Guide Metallographer:5.4今日黄金午间最新行情分析，操作建议及多...

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　　goldMarket trend analysis;

Tuesday（5month3日）亚欧时段，现货黄金低位徘徊，目前交投于1860Near the checkpoint, overnight gold prices hit a new low of two and a half months1854Near the US dollar, investors weighed the expectation of a significant tightening by the Federal Reserve, driving the US dollar's rise to expand10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds further increased3%(for2018年以来首次），市场预期随着各国央行准备逆转新冠疫情期间采取的大规模购债措施，全球势将加速退出量化宽松，对金价打压明显。美联储料在5month3Solstice4日的政策会议上加息50个基点，此后还将多次加息。交易员们预计从现在到年底料合计加息约250个基点。美联储还料开始缩减资产负债表规模，每月缩表规模可能高达950亿美元，缩表速度料远快于年初的预测。美联储将通过让其持有的政府债券和抵押贷款支持证券到期，而不是主动出售债券来实现缩表目标。决策者可能在后期阶段出售抵押贷款支持债券，回归全部国债的持仓组合。整体来看，美联储的大幅加息和缩表预期支撑美元和美债收益率，而且全球多个央行都将逐步加息，在本周美联储利率决议前，仍可能会对金价形成压制，金价短线存在进一步试探200Daily moving average1835The possibility of nearby support. But after the Federal Reserve's decision, investors need to pay attention to the "boot landing" market, as well as the geopolitical situation and the support of bargain hunting for gold prices.

Gold fell at the beginning of yesterday's trading session, with an extremely weak bearish downward trend and no rebound correction. The weak consolidation continued straight down until reaching a point in the US market1854.4There was a slight pause at the low point. As for the daily structure, it has fallen below1890Formed after low pointCThe wave continued to decline, followed by a rebound correction last Friday. This week, it opened low and closed low, while the correction after rising and falling again accumulated momentum and accelerated the volume increase in the technical structure. After yesterday's volume increase, it still closed at a low level, and the next day's short-term outlook will continue appropriately. 4Hour after hour, a series of negative drops broke through the low, breaking a new low in recent times, starting from last Friday1920Nearby pressure forms a step sub high point, forming a new wave of step down channels, but the fluctuation base is relatively large1920The decline is also a straight line break through the low and downward trend.KThe line is extremely weak, with consecutive negative declines and a large fluctuation base. The rebound space is slightly smaller. The method of weak correction mainly focuses on horizontal consolidation, while the previous rebound happened to be to accumulate momentum to break through the low.4Maintaining a downward trend during the hour is usually bearish. Yesterday DayKLine Dayin Lowers, Relying on1900Make a critical point, and1890It is the watershed of strength and weakness that breaks the low mouth. Below this level, the rebound remains bearish. Today's first resistance is1872破低口附近，留意能否延续昨日的极弱下行。极弱下行，白盘就是高点直接阴跌放量节奏。把握小周期找切入口进场，以免踏空点位。空间也是边走边看，综合来看，今日黄金短线操作上指南金师建议短期上方重点关注1883-1888Frontline resistance in the US dollar, following below1850-1845Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Wednesday（5month4During the Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting103.42dollar/Barrel; Oil prices fell by more than1%，疫情引发的需求担忧盖过了欧洲可能对俄罗斯实施原油禁运的影响，此外，伊朗与美国通过交换书面信息方式进行伊核谈判。国际原油价格目前维持在每桶105美元附近，在俄罗斯入和乌克兰冲突后，许多炼油商对俄罗斯石油的抵制加剧了OPEC的困境。油价上涨正在推高物价，威胁经济增长。OPEC代表称，该组织可能会维持原定增产计划，在周四开会时批准每天增产43万桶原油。但正如调查显示的那样，OPEC可能难以兑现大部分承诺。分析师表示，“美联储本周料加息50基点，升息75基点的可能性不到10%。交易员将密切关注鲍威尔讲话，以了解6月份会议上是否可能升息75基点。”总体来看，疫情蔓延加剧需求担忧，伊核谈判通过书面形式进行，油价短线或维持震荡偏空，关注欧盟对俄的新一轮制裁，以及俄罗斯对西方发出的叫停出口和交易的警惕。

　　原油从技术面来看，原油昨日小阴星K线收盘，日线已连续且持续性的星K线整理，虽有一定波动空间，但相对于近期的大波动基数，目前稍有收敛。日线也是停顿震荡收缩空间当中。昨日整理后在周一高点之下承压回落至102.20.最终收盘在中性位置，日线继续钝化等待突破。日线布林道平行收缩当中。上轨阻力在107.80.Lower rail support96.20.也是处于近期的宽幅区间内运行。目前收盘在中轨附近。日线暂定震荡思路对待。 4hourK线形态和均线系统都走得凌乱，K线结构上下洗盘震荡当中。区间未突破。多空延续性不足，而均线指标凌乱发散显示短期仍将持续震荡。震荡行情中，点位比方向更关键。卡住区间高空低多都有机会，等待震荡中的突破方向。未破之前先卡区间短线灵活应对。综合来看，今日短线操作思路指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回调低多为辅，上方短期重点关注106.5-107Frontline resistance, short-term focus below99.5-100Frontline support.

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