Guo Shengshan:4.29goldV型反弹是诱多吗？原油走势分析

The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion and disorderly placing of orders. A person who doesn't know where to go is facing in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be against the wind!People who also do not understand trading, no matter how long they short, once the market fluctuates, it is a disaster free! There is no fancy language here, only tangible trading and clear and straightforward operations. The market has only one direction, not long or short, but the right direction. Reasonable risk control+Good investment returns allow every individual investor to find the true joy of investing, instead of constantly increasing losses due to their daily hard trading. I have always believed that choice is more important than effort. A good mentor and technical team should not only bring profits to customers, but also be responsible for them. Individual investors, relying solely on their own efforts to face the market, are prone to being caught off guard when faced with sudden rises and falls. However, if someone can see the situation clearly and provide direction outside the circle, they can do better.

LatestgoldMarket trend analysis

　　基本面，昨日的基本面美国的第一季度GDP结果不及预期，本身预期就只有1.1%的背景下，结果实际值只有-1.4%，这让市场避险情绪有一定的增强，今日的基本面主要关注17:00Eurozone4monthCPI年率初值和欧元区第一季度GDP年率初值。美盘开始时段看20:30The United States of America3Monthly CorePCE物价指数年率和美国3月个人支出月率以及美国3Monthly CorePCE物价指数月率。稍晚看22:00The United States of America4月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值。

　　黄金本轮下跌，主要因美元指数暴涨，打压了金价，此种走势美元指数若出现大的回调，黄金将强势反弹一波。美国GDP出现负增长，且通胀还是存在的，那么美联储加息的节奏还能不继续推进下去，尚未可知。

　　四小时级别上看，黄金运行在布林带中下轨，黄金在1998美元遇阻后下跌运行了一个三段下跌行情，在触及1872一线后出现了一波强势上涨，进一步改变了之前空头回撤格局，现阶段出现了一个ABC的反转形态，如果今日黄金回撤幅度不出现加速，大概率上黄金有望出现一波上涨连续，上方阻力位关注1920-1925水平阻力，回撤下方支撑关注1895-1890一线支撑，进一步下破后将改变看涨强度，出现转弱震荡徘徊。综上所述总结：黄金筑底反弹，但是上方阻力位依旧存在，今日操作上考虑回撤布局为主，反弹做空为辅，上方关注1920-1925USD resistance, follow below1895-1890美元支撑。具体操作策略我会在盘中提示，及时关注。近期市场动荡幅度较大，机会与风险并存。控制风险再博收益。

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Crude oil opened today at104.921dollar/桶，开盘后油价维持在区间震荡中，高点在105.49美元，低点在104.536美元徘徊。日线收录中阳线，高价破前高，低价没有破前低，出现了出头走势，均线系统多头排列运行在油价下方形成支撑，指标上金叉向上，关注前高阻力位破位与否。

　　四小时级别上看，本周油价跳空低开低走，在触及95.2一线后出现了多头逆转，随后运行了一个震荡上涨两段，第一段95.2Give to102.95一线，第二段99.791Give to105.5美元，目前现阶段油价出现了一个小级别三段式上涨，我计算多空分水岭在103.3美元，油价如果保持在该水平上方，大概率出现五段上涨走势。综上所述郭晟衫总结：原油再次探底回升，维持在震荡平台上方，今日操作上考虑高空低多策略，上方关注107.5-109.2美元阻力，多头支撑关注103.5-103.0一线，进一步下破后多头强势将转向震荡。

——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.

The above article was created by Guo Shengshan's teamgos1678Write my own interpretation of world economic news,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,Due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.