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Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.
goldMessage analysis:
根据机构调查显示,本周黄金市场可能保持横盘整理,短期内市场情绪没有为价格提供明确的方向。散户投资者下周仍坚定看涨黄金;然而,华尔街的分析师们却莫衷一是。一些分析人士说,短期内黄金价格可能会进一步继续盘整,因在美联储主席鲍威尔称将在下次会议上讨论50个基点的加息后,美元和债券收益率持续上升。随着投资者对美联储激进的收紧货币政策计划做出反应,金价可能面临进一步的抛售压力。不过,任何价格下跌有可能被视为买入良机。因为近期我们也看到,黄金每次的回落均处在1920的价位之上,可以说黄金的支撑水位似乎在逐步抬高。因此,在5月初美联储议息会议前的这段时间内若黄金价格还能保持在1900-1920价格区域上方,难免不会在美联储加息落定之后招致一波抄底交易潮的出现。但同时,还是要警惕美联储继续鹰派态度对黄金打压造成更深程度的回撤风险。
技术面上,黄金上周保持扫荡式运行,后半周下探守住1937-1939区域,上探压制1955-1958范围,最终白银带头下跌,牵动黄金跌破低点,而黄金的下跌过程也是偏向于扫荡式的,在触及上周四提及的1933-1932范围获得支撑反弹拉升到达1946-1947区域,也就是破低拉升17美元,才继续跌20美元破低,扫荡式向下。
那么这里反弹确定的阻力点1946-1947便是本周的第一道分界线压力,其次就是上周五的分界线和顶底转换的1958-1960范围。下方支撑关注趋势线沿线位置1915也是前期的依托起涨点范围,中间隔着一个1924的支撑点,继续往下便是1908呀,以及1890区域了。
上周五尾盘黄金低位横盘1930关口结束当天的行情,今日周一开盘,价格继续保持低位横盘震荡走低。若是在早盘直接续跌破低,则今日的高点将是重要强弱分界线,守住高点保持延续性再看新低,失守高点转为扫荡,扩大震荡的区间。这也是早盘续跌需要关注的两个重点:高点和延续性。
4.25Golden Strategy:1--1940-1941Empty, stop loss1946, Objective1933-1930
2--1915-1916Multiple, stop loss1910, Objective1923-1927
【crude oilMarket Trend Analysis
Last week, crude oil hit a high and fell back, but ended lower. After reaching a single high in the week, it quickly turned negative. The high did not last and did not continue every other week. After a short-term decline, this week tends to decline, with a weekly rebound and a slightly dull daily trend.KThe entity of the line is slightly smaller, and it is brewing on one side during sorting. In terms of news: International institutions have lowered their expectations for global crude oil demand this year, the Federal Reserve is expected to significantly raise interest rates, and the global fight against the epidemic still faces severe challenges, suppressing the outlook for crude oil demand. However, with the European embargo on Russian crude oil, OPEC has shown no signs of further production increase and has always supported oil prices. Many institutions are still optimistic about the future prospects of oil prices.
4The hour chart was lowered in the sawing process,109.90The high point forms a downward wave shape and rebounded last week105.40Secondary pressure, which can be considered as localBThe wave rebounds at a high point, and after breaking low, it becomes a small levelCThe wave continues, and with last Friday's seesaw decline, the probability of breaking the low and continuing this week is high, with a weaker short-term trend.1The hour chart is repeatedly sorted and finally closed at a low position, and sawing is the norm. The closing determines the continuation of the strength of the next day. With the closing price at a low level, the short-term trend is relatively weak today, and the critical point is also the second highest point105.40.As a step down channel running as an hour chart, relying on the second highest point for defense at the beginning of the week to be bearish, the resistance is101.20-101.60Each area is bearish. Looking back below97.0-94.0.One area.
本文由陈泽强分析师独家原创,本人一直热衷于黄金、原油市场,由于网络推送延迟性,以上内容属于个人建议,因网络发文有时效性,仅供参考,风险自担,转载请注明出处。
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