Guide Metallographer:5.4黄金市场美联储议息在即，黄金承压有望破低

　　投资犹如下棋，棋艺高者能看出五步，七步甚至十几步，而棋艺低者只能看出两三步，高者顾大局，谋大势，不以一子一地为重，以最终赢棋为目标，低者则寸土必争，只为争一时之需，结果频频受困。趋势，一定要有长远眼光，投资，一定要有长远规划，而交易技巧是成功的关键。

　　goldLatest Market Analysis

Wednesday(5month4day)In the early morning trading of the Asian market, spot gold slightly declined, with current reports1863dollar/Around ounces. The gold price strengthened on Tuesday, because the yield of US treasury bond bonds and the US dollar fell slightly, and the market expected that the Federal Reserve would significantly raise interest rates after the two-day policy meeting10The yield of one-year treasury bond bonds rose from3%The level of decline. Meanwhile, the US dollar index fell0.2%, making gold cheaper for holders of other currencies. The market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at the end of its two-day meeting on Wednesday50One basis point to curb soaring inflation. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech will be carefully scrutinized to seek further signals of interest rate hikes.

　　指南金师个人观点：眼下市场预计其将在接下来的3Radical interest rate hikes are expected at this meeting, with Federal Reserve officials expected to raise rates at that time0.5个百分点。另外，美联储主席鲍威尔在IMFAt the group discussion, it was stated that given that the current inflation rate in the United States is approximately the same as that of the Federal Reserve2%Triple the target and taking action faster is appropriate. They hope to control inflation as soon as possible, indicating to the market that they will take radical action. Affected by the surge in trade deficit and slowing inventory growth, the United States announced its first quarterGDPUnexpected shrinkage, equivalent to an annual decrease1.4%，由于供应中断、劳动力短缺和高通胀减缓了经济复苏步伐。美联储大幅加息与缩表的预期，支撑美债收益率与美元走强，在美联储会议前夕，仍有可能继续打压金价，而一旦加息靴子落地，投资者需要警惕市场买预期卖事实，金价在加息之后出现止跌反弹的行情，此外还需要继续关注地缘局势与逢低买盘对金价的支撑情况。

　　黄金技术面分析：黄金昨日低位中阴线收低，日线经过小阳星KAfter the correction of the line rebound, the next day we completed the momentum breaking and closed at a low level, falling below the limit1890The key support competition point, with the daily line closing below the support point, opens up space for relay adjustment of the daily line. It is also a continuation of wave shape adjustment and breaking through the low, unfoldingCThe waves descended. Yesterday's session was accompanied by repeated tugs of war, followed by a rebound after a dive1906二次承压，再尾盘破低收低，隔日看延续下行，弱势行情亚盘就会有所表现。消息方面：美元指数强势上涨连创新高，市场预期美联储将比其它央行更更鹰派，且对欧洲经济增长放缓的担忧加剧了避险资金流入。预计美联储将在5month3-4日的会议上加息50Basis points.

Gold4After a week of consolidation, the moving average index has been pulled to form bearish divergence. From a structural perspective alone, it may experience a very weak unilateral decline. Previously, it had been accompanied by repeated construction, and the moving average index did not turn around. However, currently, there is a potential for rising and falling, driving the index to turn around.4hourKThe line structure is also running in the downstream channel, and at the beginning of the week1911Form a platform secondary high point. Step down channel, the second highest point does not recover, and the bearish trend does not change. Although there has been a pause at present, after consolidation, the closing price is1890下方，形成有效破位，今日看进一步下行，综上所述，黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方重点关注1880-1885Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1855-1850Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Crude oil opened today at103.466dollar/桶，亚欧盘油价直线上涨格局，在小调触及102.935水平后油价直线拉升，最高触及107.1附近徘徊，从日线走势图上看，日线收录一根中阴线，油价高开走低，在102.0附近企稳反弹，维持均线上方。从四小时级别上看，原油这波上涨主要推动在于4month5日油价触及95.2美元后出现的一波连续上涨107.9水平，当前油价在高位遇阻后，在100.0-102.0水平出现了二次探底上涨，出现一个上涨N字型向上结构，上方阻力位关注107.7-108.0水平，进一步突破后油价有望打开上行空间。综上所述指南老师总结：原油今日低开高走，多头比较强势，今日操作上考虑回撤布局多单为主，上方关注107.7-108.0阻力，破位看111.3USD, below support attention105.8-104.7USD support.

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