Guo Shengshan:5.9黄金多空行情如何抉择？白银布局策略建议

山雨欲来风满楼，若是说不经意间的大涨总是令人措手不及，那么不经意的大跌让人防不胜防，在市场持续的震荡调整的局势里，大跌和大涨总是会悄悄的来到，当你注意到它的时候，它就悄悄的溜走了，仿佛没有来过，但总留下让我们无可奈何的印记，之后市场又开始了修复调整那些大涨大跌留下的痕迹，周而复始；当机会来到你的面前的时候，抓住了这就是属于你的收获，抓不住的时候它可能会成为你的折磨，也可能会让你无奈，又要等待下一次入场的时机。　　

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Last Friday(5month6day)美元连续第五周走高，持续时间为11月以来最长，投资者关注美联储在应对通胀上升的过程中加息力度可能有多大；美债收益率在就业报告公布后跃升，10Period and30年期收益率升至2018年以来最高。COMEXgoldfutures连续第三周下跌，这是自2021year12month3日以来最长连跌周数，强烈的通胀担忧刺激美债收益率大涨，这令金价承压。美油涨逾2%, Stand on110关口，欧盟即将对俄罗斯石油实施制裁，这可能导致供应趋紧，同时交易商摆脱了对全球经济增长的担忧。

　　黄金技术面分析：上周利率决议和大非农落下帷幕。黄金也正式由此前的下跌走势开始进入到震荡周期。而本周的数据不多，虽然有美联储的几位发言，但现在的市场对于加息已经不太感冒，相反消息过后可能会引起市场的反弹。本次从1998的下跌波段到1850位置，经过了十几天的下跌，那么接下来的反弹或者震荡必定会大于这一天数，在没有大消息刺激或者数据的情况下，震荡反复将会成为常态。

　　而上周五的时候，郭晟衫就已经提示了震荡走势，涨跌都不会延续，看似大涨大跌，但随时可以拐头，不追单是基本的原则。预计本次震荡的区间就是1850-1920的范围内。大周期上，尤其是周线和月线上来说，黄金并没有真正的进入空头走势，如果后期黄金在现在的范围内运行震荡，后市未必不能再次突破新高。所以现在大方向上，黄金的走势还不明朗，依旧要继续观察。短线的思路就是以震荡对待，多空根据走势实际判断操作，从走势上来说，下跌结束后，反弹也会是主要的走势。

　　上周五非农数据加速行情上涨，盘中反复突破1890一线，价格最高上涨位置给到1892位置，小时线突破之后走快速回落的行情，有洗盘的走势和格局。价格收盘1880附近，今日参考支撑就是上周五非农冲高回落的支撑点位1874附近，价格短线不破会有不错的支撑效果，上涨发力突破1890位置，可以直接拉升到高位的压力1910位置一线。综合来看，今日黄金操作思路上郭晟衫建议以回踩低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注1895-1900Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1872-1867Frontline support.

Analysis of silver trend:

　　白银从26Continuously falling above, it fell below last Friday23At present, the bearish trend is still ongoing at the checkpoint, indicating that the decline has not ended and is still bearish. However, the bearish time is running out, although it has fallen below23Pass, but22The support at the checkpoint remains strong this week4Early morning is5Monthly interest rate decision, due to expected interest rate hikes50A few points or even more, which is why silver has been continuously adjusting recently. However, once the interest rate hike is implemented, the bearish sentiment will turn into a bullish one. Therefore, this week will usher in an important turning point, with a bottom appearing and then beginning to rise. Therefore, silver continues to be bearish at present, and silver operations suggest rebounding until22.95Selling on the front line, risk control23.15Above, target22.50~22.10。

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

The above article was created by Guo Shengshan's teamgos1678Write my own interpretation of world economic news,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,yescrude oilDeep research on commodities such as gold and silver,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,Due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.