Guide Metallographer:5.7下周黄金原油最新行情，走势分析及操作建议

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　　goldNext week's market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Friday(5month6day)，现货黄金早盘延续下跌，现交投于1970美元附近，黄金昨日冲高回落，美联储隔夜宣布上调联邦基金利率区间0.5Percentage points to0.75%-1.00%，这是近22年来最大幅度的一次加息。加息往往会推升债券收益率，进而提高持有非孳息资产黄金的机会成本，降低后者对投资者的吸引力。美联储还表示，将从下个月开始缩减资产负债表，作为控制通胀的另一个杠杆来使用。此前为努力应对冠状病毒大流行给经济带来的冲击，美联储资产负债表扩张到接近9万亿美元。很显然，在美联储看来，通胀失控的影响比加息可能带来的负面影响更为严重。法国巴黎银行分析师周四表示，他们预计美联储虽明确排除了在今后即将召开的货币政策会议上加息75个基点的可能性，但将在接下来的四次政策会议上每次加息50Basis points.

　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金昨日先扬后抑，探高回落收在低位，最高触及1909.50一线承压，随着美元指数的走强，黄金受挫回落，美备稍晚时段回吐日内涨幅，并刷新日内低点至1872.最终收盘在低位，日线收盘一根较长上影线的小阴K线。日线拉锯迂回，伴随着两阳反弹再转阴回落的循环走法。短线反复。中期多空趋势转换当中，增加了洗盘的频率。将前一日上涨空间尽数回吐，且收在低位，不过K线结构而言，走得比较凌乱，没有单纯的多空延续方向，且持续性不强，伴随一步一回头的洗盘，不管是多头还是空头，持久性不足。加大了短线方向把握难度，反复拉锯是近期的主格调。且幅度的频率都比较大。结合日线的收低，以及此前的探高回落走法，如若今天是弱势表现的话，亚欧盘就会持续性先走阴跌。反弹空间不会太大，反之先走反弹的话，就是震荡下跌，短线趋势随着结构的探高回落重新转空，现在是弱势下跌与震荡下跌的介定问题。弱势下跌，亚盘的位置就要下空，不然容易踏空行情。而震荡下跌，则要先等反弹确认阻力择机空。综上所述，黄金下周操作上指南老师建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1895-1900Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1870-1865Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Friday（5month6During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting108.36dollar/Barrel; Oil prices rose nearly on Thursday1%Due to concerns about supply, the EU has previously formulated a plan to impose new sanctions on Russia, including an oil embargo. However, pressure from the strengthening of the US dollar and the decline in global stock markets has suppressed oil prices. Analysts say that“OPEC+Still believe that this is a problem caused by Western countries themselves and not a fundamental supply issue that the organization should address. Only Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have the ability to significantly increase oil supply, and if they do so, the resulting discord with Russia may collapseOPEC+ Market analysts indicate that:"The oil market has not fully digested the possibility of an EU oil embargo, so if the ban is passed, it is expected that crude oil prices will rise in the summer months."OPECFormed with allies such as RussiaOPEC+On Thursday, it agreed to slightly increase monthly oil production again, saying that the organization could not help Russia's supply, and that China's COVID-19 blockade threatened the demand outlook. Overall, the global stock market downturn has dragged down oil prices, but supply concerns still support oil prices. Oil prices will focus on non-agricultural data for the day, and it is currently expected to increase38.5Ten thousand non-agricultural employed population, alert to data release, fluctuations may be significant.

From a technical perspective, crude oil hit a high yesterday, fell back and leveled off. The high level saw saw an intensification of oscillations, leading to a new weekly high111.3. It was also the target of yesterday's bullish view, reaching the end of the day and then falling back to the intraday low under pressure during the late trading period106.40.The high and low points are concentrated in the US market during the period of market washing. The final harvest of the daily line is Xiaoyang with an upper shadow lineKLine. The physical space is not large, but the sawing range is large. The daily line is still closed near the Bollinger Road track and has not fully opened. Therefore, the current unilateral efforts are still insufficient.4After a single negative decline in the hour, there was no continuous negative trend and no way to form a trend of rising, falling, and turning down. In the late trading session, the double positive rebound remained at a high level, and in some areas, the direction was still chosen in the midst of volatility. Today, we still need to pay attention to the long short transition. at present4The hour is temporarily running above the mid orbit. It is not ruled out to continue to detour repeatedly in high positions.1Earlier, the double bearish candlestick fell, accompanied by a small bullish rebound. It remains to be determined whether this rebound is a strong recovery or a confirmation of resistance and further pressure to fall. Further research is neededK线结构和形态收盘来确认，重点是看昨日的区间突破情况，破高延续，破低则走转换回落，不过在高位破高后会伴随反复的冲高回落，尽量不追高。反复的探高回落会加剧洗盘频率，并容易止涨见顶。综合来看，今日短线操作思路指南老师建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注111.5-112Frontline resistance, short-term focus below104.5-105Frontline support

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