鼎盛金师：决战非农，一念之间转亏为盈，黄金走势铺垫...

不是市场不适合，不是行情不给力。是站错了位置，走错了方向。换个思路，或许你会发现处处都布满金条。泥泞路上的奔驰，永远跑不过高速路上的夏利！投资切忌有一夜暴富的想法，我们要做的是在市场中长久生存。不奢求次次买底出顶、卖顶平底，戒贪戒慌，获取能够到手的利润；以平常心看待市场每一次波动，戒贪戒慌，不求成为卖顶买底的高手，只求顺势而为，稳健获利，落袋为安！

Message analysis: Friday(5month6day)In the Asian market,goldfutures继续承压，期金现报1875dollar/盎司附近。周四金价冲高回落，因市场认为美联储收紧货币政策的力度超过其他主要央行，美元指数录得近两年最大单日涨幅，再次刷新近二十年新高，抵消了美联储加息立场相对不那么鹰派对金价的支撑。美联储前副主席克拉里达认为，美国利率必须加到至少3.5%，英国央行将基准利率上调至1%，都令多头顾忌持有黄金的机会成本，尽管美国股大跌和地缘局势仍给金价提供支撑，但短线金价仍偏向空头。市场目光开始转向晚间的非农就业报告，从ISM制造业就业指数、ISM非制造业就业指数、ADPAccording to data such as initial claims for unemployment benefits, the growth rate of non farm employment in the evening may be limited, and it may still provide an opportunity for gold prices to bottom out and rebound. But if the non farm performance is stronger than market expectations, it is necessary to be wary of a downward trend in gold prices1850关口的可能性。整体来看，美元的强势和未来加息、缩表预期，令金价承压，短线金价仍有进一步下探风险，但因为美国就业增长放缓、地缘局势依然紧张，这会限制金价的下行空间，短线金价偏向低位震荡筑底，存在探底回升的机会。

　　昨日黄金开盘反弹1903附近，在受阻回落下探1881Nearby, explore on the rebound1909附近，再次受阻回落下探1872Nearby, closing1876附近。日线走势图上看，黄金冲高1909位置受阻，随后高位震荡下跌，最低回调至1871关口，从月线收官连续两根冲高回落KLines, especially4月收阴配合之前流星线，更加明确了高位压力，预期五月将延续跌势。日线冲高1920受阻回落收以星线，随后大阴下行失守1890Pass to1870低位，MACD绿柱能继续提供空头动能。目前反弹并未改变空头趋势，只要不企稳1900大关就不会影响，下方关注1866支撑，破位就需要关注1860水平，黄金整体运行在1850一线的触底反弹中，重点关注非农数据影响

　　黄金利率决议后大涨，但是最终没有突破1920的压力位置，这是黄金中线多空分水岭位置，此位置下黄金还是偏空走势，而且今日是大非农，今日黄金如果不能突破或者站稳1890上方，多头上涨衰竭，空头重掌主动！美盘时段黄金冲高回落，最低触及1872一线，那么短线行情转跌，我们及时的调整思路，目前黄金延续下跌，压力下移1890区域，短期压力1882reach1886区域，遇到压力做空就好，不要逆势去做多，为了几美金的反弹划不来，因为后期趋势出来，只有快速加速赶底闪崩两次才是真正的底部，黄金冲高未能突破阻力，本次是反弹，不是反转！依旧是空头下跌走势！今日黄金短线操作上鼎盛金师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注1886-1890Frontline resistance in the US dollar, following below1860-1862美元支撑，具体操作策略我会在盘中提示，及时关注。近期市场动荡幅度较大，机会与风险并存。控制风险再博收益。

　　黄金日内操作策略参考：

Empty order strategy:

Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1886-1890附近分批做空（买跌），止损5Points, target1875-1865Nearby, break down and take a look1860frontline;

Multiple order strategy:

Strategy 2: Gold Callback1860-1862附近分批做多（买涨），止损5Points, target1875-1885Nearby, break down and take a look1890frontline;

　　【crude oilAnalysis of the Latest Market Trends

Friday（5month6During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting108.36dollar/Barrel; Oil prices rose nearly on Thursday1%Due to concerns about supply, the EU has previously formulated a plan to impose new sanctions on Russia, including an oil embargo. However, pressure from the strengthening of the US dollar and the decline in global stock markets has suppressed oil prices. Analysts say that“OPEC+Still believe that this is a problem caused by Western countries themselves and not a fundamental supply issue that the organization should address. Only Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have the ability to significantly increase oil supply, and if they do so, the resulting discord with Russia may collapseOPEC+ Market analysts indicate that:"The oil market has not fully digested the possibility of an EU oil embargo, so if the ban is passed, it is expected that crude oil prices will rise in the summer months."OPECFormed with allies such as RussiaOPEC+On Thursday, it agreed to slightly increase monthly oil production again, saying that the organization could not help Russia's supply, and that China's COVID-19 blockade threatened the demand outlook. Overall, the global stock market downturn has dragged down oil prices, but supply concerns still support oil prices. Oil prices will focus on non-agricultural data for the day, and it is currently expected to increase38.5Ten thousand non-agricultural employed population, alert to data release, fluctuations may be significant.

