5.9Saudi Arabia's reduction in oil prices exacerbates the risk of crude oil, while gold still faces downside risks

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　　goldaspect

International gold closed from the previous horizontal range last Friday1870-75Breakthrough of European Plate Upward Trend1880On the front line, with the assistance of evening non agricultural data, the upward break continued and the high hit1892.4After a rapid decline, it hovered horizontally in the early morning1880Close nearby. During the morning trading session, there was a slight pullback and a comeback1880Below, adjust again to the previous bottom horizontal range1870-75Nearby

From the current trend of the market, even with the support of non agricultural data, the long and short attributes of the market are still not clear enough, and the expected resistance is still being touched above1890-95After a rapid decline, the early morning closing price only showed a sideways trend1880On the first line of closing, there was no situation where short positions broke through, so in the short term, the market remained a volatile and adjusted situation, with no one-way trend.

Technically speaking, the daily line is a typical bottom oscillation adjustment pattern, starting from a high level1998Since the decline, the most obvious signal of stop down adjustment has been strong, and the continuity of stop down is also strong. Therefore, it is likely that a certain period of adjustment will be required in the future.

In the short term, the adjustment range remains at1865-1895The actual reference intervention position is1870-85At present, after experiencing a slight decline in the early trading session, the market has returned to its previous low horizontal range1870-75At present, it is a good reference level, so intraday white trading can refer to the low point of the range1865Simply intervene at a relatively low level of volatility.

　　crude oilaspect

Crude oil has jumped low this week. The daily and weekly lines are still in a strong consolidation at high levels, but due to the slow fall of the low point of the neck line, the downward space is limited, and some areas are in a state of high volatility and sawing. dayKLine enters passivation and finishing. Looking at the rebound in the short term. Upper resistance116.1-116.3. Lower rail support106.5. Looking at the interval temporarily.

Crude oil:（1）108.3-108.8More, defense106.5, Objective110-113-116.

　　（2）Above115-115.8Empty, defensive116.3, Objective112-110。

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