5.5今日加息落地黄金暂时看整理，原油关注增产情况

If a ship doesn't know which port to sail to, then the wind in any direction will not be downwind. If the transaction cannot be executed as planned, any trend in the market will be fleeting. Orders are always done as one pleases, the market is always what one does not want, always wanting to control everything, but actually being in the game! In a big environment, one should know to be content with the situation, while in a small ordinary situation, one should know how to overcome difficulties. There is no once and for all leisure, nor is there any easy blessing, gradually realizing that living hard is the norm. If you want to get more, you must not be afraid of hard work, sink your heart, and go all out!

　　goldAnalysis of the latest market trend:

Thursday（5month5日）亚洲时段，目前交投于1900美元附近，金价周三大幅反弹，现货黄金一度涨逾1%，刷新近二日高点至1889.54dollar/按盎司，因美元和美债收益率下滑，此前在美联储一如预期升息后，鲍威尔淡化升息75个基点的前景。美元指数跌至一周低位，因鲍威尔称通胀过高，令黄金对其他货币持有者更具吸引力。指标10年期美债收益率也小幅走低。分析师表示，市场之前预计5月联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议将出现鹰派倾向，但黄金市场认为，相对于鹰派担忧，一如普遍预期的加息50个基点偏鸽派。鲍威尔在美联储发表政策声明后举行的记者会上表示，美联储没有积极考虑升息75个基点，但在接下来的几次会议上应该都会考虑再上调50个基点。此前，美联储将指标隔夜利率上调50A basis point, this is22年来最大的升息幅度，市场普遍预期美联储会做出这一决定。投资者一直在评估上周将美元指数推高至20年最高水平的涨势至少在短期内是否还有进一步的空间，因为市场已经消化了美联储的大部分鹰派态度。我们仍然认为，随着时间的推移，金价将重新从实际收益率走势中寻找方向，今年下半年金价将会走低，但对通胀、地缘政治风险和增长放缓的担忧，令金价在短期内容易出现上行风险。

　　黄金从技术面来看，黄金昨日反弹收复性上涨收高，亚欧盘长时间低位整理，启稳在日线上升趋势线，也是周初的低点1850上方维稳整理，美盘稍晚时段美联储加息50基点但“鹰气不足”  。致使美元重挫。提振黄金走高，收复并站稳前一日高点1878上方。今日开盘进一步延续走高，突破1890强弱临界点。打破了弱势台阶下行，拉回震荡。日线收成双连阳反弹，守住了中期135均线以及上升趋势线。日线局部仍进入多空分化阶段。而日内短线已打破弱势走成震荡反弹。4小时低位整理启稳后一波连阳上升，打破了下行台阶趋势线的阻力1890.重新回到前期颈线之上运行，目前上方大周期均线还是形成压制，而此前的下跌趋势还不好确定已经结束，目前是反转还是反弹修正有待确定。加之本周五还有非农数据报告。数据公布之前可能会进入收缩震荡，技术面单边弱势也打破，局部进入区间拉锯。1小时图形成整理后放量上涨，大阳线放量小阴线回撤修正，昨日低点1861.构造平台性关键防守支撑。次低点则在突破口1878-1880一带。震荡行情重点在于确定震荡区间，点位为前，方向为后。综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南老师建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1915-1918Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1885-1888Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

　　原油消息面解析：美油涨逾5%，布油自4月中旬以来首次收于110美元上方，供应担忧成为焦点，因为欧盟威胁今年禁止俄罗斯石油进口，而且美国的地区燃油库存降至创纪录低点。欧盟表示计划今年年底前禁止进口俄罗斯原油和成品油。欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩说，这将是对俄罗斯所有石油，无论是海运还是管道运输、原油还是成品油的全面进口禁令。美国能源信息管理局的数据显示，由于俄罗斯供应减少的背景下美国炼油商增加对全球市场的供应，美国东海岸柴油库存降至纪录低点，这进一步加剧了供应压力。

　　原油技术面分析：原油今日开盘在107.512dollar/桶，开盘后油价出现了高位震荡走势，高点在108.890美元遇阻，回撤低点在107.4水平徘徊。原油日线收录大阳线，突破了前期高点阻力位去走高，再次触及三角形态形成的阻力位，突破后油价将再次上涨延续。从四小时级别上看，本周油价维持在一个向上平台支撑上方，在触及100.1水平企稳后出现上涨，当前油价处于一个上涨的ABC形态中，原油如果进一步加速，上方目标在111.2水平。综上所述：原油再次上涨突破，形成ABC向上格局，原油今日操作上指南金师建议以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注111.0-111.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below106.1-105.6Frontline support.

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