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Guide Metallographer:5.4今日黄金空头埋伏已久,注意高度集中空袭

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I really like the sentence spoken by Shakyamuni Buddha: "No matter who you meet, he is the person you should appear in your life, not by chance. He will definitely teach you something. So I also believe: "No matter where I go, it's always the place I should go, experience something I should experience, and meet the person I should meet." Everyone reading this article, thank you for meeting you!

  【goldMarket Trend Analysis

Wednesday(5month4During the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading in1864美元附近,上一交易日由于地缘局势有所恶化,金价在1850关口附近获得了一些支撑,本交易日将迎来美联储利率决议,大概率会加息50个基点,多头仍有所顾忌。但目前金价已经部分消化了本次加息和未来多次加息50个基点的利空影响,投资者需要提防“靴子落地”后的多头反扑。此外,本交易日还需留意美国4monthADP就业人数变动和美国4monthISMPMI' target='_blank'>Non manufacturingPMI数据,相对而言,利率决议前,金价可能维持弱势,但对地缘局势的关注需要加强,利率决议后,金价可能会引来震荡筑底甚至是震荡反弹的机会。鸽派会议结果或地缘政治紧张局势升级或通胀担忧可能推动金价重回每盎司1900美元。分析师认为,尽管美联储的货币紧缩才刚刚起步,但美债市场最严重的一轮抛售可能已结束。这意味着美债收益率的上涨空间可能受到限制,甚至美债收益率会迎来回调机会,这有可能会缓解金价的下行压力。整体来看,本交易日多数时间内,金价仍可能会受到乐观经济数据预期和加息预期的压制,但市场观望情绪渐浓,地缘局势似乎有所恶化,金价下行空间可能会受到限制,分别关注1850关口支撑和200Daily moving average1835.4Nearby support.

  黄金从技术面来看,黄金昨日先抑后扬,日线收盘小阳K线反弹修正,先行下探1850创近期新低。欧美盘启稳反弹。收复日内下跌失地,并创日内高点至1877.80.Final closing at1866. 一步一回头的震荡下跌,日线单阴伴随小阳线的震荡下行走法,从结构上来看。目前日结构仍处于下行C浪延续当中,破位颈线1890后的延续。而短线节奏则是以震荡式呈现,边反弹修正边拉动均线拐头。目前短均线已拐头向下,但中期60日均线还是朝上。中期走出单边方向还需要时间整理修正。4小时连阴下行创出新低1850后转中阳线拉回,单阳K线走出反弹,目前的反弹空间并没有形成反转,只是当作反弹修正对待,整体而言,4小时结构还处于下行台阶通道中运行,下行趋势线的压力下移至1890.与颈线低点重合。也是短期空头的防守点。此位之下的反弹当作整理修正。反之突破则改变短期下行台阶。目前日线结构中还存在些许支撑,使得短线迂回震荡,一步一停顿。且阴跌中配合反弹。边整理边蓄势。1小时图昨日走出一波连阳反弹,且收盘相对中性,使得今日亚盘还要观察一下强弱延续。综上所述,黄金今日操作思路上指南金师建议反弹高空为主,回调低多为辅,上方重点关注1880-1885Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1855-1850Frontline support.

  crude oilMarket trend analysis:

  原油周二走势再次陷入了无序震荡之中,并未承接前日的多头走势继续向区间上沿挺进,说明当下多空对于后市的判断都非常谨慎,谁都不愿因轻易打响第一枪,再因为临近美联储利率决议公布,市场都在等待尘埃落定。今天来看原油已经缩小了短期的波动区间,下方支撑上移到100.70The upper pressure is107.1。油价大概率会以震荡下行的节奏向100.60一线靠近,至于后期能否在此企稳回升需等待消息面的落定。今日油价反弹至107附近一线卖出,风控107.5Above, target102.50~102.00~100.70。

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