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Whether it's yesterday's market, today's market, or tomorrow's market; The observer continues to observe, the worried continue to worry, the afraid continue to fear, and the profitable continue to make money; Any current situation is testing our psychological resilience, and any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest, survival of the fittest, one thinks, two does, three succeeds, one waits, two looks, three falls; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!
goldLatest Market Analysis
Message analysis: Tuesday(4month26日)美市盘中,现货黄金小幅反弹,过去几天因为美元大涨等因素,金价大幅走弱,在跌至1890重要支撑位附近,金价存在一定的调整需求,而且美元指数持续大涨后,也出现了一些回调,地缘局势担忧仍在,吸引一些逢低买盘入场。不过,目前来看,美元短期强势难改,金价反弹空间可能受限,不排除进一步下探风险。乌克兰冲突所产生的负面影响的不确定性持续增加,使黄金作为避险资产仍保持对投资者的吸引力。但美元指数连续第四个交易日走高,创2020year3月下旬以来新高至101.976,从美联储官员频频发出的鹰派表态中获益,也限制了金价升幅。现在断定解决通胀问题必然导致未来几年经济不可避免地衰退还为时过早。
黄金技术面分析:黄金日内先震荡回弹,测压至1907The first line is back under pressure and retreats to1895Nearby, there was another wave of upward trend in the European market during the trading period, and the pressure was measured to1911一线,目前行情回撤至1905-00区域。从日内黄金的走势节奏来看,短线回弹仅仅属于技术性的回弹,并不能带来太多的回升空间,且日内两次回弹均被打压,所以日内走势更多的是对昨日下跌的消化过程,尚不具备反转的条件。
根据日线以及小时图结构,晚间黄金上方还是着重关注60Daily and early trading intensive points1915In the vicinity of stress testing, as long as the market does not return above this level, there are still conditions for further decline overall. Above Period1912-16也有可能成为短线压力,至于回弹至哪一个压力位出现回撤,也会影响到后期再调整回落的级别。晚间下方还是先关注1895-90Belt support testing, as time goes by, once the shock digestion is completed, it is highly likely to break through1890,4小时昨日弱势连阴下行,日内短线反弹空间略小,属于一步到位的弱势下跌手法。极弱的下跌行情倒是不难,卡住小时图小阳线反弹就反复切入顺势看空即可,目前多空延续性需要重新判定,一是昨日的极弱下跌表现今天能否延续,若能持续放量下行,那趋势相对就简单一些。反之若亚欧盘一直持稳在1890上方运行,则短线不排除反弹对昨日的下跌空间进行修正,两种走法,多空转换之间多留意形态的转换灵活应对。综合来看,今日黄金操作上郭晟衫建议短线回调做多,反弹做空,上方关注1915-1920Frontline resistance in the US dollar, following below1890-95美元支撑,具体操作策略我会在盘中提示,及时关注。近期市场动荡幅度较大,机会与风险并存。控制风险再博收益。
crude oilTrend analysis:
由于美联储加息预期升温,大宗商品同样遭受抛压,昨日原油闪崩至95.2附近。从形态上看,原油从上周四连续下跌,昨日跌破100双底关键支撑,形成转弱。思路上反抽99.9顶底转换压制可以继续高空,但是短线操作上比较尴尬。首先凌晨四小时大阳收线出现一阳吞连阴,然后凌晨承压99.5Fallback98附近,回落的幅度比较小没有形成延续,早间是出现破位凌晨高点,从破位的角度来讲,这个位置又不适合空,所以稳健的建议观望,如果欧盘出现承压美盘反抽再去空,激进的可以考虑99.8-100轻仓布局。
——This article is submitted by Guo Shengshan.
以上文章由郭晟衫团队(VLetter:gos1678)撰写本人解读世界经济要闻,Analyzing the Global Investment Trends,Has in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, silver, etc,Guo Shengshan, Technical Director, provides an online solution,Loss recovery,One on one real-time guidance due to network push latency,The above content is personal suggestion,Due to the timeliness of online publications,For reference only,At one's own risk,Please indicate the source for reprinting.
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