计划刺激油价走低,美股大跌拖累油价进一步下挫,全球疫情再度蔓延,需求前景担忧增加,油价短线或维持偏空基调,日内关注EIAEnergy report.
Technical analysis of crude oil; Crude oil hit a high yesterday but did not break through, remaining at last week's high111.30Under pressure, it fell back and broke through108.0-106.50Multiple defensive points, open the downward bearish channel, and fall directly to102.0.Daily Harvest DaylightKLine, will continue to be weak today, breaking through yesterday108.0Afterwards rebound107.0Directly short selling on the front line to see105.30After reducing positions, the remaining bands will be kept for downward viewing, and as the daily trend closes, the spatial expansion will further expand. Today, the short-term market will continue to follow the trend of bearish positions,4The hourly wave of high and continuous bearish volume declines, directly reversing the previous trend of oscillation and upward, while returning to a weak channel, with slow rise and fast fall. The frequency of switching back and forth between long and short periods is relatively high, mainly due to the unpredictable weather on the news side. The intensification of oil price fluctuations has increased the volatility base, providing more opportunities in the short term. at presentKThe line structure is breaking through106.0The low point has turned into a weak downward trend, and the daily closing has laid the foundation for a direct decline in the white market today. Therefore, the white market should actively bear once, otherwise it is very easy to short the point. The hourly chart's double moving average has formed a bearish crossing and downward pressure, continuing to be bearish down to the lower track of the interval100.0下方。如果只考虑结果而言,不考虑震荡的过程,任何反弹都是短空机会。综合来看,原油今日短线操作思路上原金油建议以反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方短期重点关注104.0-105.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below100.0-99.0一线支撑。行情实时变化,添加笔者原金油官微【原金油免费指导VX:MACD33388, buckle:244256354】获取每日行情分析、解套策略、中长线布局指导尽在其中,欢迎志同道合之士前来促膝长谈!
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