Guo Shengshan:5.2晚间黄金还会上涨吗，最新黄金原油操作建议

　交易核心价值观：交易如同作战，既要进攻，也要防守，防守是以退为进，而进攻则是以进为退，当风险大于利润的时候，一次完美的撤退意义远大于局部的胜利。交易的最高境界就是空仓，只有空仓才能静心，只有静心才能观战，只有观战才能当裁判，从而分清强弱趋势。只要站对强弱队伍，获利只是捎带，所以，一个交易者首先要学的就是花大部分时间观察，而非参与，不求每次都参与其中，只求一次就扭转乾坤的交易。这个世界没有谁比谁活的容易，只是强者，即使跌倒，也要微笑，总不能摔倒就喊疼，怕黑就开灯，强者并非天生，只是经历过更多的挫折而已。

　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Monday(5month2day)，国际金价承压下行，因美债收益率上升提高了持有非孳息资产黄金的机会成本。人们普遍预计，美联储将大幅加息，以便遏制飙升的通胀。金价后市料跌破1872美元。北京时间14:50Spot gold fell0.56%to1885.80dollar/Ounces;COMEXThe main contract of futures funds fell1.33%to1886.30dollar/Ounces; USD Index Upward0.19%to103.39。市场担心美联储可能会非常鹰派，市场预期美联储5Month and6月各加息50Basis points,7月份甚至可能会加息75个基点。美联储联邦公开市场委员会计划于5month3日开始为期两天的利率会议。政策制定者似乎将至少在夏季之前实施一系列激进加息，以应对通胀飙升和劳动力成本高企。美联储行动仍然落后市场预期，正试图跟上节拍，因此他们很有可能正在关注当前的通胀指标，并且将继续敲响鹰派战鼓。

Technical analysis of gold:

Last Friday, gold rose, fell, and closed lower, while the US dollar briefly fell, boosting gold prices to quickly rebound in the short term, with a maximum rebound of1919.80dollar|ounce. During the end of the trading period, it fell under pressure and returned1900Below, the final harvest of the Moon Line is the Mid YinKLine, different from the previous oneKDouble shadow lines formed by lines to detect high pressure, monthKThe line shape tends to fall back. The weekly closing formed a double negative line and closed lower, but although there was a lower break last week1890Low point, but the continuity of the first break is insufficient. This week, we will still pay attention to the continuation of the break. The second break will form an effective breakdown, which will further open up the space for short-term downward wave extension. After the daily line rebounds with the double yang, the second yangKThe line draws out the upper shadow, and the rebound does not close high. The rebound is only a correction, with strong persistence, combined with the high and low intensity of the closing. It can be seen that the closing price is not high, and the correction is not considered strong. The normal correction area is weak, but only three. Last Friday was the second trading day to rebound and show signs of pressure after correction. This week, we will rely on1920Defend and continue to see the weak turning downwards. However, as the moving average indicator has not yet fully turned, the daily level will continue to move repeatedly. Although it is a downward wave shape, it will take some time for the moving average to turn downwards.4After a continuous positive rebound in the hourly chart, it quickly turns negative and returns to vomit, breaking through1910后打破弱势走震荡，但尾盘没能收稳，可见反弹只是昙花一现。持续性不足，收低之后有望重新转弱，晚间短线反弹择机高空。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上郭晟衫建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期关注1894-1899Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1870-1865Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest trend analysis

Last week, US oil continued to fluctuate and rise, mainly due to market concerns about the impact of the European oil embargo on Russia on tight crude oil supply. Last week, Meiyou briefly surged to108The first line has not broken through, and the timeliness of the market brought by sudden news is limited. Last Friday, crude oil experienced a significant retracement, falling back to103.4A dark line with an upward shadow in the area where the daily line is closed. Looking at the daily structure alone, the short-term US oil market has not completely overcome the bullish trend, and the market is still above the moving average. However, from a structural perspective, there is a need for continued correction in the market this week, and we will focus on the following10、20Daily line102.5、101.5Nearby support testing, once20Daily line101.5If the market falls behind, it is likely that the market will return to below the moving average, and there is a possibility of another downward trend.

Combined with the hourly chart structure, the market rose on Friday and then fell back, falling to103.4On the front line, the support of the short-term trend line below has not broken, as well as the breakthrough point suddenly pulled up by the influence of the news surface103It has not been broken either, indicating that the overall upward structure of the current market has not been disrupted, but it is also precarious. Once the market falls back this week103If so, the trend is likely to change. Therefore, caution is still needed in operations at the beginning of this week, especially to prevent unpredictable risks that may arise from the news.

At the beginning of the week, radicalism can be achieved by rebounding104.8-105Nearby short space with stop loss105.5Above, look down at the target103.4-0Reduce position, change to break even and stop loss, may retain some of the holding orders for viewing103Defeat, market retreat102、101even to the extent that100的可能。至于多单，激进可先于103.4/3附近极轻仓短多一次，带止损103Below, look at the target104附近回弹减仓改保本止损，剩余持单再看104.8-105减离。保守者暂不做多单参与打算，多单务必有待实盘根据情况再做进一步调整。

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

The above article was created by Guo Shengshan's teamgos1678Write my own interpretation of world economic news,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,Due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.