From a technical perspective, crude oil hit a high yesterday, fell back and leveled off. The high level saw saw an intensification of oscillations, leading to a new weekly high111.3. It was also the target of yesterday's bullish view, reaching the end of the day and then falling back to the intraday low under pressure during the late trading period106.40.The high and low points are concentrated in the US market during the period of market washing. The final harvest of the daily line is Xiaoyang with an upper shadow lineKLine. The physical space is not large, but the sawing range is large. The daily line is still closed near the Bollinger Road track and has not fully opened. Therefore, the current unilateral efforts are still insufficient.4After a single negative decline in the hour, there was no continuous negative trend and no way to form a trend of rising, falling, and turning down. In the late trading session, the double positive rebound remained at a high level, and in some areas, the direction was still chosen in the midst of volatility. Today, we still need to pay attention to the long short transition. at present4The hour is temporarily running above the mid orbit. It is not ruled out to continue to detour repeatedly in high positions.1Earlier, the double bearish candlestick fell, accompanied by a small bullish rebound. It remains to be determined whether this rebound is a strong recovery or a confirmation of resistance and further pressure to fall. Further research is neededK线结构和形态收盘来确认，重点是看昨日的区间突破情况，破高延续，破低则走转换回落，不过在高位破高后会伴随反复的冲高回落，尽量不追高。反复的探高回落会加剧洗盘频率，并容易止涨见顶。综合来看，今日短线操作思路鼎盛金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注111.5-112Frontline resistance, short-term focus below104.5-105Frontline support.

　　【新手如何把握超级非农周数据利润】

　　行情正常情况下，非农行情分为三波!第一波叫非农前行情：就是预期行情!fromADP数据公布开始到目前均是;第二波叫做非农行情：也就是大家所深知的那几分钟的涨跌!一般代表着8:30-9:00这一段!波动最大的一段!而这段行情较难把握。第三波叫非农后行情：这就是大概非农数据出来一个小时以后!方向得到了确认了!之后的一直到凌晨三点的一波行情!此外也有延续到次周的趋势性行情。

　　1)首先第一波行情，即非农预期行情，根据非农数据先行指标，ADP数据和就请失业金人数，以及美国经济状况对非农行情进行预期。如ADP数据和失业金人数利好美元，市场普遍预期非农数据将表现出色，打压金银。投资者可在ADP数据公布后建立金银持仓，一直持有至周五晚间6About point.

　　2)其次第二波行情，即非农行情。由于数据就在转瞬间反映在市场上，这段行情快速而剧烈，也是最大获利最快的行情，一般投资者较难把握。

　　对于此时间段行情，第一个方法建议投资者采取双向挂单策略，在非农数据出来前3Hang one minute30Multiple orders and one high order hanging around the dot30Set the low hanging empty order around o'clock before hanging it50点的获利。有一单成交之后就删除另外一个没有成交的单。如果数据没那么大的影响力到不了30点的获利怎么办?那就在你感觉到上攻乏力的时候手动平仓。及时做到止损止盈，务必不要贪心或者长期持单。此类交易手法要求动手迅速，而且坚决果断不可恋战，防止非农行情来回宽幅震荡。一般一年之内，非农数据出炉后行情来回震荡的次数要大于单边走势。(双挂策略，要求执行力强，能承担风险，不贪婪，心态要好!)

　　此外第二种方法就是非农数据出炉后，迅速分析后市行情，顺势而为操作，但此类操作同样要注意及时止损止盈，同样由于行情宽幅震荡，进场点位防止追涨杀跌，且对交易平台的敏感度要求较高，对投资者研判能力也较高。谨慎操作!

　　鼎盛金师个人建议，这波行情中可以先做两个方向单，一个空单一个多单形成互锁，然后出来方向后，平掉相反方向的那一个即可。因为大家做单都知道，平仓只要1秒钟，下单速度比平仓速度慢。但是，行情如果出现来回波动容易出现双向扫损，所以尽量谨慎操作!

　　3)第三波行情：根据非农数据的结果顺势做单。非农数据公布后30After minutes, the market will stabilize. At this point, based on the actual situation of the news, whether it is positive or negative, we are making a correction or taking advantage of the rebound to take advantage of the situation, combined withK线形态和均线系统操作，务必严格设置止损止盈。若行情给力，有望出现单边行情。在这样的行情中，需要及时止盈。但切忌一点，万万不可盲目反向操作，需谨慎对待。对于非农后行情，一般会延续到周一周二，在周一周二的日内行情，会对行情有所修正，但不会改变大的趋势，所以稳健操作在周一周二的整理行情中。

　　补充和强调：

　　⑴非农要控制好仓位，第一波第二波行情建议轻仓操作，6%-10%仓位比较合理。

　　⑵第三波行情可以酌情看5MK线图。重点考虑RSI。稳健者不要做非农。

　　⑶非农结束之后，单纯来说，23点到凌晨三点统计有65%左右的概率会出现单边小幅行情，这样的单边出现200个点以上的行情都是正常的。为了规避风险，切记尽量不要做震荡模式，宁可观望!

　　⑷可以考虑前面提到的双向做单，然后平逆势单方法。

　　⑸强调，对于数据主导行情的时候，所有指标在短时间内都是失效的，不要依赖指标!如果数据出现严重的抗跌性或者抗涨性，那么马上考虑会有强势反弹。这一句话可以简单理解为：利空不跌必有大涨，利多不涨必有深跌。

——This article is contributed by Ding Sheng Jin Shi.

My Interpretation of World Economic News,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Technical Director Dingsheng Jinshi Online Solution Set,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.!