Guide Metallographer:4.28今日黄金反弹无力，建议1885可以直接空！

　　行情每时每刻都在发生变化，涨跌起伏的行情会使投资者存在侥幸和贪婪的心理，如果没有建立操作的纪律，帐面盈亏只能随着行情变化而波动，没有及时地止赢结算就没有形成实际的结果。

　　goldTrend analysis:

　　昨日黄金开盘1905.00USD, highest1906.9USD, minimum1881.20USD, closing1885.35美元，报收中阴线。昨天文章提到行情将进一步下跌，跌破1890美元的潜能，然后到小时图回踩240日均线的起点1878支撑做反弹，行情走势基本如此吧。

　　均线起点回踩什么意思呢？1month28day1780的上涨在突破小时图240日均线之后，行情开始了趋势上涨，2month24Day on1974美元附近冲高回落回踩240日均线之后基本上就沿着均线拉升一直涨到2070美元，这就是大级别的支撑点。在过去几年的文章我多次分享过，上涨中下跌回踩之前均线回踩位置视为不错的支撑，此番同理，参考下图，所以，本周的空头昨天下刺1890之后基本全部平仓，然后在1882一线做了多头，基本都是基于此的考量。

　　今天的关键就是行情要突破昨晚尾盘的高点1891.50美元才能确认反弹成立，所以，多单基本就是带损持仓等待，再开仓的话就需要1892破位之后回落找机会再度进场，然后上方继续关注1912一线攻守，没突破之前可以逢高空一次，做好风控即可！

　　备选，如果1892没有破位而是继续破位昨天低点，那也不建议杀跌1870and1860美元两个关口继续带损布局做多为主。也就是说，今天基本上是策略高空转低多，不杀跌！

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis;

　　4month28During the Japanese Asian period, the US oil company is currently reporting101.99dollar/桶；油价周三小幅上涨，因市场持续担忧全球供应紧张，美国馏分油和汽油库存再度减少更凸显这一状况；俄罗斯切断对两个欧洲国家的天然气供应的举动加剧了人们对能源供应紧张的整体担忧，在美国、英国宣布禁止进口俄罗斯原油后，据悉德国终于也准备支持欧盟分阶段实施对俄罗斯石油禁令。其实在此之前，市场人士已经对俄罗斯原油不敢问津，这种情况被一些交易员称之为“自发制裁”。由于对法律许可的困惑，害怕名誉受损，及担心欧盟可能加入盟友行列禁止俄罗斯能源，银行正在撤回与俄罗斯石油有关的贸易融资，油轮公司不愿运送俄罗斯石油。这些因素的叠加效果其实已与“禁运”无异。俄罗斯财长4month27日称，今年石油产量可能下降多达17%。总体来看，俄罗斯对部分欧洲国家天然气断供，要求卢布支付，以及德国支持欧盟实施对俄罗斯石油禁令，加剧供应担忧；欧洲能源危机不确定性或再助力油价上涨。

　　原油技术面分析；原油昨日下探回升收平十字KLine, highest103.05承压，最低回测至99.80。尾盘启稳回升收在101.60上方，日线收平震荡。结构上处于中性位置拉锯震荡。日线震荡；均线交织；MACD再度粘合，KDJ轻微死叉，短线走势变数较大，初步留意95.25-105.42区域突破情况，分别是本周低点支撑和上周四高点阻力，进一步关注92.93-109.81The regional breakthroughs are as follows:4month11日低点支撑和4month18日高点阻力。布林线轨道水平运行，中线走势趋向不明，目前在93.75-113.07Area.4小时震荡下跌后反弹；MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，油价顶破了布林线中轨阻力，在失守布林线中轨101.10前，短线偏向进一步试探布林线上轨105.70附近阻力，能否进一步上破，还有待观察。下方留意99.88附近支撑，如果油价回到该位置下方，则削弱短线反弹信号。后市进一步走势，留意布林线轨道96.50-105.70区域突破情况。综合来看：原油今日短线操作上指南金师建议上方短期重点关注103.0-103.5Frontline resistance, short-term focus below99.5-99.0Frontline support.

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