Guide Metallographer:4.29今日黄金初步上破，黄金多头吹响号角

　　市场从来都是明白人挣糊涂人的钱，在市场经济中，只要你参与到经济中来，你就是经济人了，经济人当然就以盈利为目的，特别在资本市场中，没有慈善家，只有赢家与输家。无论你在其他方面如何成功了，到市场里，赢输就是唯一标准。在市场中生存，要向溪水一样，不急不躁，狭隙生存，寻求最简单，最单纯的状态。我的理念是点位到了我们就干，点位没到，我们就看。

　　goldMarket trend analysis;

Friday（4month29During the Asian session, spot gold rose slightly and is currently trading in1902dollar/盎司附近，尽管隔夜美元指数继续大涨，刷新了近二十年高点，但尚未有效突破2017Annual high point103.82，临近五一假期，美元短线回调压力加大，而且受贸易逆差激增和库存增长放慢拖累，美国第一季度GDPUnexpected shrinkage, equivalent to an annual decrease1.4%。预计美联储将在下周三结束为期两天的会议时加息50个基点。美联储可能会在之后的会 议上大幅加息，联邦基金利率futures交易员预计到年底指标利率将从目前的0.33%Ascend to2.73%。美元因为美联储的升息预期而一路劲扬，使黄金持续受到打压。”美元升值，代表海外买家买进美元计价的黄金等大宗商品变得更昂贵。整体来看，美联储加息前景和近期美元的持续走强，依然对金价形成压制；但地缘局势担忧和通胀担忧也在不断吸引逢低买盘支撑，而且美元持续上涨后，2017年高点附近、临近周末、临近五一假期，美元短线存在较强的回调需求，再加上晚上美国3OfPCE数据料将再次强化通胀担忧，金价周四也守住了100日均线关键支撑，短线存在进一步反弹机会。

　　黄金技术面分析；黄金昨日下探回升收高，开盘先行弱势延续，最低下探至1871.80一线轻微启稳，欧美盘伴随反复的整理摸高，最终尾盘时段收复性收高，刷新了日内的高点，同时收盘在1890上方，破位支撑点之后又快速的收盘在之上，形成了宽幅的区间拉锯，而不是极弱的单边下跌。4小时图下探布林道底轨启稳后带动布林道收口，目前站上中轨，同时也收盘在了1890之上，那么今天短线当作震荡思路，先看向上轨反弹寻求阻力，而破位口1890-1888转换成支撑。短线在此位之上先看反弹摸高。上轨阻力在1910.同时也是次高点1911附近的阻力，阻力区域重合。短线先看在区间内震荡。1小时图昨日经历了反复的下探回升，而次低点在1881.80启稳，形成小级别的台阶反弹，今日的反弹临界防守点在1881.80.亚欧盘依托此位先行看多，接近上轨再反手短空。震荡思路多空卡点，破位再看区间延续，目前的形态结构暂定于区间内震荡。小周期先看反弹。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作上指南老师建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方关注1923-1928Frontline resistance in the US dollar, following below1905-1900Frontline support.

　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis

　　原油消息面解析：昨日的基本面美国的第一季度GDP结果不及预期，本身预期就只有1.1%的背景下，结果实际值只有-1.4%，这让市场避险情绪有一定的增强，今日的基本面主要关注17:00Eurozone4monthCPI年率初值和欧元区第一季度GDP年率初值。美盘开始时段看20:30The United States of America3Monthly CorePCE物价指数年率和美国3月个人支出月率以及美国3Monthly CorePCE物价指数月率。稍晚看22:00The United States of America4月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值。

　　原油技术面分析：原油今日开盘在104.921dollar/桶，开盘后油价维持在区间震荡中，高点在105.49美元，低点在104.536美元徘徊。日线收录中阳线，高价破前高，低价没有破前低，出现了出头走势，均线系统多头排列运行在油价下方形成支撑，指标上金叉向上，关注前高阻力位破位与否。

　　原油四小时级别上看，本周油价跳空低开低走，在触及95.2一线后出现了多头逆转，随后运行了一个震荡上涨两段，第一段95.2Give to102.95一线，第二段99.791Give to105.5美元，目前现阶段油价出现了一个小级别三段式上涨，指南老师计算多空分水岭在103.3美元，油价如果保持在该水平上方，大概率出现五段上涨走势。综上所述指南总结：原油再次探底回升，维持在震荡平台上方，今日操作上指南金师个人建议继续以回踩做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期关注108-109Frontline resistance, short-term focus below103-104Frontline support.

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