Guide Metallographer:5.5今日鲍威尔鹰气不足 黄金腾空而起

I really like the sentence spoken by Shakyamuni Buddha: "No matter who you meet, he is the person you should appear in your life, not by chance. He will definitely teach you something. So I also believe: "No matter where I go, it's always the place I should go, experience something I should experience, and meet the person I should meet." Everyone reading this article, thank you for meeting you!

　　goldTrend analysis:

Market Expectations for Fed Rate hikes50Base point, the reality is that the Federal Reserve announced its first rate hike in 20 years after Wednesday's meeting50Basis points, in line with market expectations, and announced6Monthly start reduction, initially with a maximum reduction per month475The upper limit will double in three months after reaching 100 million US dollars. Powell stated at the press conference after the meeting that the next two meetings will each raise interest rates50A basis point is a general consensus and has not actively considered raising interest rates75There is a possibility of a basis point, and there is no indication that the United States is approaching an economic recession or is vulnerable to a recession. Although this Federal Reserve resolution announced a significant interest rate hike+The official announcement of hawkish actions to shrink the Fed's watch, but some economists believe that the Fed also has dove like behavior, such as Powell's statement to the market that the future has begun to reflect75A basis point interest rate hike has poured cold water.

Powell admits that there will be another time in the future50A basis point interest rate hike, but the possibility of a larger rate hike is temporarily ruled out. The market has increased confidence that the Federal Reserve's crackdown on high inflation will not trigger an economic recession, and the large peak of the US dollar index also meets expectations, with prices rising and the daily chart showing a significant decline.

From the four hour chart, it can be seen that yesterday there was a significant upward trend in prices, and after the prices broke through and were taken back offline, the system began to increase. Currently, it is running on the first line of online sales, with auxiliary indicatorsMACDThe golden fork is upward, and the quantity can be amplified. In addition, as mentioned at the beginning, this market has just turned around and declined13根，上涨不应该也只有一两根，因此综上所述得出结论如下：低多不变

　　操作上：今日1884Continuing to buy on the front line, unexpected77Additional positions, unified defense74, Objective1900-05破位看高一线。

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Thursday（5month5During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting108.15dollar/桶；油价周三大涨近4%，创逾两周新高，因欧盟威胁今年禁止俄罗斯石油进口，而且美国的地区燃油库存降至创纪录低点，供应担忧成为焦点；此外，美股上涨也为利多油价助力。EIA表示，受此影响，俄克拉荷马州库欣的原油库存上周增加140万桶，尽管石油产量稳定在119010000 barrels/Day.EIA称，上周炼厂炼油量下降21.810000 barrels/日。产能利用率下降1.9Percentage points, to88.4%，占美国炼油产能大部分的中西部和墨西哥湾沿岸降幅最明显。分析师说：“欧佩克+可能在下次会议上维持其增产政策不变的关键原因是“闲置产能有限”。如果欧佩克决定“打开水龙头”加大增产，油价将会在用光所有闲置产能后飙升。”全球最大贸易集团欧盟制定了逐步停止进口俄罗斯石油的计划，这引发了人们的担忧，即随着这些国家寻求充足供应，市场将进一步吃紧。提振了油价上扬。总体来看，美联储加息符合市场预期，美股走强；以及俄乌冲突持续，欧盟对俄石油采取制裁措施，助力油价上涨，地缘局势方面还需关注俄方就欧洲制裁的回应措施，另外，关注日内OPEC+Meetings.

　　原油从技术面来看，原油昨日中阳线上涨收高，先踩后涨，亚盘回踩102.19附近启稳，欧美盘强势收复性上涨，尾盘时段并突破前期高点107.80且收在高位。日线连续十字星K线整理后首次收盘实体阳线。目前早盘开盘在日线布林道上轨处，也前期宽幅震荡区间的上轨附近。能否打破近期的震荡区间，今日至关重要，突破则打开上行空间，反之横向整理压制住的话，仍会回归区间内震荡。亚盘也不宜过分乐观。等待形态确认。4小时走出一波小台阶震荡上扬走势，伴随着下探回升的整理蓄势，加上消息面的利好刺激。短线图走得多头偏强，且慢慢在收复失地。不过日线到了争夺的考验点。多空进入分化阶段。小周期看涨，日线面临区间突破性争夺。亚盘稳健先行观望，留意区间上轨的压制，若成功突破，则欧美盘回踩顺势跟进做多，反之压制成功则继续看震荡。综合来看，今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注110.5-111Frontline resistance, short-term focus below104.5-105Frontline support.

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