Guo Shengshan:5.6今日黄金最新走势分析，原油操作建议

Trading core values: Trading is like fighting, both attacking and defending. Defensive means advancing with retreat, while offensive means retreating with advance. When risks outweigh profits, a perfect retreat is far more meaningful than a partial victory. The highest level of trading is short positions. Only short positions can calm down, only calm down can observe, only observe can be a judge, and thus distinguish between strong and weak trends. As long as one stands against the strong or weak team, profit is just a passing act. Therefore, the first thing a trader needs to learn is to spend most of their time observing, rather than participating. It is not necessary to participate every time, but to seek a trade that can turn the tide with just one attempt. There is no one in this world who lives easier than anyone else. It's just the strong. Even if they fall, they should smile, never cry out for pain when they fall, or turn on the lights when they are afraid of the dark. The strong are not born, they have just experienced more setbacks.

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

　　黄金技术面分析：从当前盘面来看，早盘黄金急涨实际上都是美元推动的，那么只要美元一个小反弹，黄金势必也将掉头。交易必须要有预见性，昨天低点一片空头声，今天等大多数人反应过来要去追涨的时候，则上涨往往已经结束了。当前4小时蜡烛图位于布林带外围，而指标macd金叉放量，灵动指标sto勾头向上修复，代表短期4小时属于多头格局。但是因为蜡烛图在布林带外围，根据布林带理论:蜡烛图始终会回归布林带内部。

　　所以短期上轨和均线MA60Adhesive position1898作为短期支撑上涨位置，而均线MA5andMA10Adhesive position1881以及中轨附近的支撑1872-70作为日内的回撤位置。当前macd金叉放量至高位，灵动指标sto超买粘合，小时线多头但是已经接近顶部。所以震荡后价格会有所回落。目前可能会出现两种情况：一：价格继续拉升至高位1920附近，以光头光脚结束，回落延后至明天。二：价格短期在1909下方回撤至1872进行二次上涨。目前个人是比较倾向于第二种情况。从技术上来说，黄金上方1920已经形成明显压力，只要行情没有站稳1920之上，那么整体还是在空头把握之中，只不过是反弹幅度稍微大了些。上方1906一线则是1998-1850The Golden Divide of38.2%位置，一旦反弹受阻，那么就是我们空单再次进场之时！今日黄金短线操作上郭晟衫建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方关注1906-1909Frontline resistance in the US dollar, following below1870-1872USD support.

　　黄金日内操作策略参考：

Gold rebound1906-1908Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss5Points, target1900-1890Nearby, break down and take a look1880frontline;

Gold Callback1870-1872Batch long nearby, stop loss5Points, target1885-1895Nearby, break down and take a look1905frontline;

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

Thursday(5month5day)，国际油价总体持稳。尽管中国能源需求疲软限制了油价涨势，但欧盟对俄制裁后面临寻找替代供应的任务，而OPEC秘书长指出，俄罗斯石油供应无法被替代。此外，高油价让伊朗并不急于为寻求放松制裁而恢复核协议。分析师在一份报告中表示：“这可能会改变石油和成品油市场的游戏规则。”他并补充说，美国和欧洲国家此前已针对保险领域发动过制裁，进而有效地限制了伊朗石油出口。欧盟每天进口约350万桶俄罗斯石油和石油产品，还依赖俄罗斯天然气供应。少数东欧国家担心，该提案没有给他们足够的时间来适应。市场分析师在一份研报中说：“最紧迫的问题是有多少国家将获得豁免，限制俄罗斯向其他主要市场出口石油的额外制裁措施的范围，以及普京总统对欧洲行动的回应。我们认为，价格对此类措施作出何种反应将取决于俄罗斯48010000 barrels/日的出口规模在多大程度上被隔绝于全球市场。”与此同时，消息人士透露称，飙升的油价让依赖能源经济的伊朗获得喘息，该国领导层并不急于恢复与世界主要大国在2015年达成的核协议，以便换取放松制裁。

　　原油从技术面来看，日线级别：震荡上涨；MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，短线看涨信号有所增加，目前正试探布林线上轨109.58Nearby resistance,4month18日高点阻力也在该位置附近，若能顶破该阻力，则则有望启动新一轮涨势，进一步较强的阻力在3month24Daily high point116.64附近。当然，由于油价在逾一个月的时间内均在110关口下方运行，未顶破布林线上轨前，油价仍可能维持震荡走势，即短线仍存在震荡回落的风险，下方5The daily moving average support is currently at105.63附近，布林线中轨支撑在102.53附近，若回落至该位置下方，则增加短线看空信号。油价维持震荡，但当前价格仍然运行在长期均线上方，主要技术指标都偏向多头。投资者以逢低吸纳为主，日线图上看，NYMEXThe price of crude oil is within the range of95.28The upward trend of the US dollar opening((3))Wave, upward resistance looking towards23.6%Target bit111.34USD. Looking at the hourly chart, the oil price is from100.28USD starts to rise(3)Wave trend, upward resistance looking towards76.4%Target bit109.95USD.(3)Waves are((3))浪的子浪。综合来看，今日短线操作思路郭晟衫建议以回调低多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注113.5-114Frontline resistance, short-term focus below106.5-107Frontline support.

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