Guide Metallographer:5.3今日黄金还是继续跌吗？能否一举突破1850

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TodaygoldTrend analysis:

Gold fell at the beginning of yesterday's trading session, with an extremely weak bearish downward trend and no rebound correction. The weak consolidation continued straight down until reaching a point in the US market1854.4There was a slight pause at the low point. As for the daily structure, it has fallen below1890Formed after low pointCThe wave continued to decline, followed by a rebound correction last Friday. This week, it opened low and closed low, and the correction after rising and falling again accumulated momentum and accelerated the volume increase in the technical structure. After yesterday's volume increase, it still closed at a low level, and the next day's short-term outlook will continue appropriately. In terms of news: The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to significantly raise interest rates to curb soaring inflation, thereby increasing the opportunity cost of holding non yield asset gold. As the Federal Reserve attempts to curb soaring inflation, the market is digesting the prospect of the Fed actively raising interest rates. Investors expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at this week's policy meeting50One basis point, and it may also be announced to begin reducing the balance sheet. Both of these measures will further tighten the loan conditions of the world's largest economy and may eliminate the risk of default1980The fastest increase in consumer prices since the era.

　　4Hour after hour, a series of negative drops broke through the low, breaking a new low in recent times, starting from last Friday1920Nearby pressure forms a step sub high point, forming a new wave of step down channels, but the fluctuation base is relatively large1920The decline is also a straight line break through the low and downward trend.KThe line is extremely weak, with consecutive negative declines and a large fluctuation base. The rebound space is slightly smaller. The method of weak correction mainly focuses on horizontal consolidation, while the previous rebound happened to be to accumulate momentum to break through the low.4Maintaining a downward trend during the hour is usually bearish. Yesterday DayKLine Dayin Lowers, Relying on1900Make a critical point, and1890It is the watershed of strength and weakness that breaks the low mouth. Below this level, the rebound remains bearish. Today's first resistance is1870-1872破低口附近，留意能否延续昨日的极弱下行。今日操作上建议反弹做空为主，反弹1873-1875Nearby empty orders enter, target1860Below, stop loss5Points.

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

Monday(5month2day)International oil prices have fallen nearly3%Due to concerns about weak demand from China, the world's largest oil importer, and India's large purchase of discounted Russian oil, it may offset the supply pressure caused by the potential EU ban on Russian crude oil. The crude oil imported by India from Russia has been2021Less than the year of1010000 barrels/Daily increase4Of8010000 barrels/Day.

Crude oil opened today at103.958dollar/Barrel, Asian market shows a volatile downward trend, reaching its highest point105.1The level begins to decline, reaching its lowest point103.2Horizontal hovering. The daily chart includes a bearish hammer line, and after four consecutive bullish days, it includes an upward shadow lightning rod shape, further touching the resistance level of the triangular pressure level, and cannot break through in the future market108.0阻力，将视为后市多空趋势的分水岭，三角整理已经进入尾声。指南金师综上所述，原油今日低开低走如果反弹不走强，大概率出现一波下跌延续，今日操作上指南金师考虑反弹做空为主，低多为主，上方关注104.1-106.2USD resistance, follow below103.6-104.0USD support.

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