Chen Zeqiang:4.30黄金原油走势分析，黄金独家交易操作建议附...

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

　　goldTechnical analysis:

　　受美元日内持续震荡回修影响，日内黄金持续震荡回弹，从小时图运行节奏来看，黄金日内回升动能有自身技术结构的需要，但行情冲破1912压力，也就说明短线多头回升动能主要还是来自于美元下跌调整的影响，这虽然在预期内的，但是出现的时间点还是与预期有差池的，给操作上也带来一定的难度和风险。

　　根据目前小时图结构，1912突破后，行情进一步震荡回弹，但动能还是显得有限，上方在1920一线未破而有受阻回修迹象，此外技术指标日内一直显示超买以及出现顶部背离信号，也加大了晚间行情出现调整回修的需求。不过目前美元已经出现调整，再度延续调整也是非常有可能的，所以黄金晚间还是要多加防范，即便有回修，也要防范美指回修带来的黄金回升动能。目前上方短压基本确定为1920一线，但根据日线结构，允许缓冲回升测压10、60Daily line1925-23附近，而行情出现回修，下方5Daily line1900一线则会成为短线的关键支撑，小时图上，下方1903-00as well as1893-90都会是关键的支撑位。

　　晚间操作上，鉴于当前美指已经调整回修，黄金此前的下跌趋势完成，短线也出现技术性回弹，但受制于美元走势影响，其运行节奏不是很好把控，故保守者可选择观望为宜，多看少动，激进则围绕1890—1925大区间进行短线低多高空，小区间则缩减至1920—1900之间进行短线低多高空，但务必保持极轻仓状态，因为今日关系到周线、月线收线，也同样会牵扯到下周美联储利率决定，以及当前美元极端异常状态的影响。

　　①晚间激进可在回弹1915/16附近先极轻仓短空，保守则有待回弹1918-20、1923附近再分批尝试短空，统一带止损1925Above, look down at the target1910附近先改保本止损，回撤1905/04、1900再做分批减仓，且可保留部分持单看能否回撤1893-90区域减离。

　　②晚间下方首次回撤1903-00区域时，激进轻仓搏一次短多，严格带止损1897, look at the goal1910Reduce positions nearby, change to break even and stop loss, and hold the remaining orders for further review1915附近即可减离。

　　③如果晚间行情跌回1900以下，下方再关注1893-90附近支撑测试，届时再考虑短线多单尝试，带止损1887Look at the target first1900-03一带先减仓改保本止损。

　　④如果晚间美指走势依旧异常，黄金上方冲破1925压力，下方跌回1890以下，那么盘中再根据实际情况进行策略调整。

　　crude oilTrend analysis:

On Thursday, crude oil surged as expected, breaking through the previous day's consolidation platform's upper edge suppression. Bull sentiment was bullish, supported by news of Russia cutting off Polish oil supply. The daily trend was also a solid bullish trend, so short-term highs will continue to appear. It is still recommended to stay bullish today. Suggestions for crude oil operations have fallen back to103.90First line buying, risk control103.40Below, target105.60~105.90If it breaks up, open the up space to see it107.30Nearby or109.20。之前按照反弹e浪来看待，但是如果今日多头继续强攻则意味着反弹结构发生变化，反弹幅度也将超出之前的推演，逐步演变成Bwavec的二次上行。

　　本文由陈泽强分析师独家原创，本人一直热衷于黄金、原油市场，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。