Guo Shengshan:5.3黄金原油操作策略及行情趋势技术分析

The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion and disorderly placing of orders. A person who doesn't know where to go is facing in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be against the wind!People who also do not understand trading, no matter how long they short, once the market fluctuates, it is a disaster free! There is no fancy language here, only tangible trading and clear and straightforward operations. The market has only one direction, not long or short, but the right direction. Reasonable risk control+Good investment returns allow every individual investor to find the true joy of investing, instead of constantly increasing losses due to their daily hard trading. I have always believed that choice is more important than effort. A good mentor and technical team should not only bring profits to customers, but also be responsible for them. Individual investors, relying solely on their own efforts to face the market, are prone to being caught off guard when faced with sudden rises and falls. However, if someone can see the situation clearly and provide direction outside the circle, they can do better.

　　goldTechnical analysis:

　　黄金周一自开盘起便一路震荡回落，期间几个技术支撑都被跌破，最终低点跌至1854一线，后半夜行情略有反弹，但已无力改变日线收大阴线的结局。

　　日线结构上，在上周五冲高回落的影响下，周一收阴无可厚非，但是阴线力度如此之大，直接跌至期限预期的关键技术支撑1855-50区域，也还是超出预期的。回顾黄金的下跌，之所以力度如此大，主要还是因为市场对美联储利率决定扩大加息步伐抱有太强烈的预期，导致市场情绪消沉，提前消化利空影响。目前按照昨日阴线力度，以及后半夜反弹都未能站上前一波下跌低点的情况，今明两日黄金大概率是会有一波延续回撤调整的，即便无延续回落，上方反弹也会显得很无力。日内下方关注1855-50一带争夺，上方关注1870附近短压，如果不能回到1870上方站稳，那么也就无疑会加大行情跌破1850的可能性，届时或将会向着200Daily line1835-30附近进发。

　　结合小时图走势结构，隔夜下跌回撤至至1854附近基本符合技术预期，即短线下行趋势线附近，同时此位也是此前预期的波段级别调整的终极目标区域，所以行情在1855-50出现止跌反弹也是预期内的，但是后半夜行情反弹测压至1870上方后便再度有承压表现，这就加大了昨日的下跌有效性，日内行情如果一直承压在1870下方运行，就势必还有一波下跌调整，届时下方或再测1855-50支撑，当然也有更多的可能性会跌破。

　　所以日内操作上郭晟衫建议主思路还是以反弹做空为主，虽然已经有止跌，但基本面环境影响下，市场多头信心很难建立，也就很难有大幅的反弹动能，故多单务必还是要高度谨慎对待，切莫盲目猜底参与。

　　具体操作建议如下：

　　1、日内上方回反弹1870附近，可轻仓空，至1873补空，统一带止损1876Look at the target below1860附近先部分减仓，剩余持单再看1855-50区域减离。

　　2、日内下方首次触及1850附近时（±2）有止跌信号的情况下，可尝试一次短多，严格带止损1847On the target1860附近先减仓，剩余持单再看1870附近反弹测试。

　　3、预期今明两日很有可能出现跌破1850的情况，届时下方回撤1835-30的可能性加大，如果出现此情况，盘整根据实际情况再做具体策略调整。

　　4、如果今明两日行情站上1870-73上方，短线策略也需另做调整。

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　技术面也不存在什么争议，日线在周一收大阳，一根阳线直接贯穿所有均线压制，今天上涨或见新高，可看最大目标点位在107.8，继续上涨不猜顶，日内低位支撑在小周期104.2附近，亚欧盘回落后可顺势做多，等待美盘上涨即可。近期原油做空需谨慎。

Operation suggestion: crude oil104.20Nearby, stop loss103.40, Objective107.0、109.0！

The above article was created by Guo Shengshan's teamgos1678Write my own interpretation of world economic news,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,亏损回本由于网络推送延迟性,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.