Guo Shengshan:5.2黄金开盘走势分析，黄金原油操作建议策略

Trading core values: Trading is like fighting, both attacking and defending. Defensive means advancing with retreat, while offensive means retreating with advance. When risks outweigh profits, a perfect retreat is far more meaningful than a partial victory. The highest level of trading is short positions. Only short positions can calm down, only calm down can observe, only observe can be a judge, and thus distinguish between strong and weak trends. As long as one stands against the strong or weak team, profit is just a passing act. Therefore, the first thing a trader needs to learn is to spend most of their time observing, rather than participating. It is not necessary to participate every time, but to seek a trade that can turn the tide with just one attempt. There is no one in this world who lives easier than anyone else. It's just the strong. Even if they fall, they should smile, never cry out for pain when they fall, or turn on the lights when they are afraid of the dark. The strong are not born, they have just experienced more setbacks.

　　goldTrend analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Friday(4month29day)，黄金价格上涨，因投资者在金融市场动荡的一个月结束之际寻求避险，美元的飙升势头有所缓和。美市尾盘，现货黄金收报1897.02element/Ounces, up2.54USD or0.13%The highest daily hit1919.82dollar/Ounces, lowest touch1892.41dollar/ounce. This week, spot gold fell34.13USD or1.77%。下周美联储将公布利率决定，黄金市场正屏息以待。分析师预计美联储将无视美国第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)数据的意外下滑，仍专注于抗击通胀。

　　美联储加息落地前黄金仍将承压：美联储定于当地时间下周三宣布利率决定，眼下市场预计其将在接下来的3次会议上激进加息。“市场预期未来12个月将升息约250个基点市场正仔细关注美联储下周的两大动作：加息50个基点和开始启动量化紧缩。美元存在强劲动能，因美联储准备在下周升息50Basis points.

　　黄金技术面，黄金本月收十字阴线，但是实体收线已经破位，所以下个月反弹空为主。月线阻力1935Near, strong resistance1950-1973附近，触及都是做空的理想位置。下方支撑就是本周的低点1872Nearby, also0.5的位置，行情一旦跌破1872，大概率会去1854even to the extent that1825附近。再看日线，周五收十字星，下周一倾向震荡或回落。阻力1909附近触及可以空，如果走弱的话可能会在顶底转换1903附近回落。空单目标先看1892-1890附近，行情有效跌破1890的话，还会二次探底，也就是还会去1872附近。如果不破那么月初就会震荡上涨，跌破就看1854-1825附近。所以下周操作上郭晟衫建议反弹做空为主。

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

　　原油消息面解析：本周国际油价料重新收高，因德国与其他欧盟成员国一道对俄罗斯石油实施禁运的可能性增加，且俄罗斯主动切断对几个欧洲国家能源供给，这可能会进一步收紧本已紧张的全球原油供应。尽管如此，OPEC+料维持现行的逐步增产政策，美国增产也无法弥补俄罗斯减工带来的缺口。

　　原油技术面分析：原油昨日开盘在104.921dollar/桶，开盘后油价维持在区间震荡中，高点在105.49美元，低点在104.536美元徘徊。日线收录中阳线，高价破前高，低价没有破前低，出现了出头走势，均线系统多头排列运行在油价下方形成支撑，指标上金叉向上，关注前高阻力位破位与否。

　　原油四小时级别上看，本周油价跳空低开低走，在触及95.2一线后出现了多头逆转，随后运行了一个震荡上涨两段，第一段95.2Give to102.95一线，第二段99.791Give to105.5美元，目前现阶段油价出现了一个小级别三段式上涨，郭晟衫计算多空分水岭在103.3美元，油价如果保持在该水平上方，大概率出现五段上涨走势。综上所述郭晟衫总结：原油再次探底回升，维持在震荡平台上方，所以下周原油操作思路上郭晟衫建议继续以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注106.5-107.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102.4-101.9Frontline support.

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

The above article was created by Guo Shengshan's teamgos1678Write my own interpretation of world economic news,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,Due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.