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Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.
goldTrend analysis:
基本面,金价本周承压,主要因美联储再度向市场释放强硬的紧缩观点,市场对美联储加速加息的预期升温,这给了金价沉重的压力。不过,美国通胀高企,全球经济前景遭下调,俄乌冲突等因素将限制金价下行。市场又迎来一系列美国重磅经济数据的考验,其中包括美国一季度GDP初值数据,同时有关俄乌冲突等地缘事件,以及市场对美联储最新的加息预期变动,投资者也要保持关注。美债收益率走高,将会提高持有黄金的机会成本,从而给金价下行压力。市场本周骤然浮现出对美联储未来单次加息75个基点的押注,很大程度上与圣路易斯联储主席布拉德的鹰派表态有关。
结合日线以及小时图结构,在上周五出现阴线贯穿跌破的情况下,今日行情直接下跌,并未有出现一定的回弹,这说明市场情绪已经一边倒的看空,且下方跌破60日线,目前跌至1905-1900附近,可见下跌空头力度和决心也是很大的。原本预期1905-1900附近作为主要支撑,按照目前状态,此位很有可能成为短线的争夺位而已,不排除行情继续乡下释放的可能,届时下方先看前期低点1890附近,而如果近期市场炒作加息预期强烈,那么后期回撤1880-1870一带也是可能的。
【 Golden Operation Concept 】:
Suggestions1908Near empty, stop loss1912--15(Set stop loss points based on warehouse positions), target1895-1890section; If there is a break during the late trading period1890You can directly chase after the sky. Look at the target1875--1880Range, for the current price point, the short position strength belongs to a bottoming trend, and short positions are not easy to hold for a long time
Suggestions1890Nearby, stop loss1885--88(Set stop loss points based on warehouse positions), target1903-1908section; If there is a break, this entry point will be invalid, relying on the end of the day1890支撑可以暂时性震荡思路对待,破位则下看,进场以实时点位为准,把握不准可以联系我)
crude oilTrend analysis:
From a technical perspective, crude oil reached a high point last week and fell back to a low point. It quickly turned negative after reaching a single positive point on a weekly basis. The high point has no continuity and does not continue every other week. After a short-term decline, this week is more inclined to move back down. The weekly rebound in the crude oil market fell, and the oil price fell belowMA10AndMA5Below the moving average, it is difficult to reverse the trend in shorter periods. The Bollinger Belt on the daily line began to close, and crude oil prices fell below the middle track of the Bollinger Line,SARThe indicator appears at a high level and will gradually increase in volume in the future. This week, it is expected to continue the bearish test and the daily Bollinger belt will fall off the track94.0Horizontal area support situation.4The opening of the Bollinger Belt during the hour, with various moving average indicators arranged in short positions, and real-time prices located in the consolidation stage below the Bollinger Belt's lower track, has a high probability of breaking the low and continuing this week. Hourly online diskKThe line comes to the Bollinger Belt and goes down the track96.8A first-line support position, which can be considered as a short-term rebound and a profit surge when given for the first timeMA5Mean line pressure point97.8Nearby, please confirm the operation plan for the evening market. Overall, today's market is closely watched by the top99-100Resistance, pay attention below95-96支撑,操作上陈泽强建议高空为主。
Analysis of Silver Trends:
From a larger perspective, silver is relatively clear, and the overall decline in recent times isCIn the waves,CThe decline of the waves was very fierce and broke the important low point in the early stage. During the decline, there was no obvious rebound trend, so it was also bearish but unable to board the trainAIn terms of the amplitude of the wave's declineCThere is still some space below the waves, and the silver daily line level is also in a peak period of short selling. It is recommended to wait for the price to rebound in the evening23.90Intervention of frontline air orders and placement of risk control points24.10Above, as seen from the target position23.60~23.50。
This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting
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