4.29今日黄金多头强势突破1915，空头时机是否已到？

　　投资犹如下棋，棋艺高者能看出五步，七步甚至十几步，而棋艺低者只能看出两三步，高者顾大局，谋大势，不以一子一地为重，以最终赢棋为目标，低者则寸土必争，只为争一时之需，结果频频受困。趋势，一定要有长远眼光，投资，一定要有长远规划，而交易技巧是成功的关键

　　【gold走势分析】：

　　本周，现货黄金一度跌创2month17Recently, it has reached a new low1871.99dollar/盎司，因美联储积极加息前景帮助美元指数大涨至近二十年新高103.93，但由于俄乌距离外交解决冲突渐行渐远，且最新公布的美国一季度经济数据意外收缩，市场避险情绪被重新点燃，金价大幅反弹，收复周内多数跌势。

　　截至发稿，现货黄金下跌0.73%to1916.90dollar/盎司；美元指数大涨1.99%to103.14。金价本周累计跌幅远逊于上周的2.20%。

　　从技术面上看，黄金在1872站稳反弹，日线收阳，周四再收阳，连阳上涨后，k线收在布林下轨之上，目前多头发力不是很猛，但上涨基础稳点，延续空间在今天可看1910/1925，因此，上方还有空间，至于关键点，本周的二次跌点1910。从小周期上看，H4周期收口的上涨高点也是看1910，布林上轨的压制点位刚好契前期顶点的得失情况，所以，日内强弱点在1910Stand firm1910继续看涨至1925, not broken1910则看反转后的休整震荡。由于上涨明显，日内交易短线以低多为主，低位支撑在小周期中表现在1892，美盘再关注1910Gains and losses.

　　【黄金短线操作思路】：

Suggestions1896Nearby, stop loss1890, look at the goal1908-1916

Suggestions1920Near empty, stop loss1926, look at the goal1910-1903

　　指南金师crude oilMarket analysis:

　　随着德国对俄罗斯石油禁运持开放态度，欧盟禁止进口俄罗斯石油的前景日益明朗化，这令本已承压的全球原油供应状况进一步收紧，国际油价周四大幅飙升，美油一度突破105美元关口，布油升至107美元上方。此外，OPEC+可能坚持现有小幅增产协议也支撑了油价。不过，市场对中国封锁造成需求疲软的担忧仍挥之不出，这或限制油价上涨空间。

　　今日亚盘美原油震荡微涨，目前交投于105.93dollar/桶附近，德国加入欧盟其他成员国对俄罗斯石油实施禁运的可能性增加，这可能会令本已承压的全球原油供应状况进一步收紧；市场预计OPEC+产油国集团将在5month5日的会议上保持其温和增产的步伐；全球股市多数企稳反弹，短线偏向多头，不过还需留意新冠疫情和强势美元的影响

　　原油近期多头的表现也非常的强势，从图表上的趋势线来看，昨天晚间直接加速奔向趋势线，在打打附近产生了短暂的调整，再次选择上行突破趋势下，日内价格突破趋势线后，欧盘时段价格回踩趋势线附近止跌再次选择上行，结构上来看已经突破趋势线压制，目前来看原油的多头还是比较乐观的，并且趋势上还是支持原油上涨的

　　技术面看，原油1小时虽然延续反弹，但是技术指标略显背离，后市还是存在回调修复的可能。KD指标高位失去上涨动能，MACD指标上涨动能收缩，需要谨防油价冲高回落。激进者可以等107.8Short selling, stop loss109, Objective106-104。

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